Heisy Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 EURO also shows a modest event next Wednesday for the burbs lol... Like Mitchell said, the GFS always has issues with storms that have origins in Canada, it always has trouble turning the corner with those shortwaves. The EURO lags energy behind in the southwest, if it hadn't it would of had an even bigger storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 GFS is to far south, always is at this range but this may still go OTS or be to warm. The lines separating OTS, snow, and rain get closer together for the I-95 corridor this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 EURO actually has 3 snow events for our area next week, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Where's the March 2004 comparison... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 GFS is to far south, always is at this range but this may still go OTS or be to warm.gfs has been the most consistent thus far in shearing everything and going ots. Something to considet anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 gfs has been the most consistent thus far in shearing everything and going ots. Something to considet anyway. While the EURO bomb never happened for the event this week, the GFS at one point was out to sea/snow for Philly...GGEM/EURO crushed it generally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 While the EURO bomb never happened for the event this week, the GFS at one point was out to sea/snow for Philly...GGEM/EURO crushed it generally. GGEM has been particularly useful lately. I'd watch it closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 EURO ens mean looks pretty good. I'm guessing we see some major changes on the GFS by 00z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 GGEM has been particularly useful lately. I'd watch it closely.agreed it seems to be on a hot streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 agreed it seems to be on a hot streak Just think, by next winter the GGEM will have 4DVAR or whatever its called. We'll all be up late waiting for the GGEM instead of the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Just think, by next winter the GGEM will have 4DVAR or whatever its called. We'll all be up late waiting for the GGEM instead of the EURO. whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa, I wouldn't go that far chief. ha ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa, I wouldn't go that far chief. ha ha ha Well, it has some major upgrades that might make it a better overall model than the GFS at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Well, it has some major upgrades that might make it a better overall model than the GFS at leastit had a load of upgrades last spring as well. Its not a bad model as it is now...can only get better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 11, 2014 Author Share Posted March 11, 2014 Look @ the GFS @ 90 hours and the EURO @ 96 hours, it paints the picture on why they differ so much, it has to do with the energy that is left behind at 60 hours. The EURO leaves it way west and phases it with the energy diving out of Canada. The GFS shoots it eastward and doesn't phase. GFS did lag that energy behind a bit more at 18z, but if we're going to see a big change it might not be until 00z tonight. We can hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Well, it has some major upgrades that might make it a better overall model than the GFS at least Oh I agree. It has been pretty good this year though too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 If my memory serves me the euro has a tendency to hold energy back too long so don't be surprised if the euro starts looking like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Stats to show how the GGEM has been kicking butt lately... ranked #2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 The euro ens mean is more robust than the OP, 6z GFS started to come around and there are some big changes on the individuals, it also looks like if the storm forms it will hit us at night which would help... I made a $50 bet with Colin on Facebook that we get 6" either in Philly or Allentown, that's how confident I am right now haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The euro ens mean is more robust than the OP, 6z GFS started to come around and there are some big changes on the individuals, it also looks like if the storm forms it will hit us at night which would help... I made a $50 bet with Colin on Facebook that we get 6" either in Philly or Allentown, that's how confident I am right now haha. Guessing that Colin is betting on a whiff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Guessing that Colin is betting on a whiff... Whiff, rain, or a weaker system, there's a lot of ways that may not happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The euro ens mean is more robust than the OP, 6z GFS started to come around and there are some big changes on the individuals, it also looks like if the storm forms it will hit us at night which would help... I made a $50 bet with Colin on Facebook that we get 6" either in Philly or Allentown, that's how confident I am right now haha. Are you still accepting bets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The euro ens mean is more robust than the OP, 6z GFS started to come around and there are some big changes on the individuals, it also looks like if the storm forms it will hit us at night which would help... I made a $50 bet with Colin on Facebook that we get 6" either in Philly or Allentown, that's how confident I am right now haha. It would have to be a pretty robust system or fall completely over night for this area to see 6" of snow in mid-late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 It would have to be a pretty robust system or fall completely over night for this area to see 6" of snow in mid-late March. That bet is fundamentally flawed unless both parties agreed on how often the board will be measured and cleared... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 Well, the catch is if neither Philly or Allentown measure 6" then I can never post about a 5+ day storm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 GGEM looks like a huge hit per other forums, waiting on stormvista to update because the free maps are slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 12z GGEM is MECS for I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I'm jumping all-in on this one so let it grow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I'm jumping all-in on this one so let it grow! Too late you said you were out the other day and were ready for spring didn't you?? ha ha ha just kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Too late you said you were out the other day and were ready for spring didn't you?? ha ha ha just kiddingI'm totally ready for spring and striper fishing but I can take one more late season snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 If the EURO holds serve and backs the GGEM I will take one step in at this point. The GFS did start to take strides to a more GGEM/EURO like solution as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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