UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 1:33 PM, WIN said: Always classy here. At the moment, the children in the main nyc forum are calm and have stopped the nonsense because it appears that their "fix" is coming. Good point lol, normally it's us verse them, I don't think Anyone cares that's some one may get 30 and they May get a measly 20+ lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Latest SREF means have increased as well. 1.57" QPF for Poughkeepsie. Looks like there's two camps, half of members have less than a half inch, the other half have more than 1.5. I still think we need to be wary of a eastward trend at the last minute. Something similar happened with Nemo, where the heaviest snows were modeled to be in NJ a couple days ahead of time and they ended up in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 1:57 PM, chietanen said: Latest SREF means have increased as well. 1.57" QPF for Poughkeepsie. Looks like there's two camps, half of members have less than a half inch, the other half have more than 1.5. I still think we need to be wary of a eastward trend at the last minute. Something similar happened with Nemo, where the heaviest snows were modeled to be in NJ a couple days ahead of time and they ended up in CT. Trof looks more negatively tilted on this one to worry about too much of a correction east. With a 30mb bombogenesis taking place, I'd be more concerned out on E LI and SE MA/CT as a stronger storm will tend to tuck in further west than progged. The concern for the Westerners is more of when does the precip shield as often happens in bombs like this, start contracting towards the center of the low, and if focused banding sets up in our area, who gets shafted in the areas adjoining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 1st image is 6z nam total qpf 2nd image is 12z total qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Latest NAM is a good hit too....joins others, trending better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayson Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just got back from the local Shop Rite. Place was completely jammed, not a parking spot to be found and the line was back to the dairy aisle. Gotta get the bread and milk before it runs dry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 2:49 PM, jayson said: Just got back from the local Shop Rite. Place was completely jammed, not a parking spot to be found and the line was back to the dairy aisle. Gotta get the bread and milk before it runs dry! We went early this morning, i had promised the kids turkey blts and milkshakes for lunch. Terrible terrible idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Hey when the board crashes later when the euro comes out where can we go to continue the discussion? Actually the alternate may be very useful at any time over the next three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayson Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:01 PM, gravitylover said: Hey when the board crashes later when the euro comes out where can we go to continue the discussion? Actually the alternate may be very useful at any time over the next three days. Hopefully they are ramping up capacity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:01 PM, gravitylover said: Hey when the board crashes later when the euro comes out where can we go to continue the discussion? Actually the alternate may be very useful at any time over the next three days. Believe it or not it didnt crash because of overcapacity, it was an attack of some sort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:08 PM, BxEngine said: Believe it or not it didnt crash because of overcapacity, it was an attack of some sort.Probably terrorists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Hoping blizzard watches expand to rest of HV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:35 PM, White Gorilla said: Hoping blizzard watches expand to rest of HVI honestly don't recall that last Blizzard Watch around here in Orange County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:35 PM, White Gorilla said: Hoping blizzard watches expand to rest of HV You are not gonna see that happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:45 PM, snywx said: You are not gonna see that happen... Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS does not look as good for the 12z run for the interior nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Upton.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Marked increase in toaster sales if the GFS and RGEM are onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:46 PM, White Gorilla said: Why?It's difficult to meet the criteria for a blizzard up here, specifically the wind is typically the issue. It's easier to get the required sustained winds down near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:46 PM, White Gorilla said: Why? Sustained winds would be lower than coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:50 PM, Juliancolton said: Marked increase in toaster sales if the GFS and RGEM are onto something.Oh weenies will be jumping left and right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Blizzard watches expanded but not up here. NYC and Rockland. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY953 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015...POTENTIALLY HISTORIC WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA FROM LATEMONDAY INTO TUESDAY....CTZ005-009-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-176-178-252300-/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.A.0002.150126T1800Z-150128T0500Z//O.EXA.KOKX.BZ.A.0001.150126T1800Z-150128T0500Z/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-953 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAYEVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARDWATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAYEVENING.* LOCATIONS...THE GREATER NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WITH BLIZZARDCONDITIONS LIKELY.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET...WITH LOCALLYHIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S.* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW AND STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUROVERNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL ANDSTRONG WINDS...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS LIKELY. SECONDARY ANDTERTIARY ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. STRONG WINDS MAY DOWNPOWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/ORBLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERYDANGEROUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 NEMO Part 2.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:47 PM, Animal said: GFS does not look as good for the 12z run for the interior nwUnless the Euro starts trending east I'm not concerned. We've already seen that the upgraded GFS is still unreliable so far at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 As of right now I'm going with 12-18" from W-E. If the Euro shifts east then this may have to drop some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:01 PM, gravitylover said: Hey when the board crashes later when the euro comes out where can we go to continue the discussion? Actually the alternate may be very useful at any time over the next three days.Last night a convo actually started on the American Weather facebook page while this board was down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 4:04 PM, snywx said: As of right now I'm going with 12-18" from W-E. If the Euro shifts east then this may have to drop some. It will be interesting too see what king euro shows in 2 hours. I like your thinking, good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 GFS is still a solid thump for the nw zones. 6-10 inches. east of the hudson - 12 + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 3:51 PM, hudsonvalley21 said: Sustained winds would be lower than coastal areas. I figured it has to do with winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 On 1/25/2015 at 4:07 PM, hudsonvalley21 said: It will be interesting too see what king euro shows in 2 hours. I like your thinking, good call. most likely a wee bit east of the past 2 epic runs. No reason on my end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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