ravensrule Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Guess you missed the sarcasm ? I want March 58 II honestly, 50" in parts of PA! You should ask Mitch about that storm, i think he was a junior in college that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 12z Euro Ensembles mean shows about 3.8"...edging up from around 3" in the 00z run. TRENDING WELL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Looks like the kayaks and fishing rods will have to be delayed another few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 March 93 or bust. Then it'll be a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 GFS still ain't buying it, but that will likely change soon.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 GFS punts the shortwave down south eastward, no phasing... So its GGEM/EURO/JMA/NAM/EURO ens. Vs. GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 actually, it is trying to get its act together, its just much slower... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Try as it might, the GFS can't get it together. I swear, it's trying though. Nice High placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Fwiw, DGEX is a big, solid hit. Not like that's unexpected or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Try as it might, the GFS can't get it together. I swear, it's trying though. Nice High placement Thought I saw the GFS ensemble with a decent event for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Good ol' GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Thought I saw the GFS ensemble with a decent event for us. The members were basically spray. Pick a solution basically. With all other guidance not agreeing with gfs op and considering how it did with the 2/12 storm it's pretty easy to not hedge towards a squashed solution at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpasi Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 To give the DGEX a bit of credit..I remember seeing it as a big hit with the 2/13 storm...we saw what happened there...fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 You should ask Mitch about that storm, i think he was a junior in college that year. yeah, and I would have passed if the Dean didn't have it out for me...I hate that guy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Good ol' DGEX is a major snowstorm of course. Cold snow temperatures are around 25 at onset dropping into the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpasi Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Good ol' DGEX is a major snowstorm of course. Cold snow temperatures are around 25 at onset dropping into the teens. How much is it showing for IAD/ DCA..can't seem to find it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 yeah, and I would have passed if the Dean didn't have it out for me...I hate that guy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 How much is it showing for IAD/ DCA..can't seem to find it.. 12-15" verbatim. A huge hit with very cold temperatures. Looks oddly similar to the GGEM in totals and location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 DGEX 500mb looks damn similar to the GGEM, I guess the only thing you can take from that is if a lot of the energy does come east, we might see a dual-headed low like these models are showing. One can hope, but my bet is somewhere in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gocaps Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 #snowpatricksday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 12-15" verbatim. A huge hit with very cold temperatures. Looks oddly similar to the GGEM in totals and location. Those totals might have to be adjusted as the 850 to 700 layer is questionable during the day on Monday. There is a warm layer that doesn't want to budge much. I don't have access to soundings for the DGEX so some corrections to my assessment are welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 #snowpatricksday #FlakePatricksDay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 FWIW, 18z NAVGEM is a miss...looks GFS-esque. I looked at its 12z run and the low and precip shield is further S&E this run. Looks like less phasing this run was the culprit, to my weenie eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The lead disturbance that the GFS kicked out too fast yesterday has now slowed down and doesn't look to be an issue. The main issue today is how much northern stream energy cuts off in the southwest and how much comes east. The more energy that comes east the better the outcome. Another thing that would help this setup is if Highzenberg stops posting every thought that comes into his head on every subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 The lead disturbance that the GFS kicked out too fast yesterday has now slowed down and doesn't look to be an issue. The main issue today is how much northern stream energy cuts off in the southwest and how much comes east. The more energy that comes east the better the outcome. Another thing that would help this setup is if Highzenberg stops posting every thought that comes into his head on every subforum. then put him on ignore....it's pretty simple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 then put him on ignore....it's pretty simple Agreed... This will most likely be the chance to next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Still out of its range, but safe to say the 21z SREF is still in the GGEM camp picture sharing how to capture screen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Still out of its range, but safe to say the 21z SREF is still in the GGEM camp Just to make sure I'm seeing things correctly, according to the SREF, its not keeping any energy held back and its phasing the NS and SS right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Just to make sure I'm seeing things correctly, according to the SREF, its not keeping any energy held back and its phasing the NS and SS right? Tough to say since we don't see beyond 87 hours, but theres a lot of energy on the backside of the trough, I'm sure it would still leave some behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 In response to the comment about NAVGEM an hour ago: NAVGEM had today's storm as a huge DC snowstorm until 48 hours ago. It's usually not THAT bad, but it was just horrendous for that last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.