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St. Paddy's Day east coast snow storm 2014-or maybe the St Paddys' hangover storm?

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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Posted
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At least in 2010, we really didn't have a shot (though the interior elevations had a chance mid-month, but it never trended quite cold enough) due to that polar rotting airmass, though I know the hopes were high going into that March with the blocking pattern.....this current pattern has been taunting us for the first half of the month with a big storm down in the M.A. on 3/3 and a huge storm just 100 miles north of us 3/12-13....its been some cruddy luck. We've had a ton of cold and two big systems close by, but they have conspired to leave us in the 7/10 split.

 

 

The irony is that there will be little rest for the weary as this pattern is almost certainly going to produce more threats between now and the end of the month. Who likes pain? :lol:

I didn't mean meterologically....just that we were in a situation that would have buried us 9/10 times, and managed next to nothing with surgical percision.

Man, I thought the beast of a man in 2010 was bad....this one has claimed family memebers.

 

I officially loathe the month of March.

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Randy4Confluence

Randy4Confluence

Posted
Posted

At least in 2010, we really didn't have a shot (though the interior elevations had a chance mid-month, but it never trended quite cold enough) due to that polar rotting airmass, though I know the hopes were high going into that March with the blocking pattern.....this current pattern has been taunting us for the first half of the month with a big storm down in the M.A. on 3/3 and a huge storm just 100 miles north of us 3/12-13....its been some cruddy luck. We've had a ton of cold and two big systems close by, but they have conspired to leave us in the 7/10 split.

The irony is that there will be little rest for the weary as this pattern is almost certainly going to produce more threats between now and the end of the month. Who likes pain? :lol:

I think I remember the two blizzards that the MA had in one week with us having a legit shot at the second one ( Feb 10th I think) staying to our south as well as the feb 5th one. So that Feb 10th storm was a legit chance for us I think. I remember the pain well.

Sent from my VS980 4G using Tapatalk

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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I think I remember the two blizzards that the MA had in one week with us having a legit shot at the second one ( Feb 10th I think) staying to our south as well as the feb 5th one. So that Feb 10th storm was a legit chance for us I think. I remember the pain well.

Sent from my VS980 4G

 

 

He was talking about March...not February. February 2010 def had some legit chances for us.

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted

At least in 2010, we really didn't have a shot (though the interior elevations had a chance mid-month, but it never trended quite cold enough) due to that polar rotting airmass, though I know the hopes were high going into that March with the blocking pattern.....this current pattern has been taunting us for the first half of the month with a big storm down in the M.A. on 3/3 and a huge storm just 100 miles north of us 3/12-13....its been some cruddy luck. We've had a ton of cold and two big systems close by, but they have conspired to leave us in the 7/10 split.

 

 

The irony is that there will be little rest for the weary as this pattern is almost certainly going to produce more threats between now and the end of the month. Who likes pain? :lol:

maybe by April 10th the gradient will be over us instead of DC with the passage of another month's time...

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Posted
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I think I remember the two blizzards that the MA had in one week with us having a legit shot at the second one ( Feb 10th I think) staying to our south as well as the feb 5th one. So that Feb 10th storm was a legit chance for us I think. I remember the pain well.

Sent from my VS980 4G

That was the one that was forecasted to hit us...and just didn't.

 

I had checked out by that point, and kept telling folks that it was over.

It was me, against Will and science.

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Cold Miser

Cold Miser

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Posted

This is up there with the worse Marches/most frustrating finishes that I can recall.

I agree. It's one thing to go into March, knowing it's going to really be MORCH, with warmth and wet precip. instead of white.  In this case we knew (know) the cold would (will) be there for most of the month, and hope for white, but instead get mainly cold, dry, and shriveled up.  Morch is frustrating, but most are prepared by the time it happens.  In this case it's like watching the rug get pulled out from under us time and time again, usually within the 3-4 day period.

