Mitchell Gaines Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 I don't think a long drawn out .1 per every six hours will accumulate well on a warmer ground coupled with the March sun angle. Keep this mind before going 10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Its helpful to see that there is some sort of convergence in the models today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Only three of the 12 12Z GFS ensembles are suppressed at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Its helpful to see that there is some sort of convergence in the models today. Its about that time for your early TTN predictions, or too soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 SECS seems to be in order. EURO trended north, GGEM just a little south with split waves, GFS more north. Still have plenty of time. It seens the models agree on the energy out west, but not sold on the PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Its about that time for your early TTN predictions, or too soon? After what happened last time? Heck no, I'll wait til Saturday... unless you want my early early WAG, which is "coating to many inches" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 After what happened last time? Heck no, I'll wait til Saturday... unless you want my early early WAG, which is "coating to many inches" lol what was the last early prediction? 6-12? 5-10? I think we got half an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 lol what was the last early prediction? 6-12? 5-10? I think we got half an inch Yeah 5-10... take smaller number, divide by 10, actual answer. Epic fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Yeah 5-10... take smaller number, divide by 10, actual answer. Epic fail. I never seen that much bust since a Kate Upton SI swimsuit issue. Fair enough I'll bug you Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 lol what was the last early prediction? 6-12? 5-10? I think we got half an inch Almost everyone went down the shi$ter on that storm. But at least I got out of TTN airport that Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Almost everyone went down the shi$ter on that storm. But at least I got out of TTN airport that Monday. They hype worked, cause my work canceled the night before and I didn't have to shovel anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 lol what was the last early prediction? 6-12? 5-10? I think we got half an inch You're a douche. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Elaborate. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 ECM edged north but not much more than mood flakes. Mood flakes don't cut it in march I get called names if make a pessamistic post in the NYC thread. They are out for hotdogs with no buns in the thread. I just don't see the idea of a big or event medium to small event in the NYC area. All you read is how the euro and GFS are trending towards the GGEM. They way I see it is the GGEM trended towards the GFS. I want one last storm too, but serious weenies getting tossed again over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 A couple of inches wouldn't be a ridiculous assumption at this point Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Elaborate. Sent from my iPhone you basically just bashed a red tagger...not cool man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Maybe sarcasm doesn't come across with texts. But I most certainly didn't. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Normal NAM preface but 18z north and bullish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Normal NAM preface but 18z north and bullishmaybe I'm blind but majority of precip looks squashed to the south by the pv to my aging eyes...we're living on the edge literally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 You're a douche. May want to tone down the rhetoric. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 maybe I'm blind but majority of precip looks squashed to the south by the pv to my aging eyes...we're living on the edge literally Agreed, however hr 78 18z def north of hr 84 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 maybe I'm blind but majority of precip looks squashed to the south by the pv to my aging eyes...we're living on the edge literally Yeah, that's ugly verbatim. We need better consolidation of energy to start showing up asap, else we're at the mercy of the PV, which has proven itself to be both friend and foe this year. A bit concerning because usually the NAM is amped up and wet and it looks very "meh" at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 You're a douche. This has signature written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 :weenie: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 I get called names if make a pessamistic post in the NYC thread. They are out for hotdogs with no buns in the thread. I just don't see the idea of a big or event medium to small event in the NYC area. All you read is how the euro and GFS are trending towards the GGEM. They way I see it is the GGEM trended towards the GFS. I want one last storm too, but serious weenies getting tossed again over there. i dont buy this models trending to each other stuff.....basically what does the model show? gfs/ggem show a measurable event for NYC, euro just snow showers. They are converging on a solution, which 4 days out is reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2014 Author Share Posted March 13, 2014 Don't like the 18z runs, they buried the energy farther southwest, and the lead wave was weaker....but its 18z... so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Why do I love the 18z GFS? Gives Philadelphia and central NJ .50-.75 - all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Come on guys, we all know the models are going to waffle on this at least till tomorrow(regarding the energy being ejected), but the QPF wont be locked for a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Overall I would say we are in better shape than we were 24 hrs. ago as most models are converging on at least some snow. Plenty of time to go and hanging energy back in the southwest seems like an unlikely scenario, would expect at least a good portion of it to come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I get called names if make a pessamistic post in the NYC thread. They are out for hotdogs with no buns in the thread. I just don't see the idea of a big or event medium to small event in the NYC area. All you read is how the euro and GFS are trending towards the GGEM. They way I see it is the GGEM trended towards the GFS. I want one last storm too, but serious weenies getting tossed again over there. It's called snow goggles, get them at wal mart It might be rare to get two storms suppressed by cold air in march but certainly not impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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