snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 12z NAM MGJ -- 1.03 ( All Snow) SWF -- .98" ( All Snow) POU -- .92" ( All Snow) FWN -- 1.02" ( Sleet Possible) The warm layer is right around 875mb.. Its very shallow & comes while the precip is heavy. The warmest I saw was 0.4c at this layer @ FWN. Even at MGJ @ 875 its 0.0c. Every other layer is below 0c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 DT Last Call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:22 PM, snywx said: 12z NAM MGJ -- 1.03 ( All Snow) SWF -- .98" ( All Snow) POU -- .92" ( All Snow) FWN -- 1.02" ( Sleet Possible) The warm layer is right around 875mb.. Its very shallow & comes while the precip is heavy. The warmest I saw was 0.4c at this layer @ FWN. Even at MGJ @ 875 its 0.0c. Every other layer is below 0c It's going to be fun to nowcast this storm for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick5892 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Dang this is close for me. Funny how a few days ago we were all rooting this thing north and now were begging it to go south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-0-6will come in handy tonight tomorrow morning... If you wanna track the snow/mix line this is by far the best way to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 RGEM @ 5am.. ( Heavy Snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:22 PM, snywx said: 12z NAM MGJ -- 1.03 ( All Snow) SWF -- .98" ( All Snow) POU -- .92" ( All Snow) FWN -- 1.02" ( Sleet Possible) The warm layer is right around 875mb.. Its very shallow & comes while the precip is heavy. The warmest I saw was 0.4c at this layer @ FWN. Even at MGJ @ 875 its 0.0c. Every other layer is below 0c Should be a decent storm. I will be on the fence , but expect sleet and possibly rain at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 12z RGEM goes from Heavy Snow to Sleet back to Snow.. Def the warmest of the bunch & prob the most accurate. EDIT: Plain rain looks to make it up as far as W Passaic/Rockland/Westchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:41 PM, snywx said: RGEM @ 5am.. ( Heavy Snow) Rgem brings temps above freezing all the way up to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:41 PM, snywx said: RGEM @ 5am.. ( Heavy Snow) Morning commute may be difficult Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:41 PM, snywx said: RGEM @ 5am.. ( Heavy Snow) Wow. This could end up quite the mess around here. Ugh. Even if we flip to plain rain for a bit i think the damage will have been done roads/commuting/schools wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:43 PM, OrangeCountySnowZ said: Rgem brings temps above freezing all the way up to me No way our surface goes above freezing. Here is the warmest panel on the RGEM @ 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 A couple of precip-type images 12z 4km NAM 12z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:43 PM, OrangeCountySnowZ said: Rgem brings temps above freezing all the way up to me Surface temp definitely does not go above freezing. It is the most aggressive with 850's, bringing the 0 degree line north of basically all of us (except perhaps northern Uslter county). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 models still showing good front end dump of of snow, only;y change is they cut back on ice for some of us in this forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 3:53 PM, chietanen said: A couple of precip-type images 12z 4km NAM hires_ptype_acc_nyc_11.png 12z RGEM rgem_ptype_acc_nyc_14.png Both of those show a nice dump of snow prior to taint for anyone near 84 northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 12z RGEM gives some of us 25-30mm of snow before some taint. Not bad for being the warmest & most relaible short term model we have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Time for a new thread guys.... we are at 103 pages lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 12z GFS is a furnace... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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