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I agree. It's one thing to go into March, knowing it's going to really be MORCH, with warmth and wet precip. instead of white.  In this case we knew (know) the cold would (will) be there for most of the month, and hope for white, but instead get mainly cold, dry, and shriveled up.  Morch is frustrating, but most are prepared by the time it happens.  In this case it's like watching the rug get pulled out from under us time and time again, usually within the 3-4 day period.

Morch is less frustrating because not only are you prepared for it, but you can start embracing the change of seasons by that time.

There is zero consolation here....its just bad.

Sure, we at least have "plenty of chances", and "something to track", but if the wool is still being pulled over your eyes at this advanced stage, then shame on you.

I can't pull out a chart from the attic of the CPC to illustrate this point, but patterns, like seasons, do take on personas......and this is one hell-bent on defecating over the collective chest of the sne snow enthusiast.

Period.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

At least in 2010, we really didn't have a shot (though the interior elevations had a chance mid-month, but it never trended quite cold enough) due to that polar rotting airmass, though I know the hopes were high going into that March with the blocking pattern.....this current pattern has been taunting us for the first half of the month with a big storm down in the M.A. on 3/3 and a huge storm just 100 miles north of us 3/12-13....its been some cruddy luck. We've had a ton of cold and two big systems close by, but they have conspired to leave us in the 7/10 split.

The irony is that there will be little rest for the weary as this pattern is almost certainly going to produce more threats between now and the end of the month. Who likes pain? :lol:

The GFS and Ensembles keep the freezer going in Canada and that spills into the nrn tier from time to time.

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SnowGoose69

SnowGoose69

Posted
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When all else fails we used to turn to JB for hope..Now we know better

 

 

GFS back south again. UKMEY back further north than last night. I dont believe model handling of this as it continues to look bizarre to me

 

He could be right this time, I was pretty sure last event that the suppression deal was right the second it started showing but this one is more sloppy phase or energy timing etc...if the energy ejects faster this thing comes north, there is PV action but to me it ain't enough to suppress this sucker if it decides to go all out, this one will come north if that occurs...I mentioned in the NYC thread I'm always leery of universal model swings on one run, especially past 36-48 hours...there tends to be a holdout or two among the big models and there was none here except for the NAM which I'm discounting...this could be overcorrection on the idea the phase won't be big but it may not be as miserable as the 12Z runs show, may be more in between this and the NAM idea.

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Cold Miser

Cold Miser

Posted
Posted

Morch is less frustrating because not only are you prepared for it, but you can start embracing the change of seasons by that time.

There is zero consolation here....its just bad.

Sure, we at least have "plenty of chances", and "something to track", but if the wool is still being pulled over your eyes at this advanced stage, then shame on you.

I can't pull out a chart from the attic of the CPC to illustrate this point, but patterns, like seasons, do take on personas......and this is one hell-bent on defecating over the collective chest of the sne snow enthusiast.

Period.

lol.  Would be interesting to see that.

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Randy4Confluence

Randy4Confluence

Posted
Posted

That was the one that was forecasted to hit us...and just didn't.

I had checked out by that point, and kept telling folks that it was over.

It was me, against Will and science.

yeah, I think i remember you had something going on like a car accident or a health issue or something like that that year and so you weren't into it.

Sent from my VS980 4G

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted

Quickly exits stage, low and right. 

The end. 

No applause. 

No bow to the audience. 

No encore. 

Fin...

 

I think we're done with another significant snow outside of the hilly terrain here in CT. Without any legit threat on the horizon climo becomes a bear by the last week in March. 

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Brian5671

Brian5671

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Posted

I think we're done with another significant snow outside of the hilly terrain here in CT. Without any legit threat on the horizon climo becomes a bear by the last week in March. 

agree.   Maybe some grassy type accums unless we get some freak like 4/6/82...short but heavy hitting snowfall duration (12/10/13-2/17/14 here b/w first and last snowfall)  (not counting trace amts etc)

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