WxUSAF Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Don't forget the extra hour of sunlight Oh I haven't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 It's what snow weenies do. We have to be in because if we weren't we would be faux weenies. Even though many are indifferent at this point (me included), if this threat becomes real everyone on the board will be all in at med-short range. It would make sense given the year we've had that we squeeze another event. Even if messy. Anything less than 2" would suck tho Totally agree, 3-6" would even suck, I'm in it for the big one...Yeah if we get this baby into the 120 range the board will light up, we saw what happened last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Totally agree, 3-6" would even suck, I'm in it for the big one...Yeah if we get this baby into the 120 range the board will light up, we saw what happened last year I need 8 to get me solidly over 40 for the winter. Anything less isn't worth another massive salt dump on the roads and my car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 10, 2014 Author Share Posted March 10, 2014 im ready for one more...its kinda of cool that I am still looking at models so late in the winter. We are due a PD storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 12z euro ens run looks awful pretty. LP tracks atl-obx-up the coast. A lot of wiggle room @ mid levels. 850 line south of RIC. Precip panels look great for a long lead. Decent hp on the means in se canada and 50/50 signal. I also read the 'awful pretty' as 'pretty awful'. Would be interesting to have 50 weather weenies and 50 normal people read it and compare the results. IF we're going to get a memorable march snow, this is one of the good ways to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Highzenberg's reminder duly noted - we have just about four months to score in these parts I am rooting for frozen because it will be 90 and hot before too long. Enjoy the modeled snow while it lasts. Rejoice if any of it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I came in here to tease you guys and say no chance but after looking at the gfs ens I think we might just have a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I came in here to tease you guys and say no chance but after looking at the gfs ens I think we might just have a chance. The ensembles can be plenty wrong at this range. I think people assume because the ensembles look ok it's terribly meaningful. Let's see where we are in 2 days.. my guess is it won't look nearly as good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The ensembles can be plenty wrong at this range. I think people assume because the ensembles look ok it's terribly meaningful. Let's see where we are in 2 days.. my guess is it won't look nearly as good. I agree, but do find it interesting that most look cold and stormy. Of course, even that wouldn't guarantee snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 So what is the top analog for this storm. And please don't tell me March 1993 is showing up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 #StPaddymageddon Spread the word... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 So what is the top analog for this storm. And please don't tell me March 1993 is showing up again. I heard March 1956 was showing up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 So what is the top analog for this storm. And please don't tell me March 1993 is showing up again. March 2001, March 2013, December 2010, and December 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 So what is the top analog for this storm. And please don't tell me March 1993 is showing up again. Spread the word. StPattymageddon It's gon snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Spread the word. StPattymageddon It's gon snow It's like the late, drunk, redneck cousin of the unicorn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I like the looks of 174 on the 00z GFS... 1008 L in SE TX 192 - 1001 L near JAX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I like the looks of 174 on the 00z GFS... 1008 L in SE TX 192 - 1001 L near JAX Crappy western ridge=no phase=ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Crappy western ridge=no phase=ots Actually I think its the system in the plains booting just east of us... doesn't matter though. GFS has a large storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Actually I think its the system in the plains booting just east of us... doesn't matter though. GFS has a large storm GFS typically kicks big storms out to sea in the day 3-8 time frame while the euro shows huge hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Well GGEM is different...looks like some sort of front running storm...and then it's just hanging moisture down there waiting for the s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golia1w Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 #StPaddymageddon Spread the word... StPaddyMcGeddon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 EURO OTS? North trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 EURO still held the overall idea, it split some energy off down south at 168 hours...but in general the threat is still alive. Going to take 2-3 days to start getting a grasp on things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 For those just waking up, here is some wx porn from the DGEX for this storm... This is an absolute white beast forming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 EURO still held the overall idea, it split some energy off down south at 168 hours...but in general the threat is still alive. Going to take 2-3 days to start getting a grasp on things. LOL It's dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 One thing is for sure, the LR data is looking well-below for March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 LOL It's dead. LOL, great analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 One thing is for sure, the LR data is looking well-below for March That isn't good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 10, 2014 Author Share Posted March 10, 2014 the euro took a dump on my face Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The DGEX? How much time have you spent tracking storms this year that never pan out? For those just waking up, here is some wx porn from the DGEX for this storm... This is an absolute white beast forming... epic.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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