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ST Patricks Day Storm discussion


Ji

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Is that good considering there are 50? :).

Eta: What does the Control run show

Control is a big hit nw. Fred-carroll. But pretty weak in the cities.

Mean precip panels show tons of spread. Not much of a signal. No 6hr panels show more than .10 along the coast. Heaviest axis off shore. We're way too far out to worry about anything though. Mid march snow requires a near perfect setup for a good hit. Seems like enough guidance points to having enough cold air around at least

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It's pretty safe to say the gfs solution won't verify but still not a bad look. Dual low structure is a killer for mid levels. Hardly concerned about anything at this lead. I've seen enough lr guidance to feel fairly confident that we will see snow fall from the sky before the month ends.

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I take it the Euro lost the storm already.

Just getting to it. Looks a bit more amped early but starts as snow at least. Of course the center is like 3 states from where it was last night at the same time.

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Yeah, this run may be only 12-18.  Sucks

It's way drier than 0z but still a good hit.. .75ish for us looks like at least on the coarse maps.. max to the N/W in PA/WV. 0z was pretty absurd.. 2"+ locally.

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