St. Paddy's Day east coast snow storm 2014-or maybe the St Paddys' hangover storm?

[ag3]

GEFS say Canadian on crack.

 

I see 3-4 individual members that blow up a coastal that impacts the northeast.

It's not a total nothing on the GEFS.

[ag3]

I see 3-4 individual members that blow up a coastal that impacts the northeast.

It's not a total nothing on the GEFS.

 

And there are a couple that blow up a storm 1-2 days later.

[CoastalWx]

I see 3-4 individual members that blow up a coastal that impacts the northeast.

It's not a total nothing on the GEFS.

 

That's hardly convincing.

[ag3]

That's hardly convincing.

It's much better then zero members having a storm.

5-6 members have a storm from hour 144-180.

Different timing.

[CoastalWx]

It's much better then zero members having a storm.

5-6 members have a storm from hour 144-180.

Different timing.

 

Some other members last night at 00z had a follow up.

 

I'm just not really feeling much...might be better to wait for more agreement.

[Damage In Tolland]

Well if the Euro doesn't have it today..maybe we can delete this thread?

[CT Rain]

Hmmmm... Euro makes Monday very interesting!

[CTWeatherFreak]

Well if the Euro doesn't have it today..maybe we can delete this thread?

 

 

Im hearing congrats DC... but at this time frame, at least its got something to track.

[Allsnow]

euro brings back the storm for the mid-atlantic…gets light snow up to bdr

 

good hit dca….pretty much a whiff for nyc and sne on this run 

[CoastalWx]

Close brush on the euro.

[Heisy]

Yeah, EURO would of had a bigger low if more energy wasn't left in the Southwest. It still had a enough with it to form a modest low. Long way to go, threat is very much alive. 

[CT Rain]

Yeah, EURO would of had a bigger low if more energy wasn't left in the Southwest. It still had a enough with it to form a modest low. Long way to go, threat is very much alive. 

 

That PV to the north has something to say about it as well. But, man, another DCA snowstorm on Monday would really suck. 

[weathafella]

Euro is trying. This thread should not be deleted nor should Kevin's snow flurries threads.

[ORH_wxman]

Close brush on the euro.

 

 

Looked better than 00z for sure. Still a ways out for this one. Wouldn't be surprised if it came back...but there isn't a ton of room for this thing.

[CoastalWx]

Looked better than 00z for sure. Still a ways out for this one. Wouldn't be surprised if it came back...but there isn't a ton of room for this thing.

 

Looping 500mb....Jeez is that a complicated pattern. Euro splits off some energy and then it needs to try and phase with something breaking off the PV..or just have the PV north.

[CT Rain]

Euro is going to have a nice storm on Wednesday now. 

[ORH_wxman]

Euro is going to have a nice storm on Wednesday now. 

 

 

The 3/19 threat has been off and on on the Euro and ensmebels for several days now...the 3/17 threat has looked the strongest (though not as strong recently), but perhaps it is the 3/19 storm lurking in the weeds that ends up with a better setup once the PV tries to move to our northeast just a bit.

[Allsnow]

Euro is going to have a nice storm on Wednesday now. 

 

Verbatim 6-12 from nyc-bos….at the very least very active and cold next week on the euro

[weatherMA]

Lock up that run of the EURO lol...parts of  NJ get hit by 2 March snowstorms in 2.5 days. But between tomorrow/Monday/Wednesday this run lets everyone on the east coast get in on some fun.

 

Could be a good week to back in Mass. Spring cancel

[CT Rain]

The 3/19 threat has been off and on on the Euro and ensmebels for several days now...the 3/17 threat has looked the strongest (though not as strong recently), but perhaps it is the 3/19 storm lurking in the weeds that ends up with a better setup once the PV tries to move to our northeast just a bit.

 

Yeah you could see a scenario where PV grinds the 3/17 threat to pieces and allows the 3/19 to actually come to fruition. That said, don't want that PV to retreat too far!! 

[weatherMA]

More snow day 9 too??

[weathafella]

I edited the title a bit to reflect the uncertainty of which event ....3/17 or the next one...the hangover storm...lol.

[CT Rain]

Euro ensembles slower but the mean shows there are probably a fair amount of decent hits. The trough to the west is a bit more impressive on the mean and the PV is a decent bit farther north. 

[ORH_wxman]

Euro ensembles slower but the mean shows there are probably a fair amount of decent hits. The trough to the west is a bit more impressive on the mean and the PV is a decent bit farther north. 

 

 

They have the 3/19 system too, though its pretty diffuse on the mean.

[TalcottWx]

More snow day 9 too??

It will evaporate by day 4

[weathafella]

Euro ens like the 17th for sure.

[Ginx snewx]

Euro ens like the 17th for sure.

says GEFS are the ones on crack

[blizzard24]

does the weatherbell have the ecwmf essembles yes or no

[CT Rain]

Euro ensembles quite bullish with QPF for the Monday event. Looks like ~20% of members have >1" of QPF from BOS to HVN with about 40% of members with >0.5" of QPF in that same region. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro ensembles quite bullish with QPF for the Monday event. Looks like ~20% of members have >1" of QPF from BOS to HVN with about 40% of members with >0.5" of QPF in that same region. 

Is that a good signal with those %'s from this far out?