MattMal88 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Geez guys way to rain on my parade lol jk but I did see that temps arent very good for snow around here im just being hopeful for one last hit before winter says goodbye. I didnt know the euro had shown this in the LR so there goes that theory lol. Now if this did come up the coast and tracked a little further offshore would that help us with the cold air since winds would be out of the N/NE or would it not really matter because the cold air is retreating? Any road trip planned for tonite Highz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 If the NAM solution for wave 2 was correct, you would have seen the Euro move towards it last night. We are now inside its wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 16, 2014 Author Share Posted March 16, 2014 The 9z SREF bumped a good bit north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 That looks like a nice line heading into the FL panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 NAM is a bit north... 2-3" for PHL, but only a dusting at TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
svh19044 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 South Carolina Jackpot? for rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 NAM is a bit north... 2-3" for PHL, but only a dusting at TTN. Obviously tight gradient to say the least. Some of the short range models (RAP for example) actually look pretty good for PHL. I could see 3-4 in Philly if things go decently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 NAM appears to be giving up on that silly nor'easter it showed late in its last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 RUC way north but I think it is still out of range....ray would know better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 PHL needs 2.7" for second place all-time. It's gonna be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 PHL needs 2.7" for second place all-time. It's gonna be close.We still have plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 We still have plenty of time. Theoretically, yes. Climatologically, the average latest measurable snowfall at PHL is tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 If GFS is to be believed, we could get that 2.7 in PHL by tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 12Z GFS tightened up the gradient, less north of about TTN, more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Theoretically, yes. Climatologically, the average latest measurable snowfall at PHL is tomorrow.Aprils 19 inch freak event? This winter still has tricks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 FURTHER N...PCPN WILL FALLIN THE FORM OF SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE MID ATLC REGION. THE GFSWAS SLIGHTLY MORE ENHANCED WITH MID LEVEL TROF THRU THE TN VALLEYWHICH APPEARS TO RESULT IN BRINGING MDT PCPN AMOUNTS FARTHER NTHAN GENL MODEL CONSENSUS. AS A RESULT...LEANED CLOSER TO A 12ZEC/00Z NAM/00 UKMET BLEND IN THIS REGION. FARTHER WEST...LOCALPCPN MAX IS EXPECTED NEAR QSTNY COMMA HEAD FEATURE OVER SRN MO/ARREGION WHICH SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH TIME AND EVENTUALLY PULLEDSOUTH IN RESPONSE TO S/WV DIGGING TO ITS SOUTHWEST ACRS S TX. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfpfd -------------------------------------------------------- http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Atl_tab.shtml http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19 http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/goes-west_goes-east.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Just a guess, but I think WWA will be extended to PHL at some point today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 NAM is a bit north... 2-3" for PHL, but only a dusting at TTN. I like my coating-2" call for Warminster. Holding firm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 NAM appears to be giving up on that silly nor'easter it showed late in its last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 NAM appears to be giving up on that silly nor'easter it showed late in its last few runs. Poor wiggum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Poor wiggum lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 RGEM... ~2 TTN, 3-4 in the city, 8-10 Cape May, 10+ southern Delaware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfiend420 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 How come all the sudden wunderground has me for 3-5" tonight? Do they follow a specific model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Storm trending well for PHL area on the models today, always tough with such a tight gradient. Still surprised at lack of interest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 If you believe the 12z NAM no snow for TTN. If you believe the GFS, 1-2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 How come all the sudden wunderground has me for 3-5" tonight? Do they follow a specific model? Wunderground Data http://www.wunderground.com/about/data.asp Screenshot http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Clown maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 I tend to trust the NAM more with sharp cutoffs. The global models often have precip too far north in these cases. I think the RGEM brought precip up to NYC, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Great trends today for qpf even if the northern edge hasn't moved north a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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