wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Okay, a range then? See NWS snow map ..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 NAM looks like globals, should be south, idk if it'll clip us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 See NWS snow map ..lol That would be great if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 well, from almost nothing (Euro, GGEM) to the NAM, which is about an inch of liquid. stay tuned on the NAM though, the latest run doesnt look so hot. What I'm hoping is that today was a shift more than a trend, and that this won't go the way of 3/02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 NAM @ 60 hours is a Mason Dixon line and south special. Hammers Northern VA, MD, DE, and South Jersey. North of the turnpike is shut out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 I still think the 00z NAM is overdone...Unless the EURO/GFS come in wetter, I think 00z NAM is BEST CASE scenario for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I still think the 00z NAM is overdone...Unless the EURO/GFS come in wetter, I think 00z NAM is BEST CASE scenario for us... I know you had your heart set on a big event, but I do think this threat can still be salvaged for us. The NAM still gets us into a nice band for a while, and hey, it will definitely be cold. We could still get a decent and really unusually cold March event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Just per NAM run would be historic mid March snow for South Jersey. Clown maps will be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 NAM has 0.64" for PHL, 0.36" for TTN, 0.01" for ABE. Could be wrong, but I'd lean towards the NAM not being done correcting itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Looks like a hit for Cumberland, Atlantic and Cape May Counties at least! Good for them. Hope they get pummled. May have to make a road trip down to my father's house in Vineland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 so the nam has become an adjusting itself / catch-up model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I still think the 00z NAM is overdone...Unless the EURO/GFS come in wetter, I think 00z NAM is BEST CASE scenario for us... Lots of talk on Mid Atlantic thread that this is starting to look like a Miller A. AND that at hour 84 round two looking primed to come up coast. Hmmmm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Lots of talk on Mid Atlantic thread that this is starting to look like a Miller A. AND that at hour 84 round two looking primed to come up coast. Hmmmm....that feature could very well be our saving grace. Something to watch anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Assuming the cold air is still around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 She gone. GFS south Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 She gone. GFS south Sent from my iPhone This model this run. "She" wasn't gone on NAM...lol..but you made no comment on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 This model this run. "She" wasn't gone on NAM...lol..but you made no comment on that. The NAM finally bit on the massive shift south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 GFS is still a qpf outlier. Could it end up being right??? Sure, but it is an outlier. Still has cold air in place though. Let's see what the rest of the 00z suite shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 GFS is still a qpf outlier. Could it end up being right??? Sure, but it is an outlier. Still has cold air in place though. Let's see what the rest of the 00z suite shows. Outlier compared to what? Differences between the GFS, EC and GGEM are pretty small at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I'd like to finalize my call for my area ... coating - 2" . I took an inch off the high end of that range from earlier today. Hopefully I don't bust too high :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Outlier compared to what? Differences between the GFS, EC and GGEM are pretty small at this point. RGEM closer to NAM. And if we look at entire 00Z suite at the very least it's "incomplete". Let's see what more consistent GGEM so far this winter and King Euro say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I'll go with .7" IMBY. Same as March 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 RGEM closer to NAM. And if we look at entire 00Z suite at the very least it's "incomplete". Let's see what more consistent GGEM so far this winter and King Euro say You must've missed the hard right the 12Z GGEM took. That, btw, destroys any semblance of "consistency" it had. Right now the GFS is more consistent than the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Here's a reminder... last night's 0Z GGEM versus this morning's 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 speaking of GGEM, rolling out now. Man I hate those black and white maps. DC looks sweet. Most of us north of the good stuff, south jersey does well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 As far as model consistency, I'd say the Euro is winning that contest, I don't think it has showed a single run with a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 As far as model consistency, I'd say the Euro is winning that contest, I don't think it has showed a single run with a big hit. Definitely. It got close once or twice, but overall no big hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Just saw color maps for GGEM, we are pretty close to a nice hit per GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 Just saw color maps for GGEM, we are pretty close to a nice hit per GGEM Yeah, it actually surprisingly jumped N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Just saw it GGEM. So just for 00z suite. NAM and GGEM at the very least solid hits, GFS not. EURO up in a little over an hour. Good night folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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