St. Paddy's Day east coast snow storm 2014-or maybe the St Paddys' hangover storm?

[CoastalWx]

I hope that feeling I have of watching 30dbz echoes tickle ACK won't occur. 

[dryslot]

Yawn, Looks like a cirrus bomb up here

[codfishsnowman]

maybe honing in on big hit for dc to philly, be kind of cool to see philly break all time record.....at least be something to watch

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Starting to get the feeling this may be a fringe job here.

[Jonger]

I'll be in Boston Sunday though Tuesday, hoping to see some snow.

[Ginx snewx]

Slipping away,dry air issues.

[Damage In Tolland]

Slipping away,dry air issues.

Lol based on the Nam?

[CT Rain]

Lol based on the Nam?

 

Euro ens were a bit less bullish last night too 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The nam for sure took a step to a south and less amplified solution. As has been stated, there is going to be a sharp cutoff, and it looks like it may set up south

[CoastalWx]

I think it's too early to jump on any conclusions right now. We'll know in a few hours.

[ORH_wxman]

RGEM is still burying a bit too much energy for my liking.

[Heisy]

RGEM is still burying a bit too much energy for my liking.

 

Just about to post this, def not a good sign...Looks kind of like the 6z GFS at the same time frame. 

[Ginx snewx]

Lol based on the Nam?

You know me better than that,fringe at best

[ORH_wxman]

You know me better than that,fringe at best

 

 

We can't seem to get that one last tick...this system may have been revived enough to get the mid-atlantic another storm, but we may be stuck in the 7-10 split again...last system north, next one south. Hopefully not the case, but we need today's runs to be better than 00z.  

[CT Rain]

We can't seem to get that one last tick...this system may have been revived enough to get the mid-atlantic another storm, but we may be stuck in the 7-10 split again...last system north, next one south. Hopefully not the case, but we need today's runs to be better than 00z.  

 

Through 48H the PV looks a bit more stout to our north. Probably not a good sign. 

[Damage In Tolland]

You know me better than that,fringe at best

This morning you were posting we were getting plow able then the nam cones out and you say whiff. It's coming south of pike

[CoastalWx]

Looks like crap.

[ORH_wxman]

Through 48H the PV looks a bit more stout to our north. Probably not a good sign. 

 

Yeah GFS is not gonna let this one in.

 

That is a beast to our north.

[CoastalWx]

Another waste it seems. Man, crap luck since the end of Feb.

[forkyfork]

game over... sheared out system, further south vortex

[JC-CT]

Disappointment epicosity. We were always hoping for a trend north in the medium range though, so it's not exactly like the rug is being pulled out from under us.

[ORH_wxman]

If we can trend that energy to coming out in more one piece, rather than burying it, then we'll have a nice system on our hands, but it just doesn't want to do it.

 

Still close enough to keep an eye on, but we're running out of time.

[ORH_wxman]

Disappointment epicosity. We were always hoping for a trend north in the medium range though, so it's not exactly like the rug is being pulled out from under us.

 

 

Yep, we haven't had a good model suite on this threat for several days...we revived it yesterday from the dead but it was not fully north to our area...we're still hoping for that one last piece to amplify things, but we seemed to have stalled out on a solution where not enough energy comes out in one piece.

[JC-CT]

If we can trend that energy to coming out in more one piece, rather than burying it, then we'll have a nice system on our hands, but it just doesn't want to do it.

 

Still close enough to keep an eye on, but we're running out of time.

 

Although...I think I said a week or so ago that I liked the second piece of energy that trails this one better because the cold airmass was already in place. Hard to believe if this one gets squashed by the PV, that we will get a cutter for the next one.

[Damage In Tolland]

So much for all the enthusiasm and folks loving the trends. Guess this means mid week will cut. Hopefully the gun has run out of bullets..or at least jam the damn chamber so it doesn't shoot anymore

[weathafella]

Grim prognosis on this for us. But Kevin is correct if you consider the fact that DC is south of the pike.

[Heisy]

I don't think it is so much the PV, more the energy splitting because there's so much energy digging on the back side of the trough. Damn shame. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Honestly, looks like crap. What a shame the end of this winter is becoming. Wasted cold. Bring on warm weather if this is the crap we will be dealing with until the end of March

[ORH_wxman]

Grim prognosis on this for us. But Kevin is correct if you consider the fact that DC is south of the pike.

 

 

12z Euro is probably the final decider whether this stays alive or not...its getting to 3 days now. If it trends flatter and a whiff, then I think that's the daggar...if its a scraper then perhaps we live to fight one more day (or run)

 

Ukie looks like it would be pretty good for at least the south coast/souther areas if we could see one more frame past 72...but I'm not putting much stock into that model.

[Damage In Tolland]

Grim prognosis on this for us. But Kevin is correct if you consider the fact that DC is south of the pike.

Just a sad turn of events post Feb 17th. I knew the other day I shouldn't get sucked into this one when i told you to delete this thread..but of course I did, so that's my fault. I'd have preferred a Morch if I knew this was how the last 40 days of winter would turn out. What a colossal waste of time