Chinook Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 nice graphics. is that from an Ipad (Radarscope) ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Anyone have a TV news stream from the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 nice graphics. is that from an Ipad (Radarscope) ? yeah well kind of, its on my macbook pro. I just use command, shift, 4 to take a custom screenshot with a cursor. Pretty nifty tool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Anyone have a TV news stream from the area? Cant find one Brick. Pretty sorry that there is no coverage in this area of the country but I guess the population there is pretty small. The best I can find is Winston Co. MS scanner feed which is next in line to be tornado warned if the rotation continues. http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/ctid/1476 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 significant tornado parameter has increased to 2 in western Mississippi now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Anyone in Louisville, MS or Noxapater, MS should be on high alert as this looks to potentially be cycling with increased shear ahead. Edit: Looks like tornado warning has been dropped as of now but a new severe warning went up for Winston Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 5% tornado risk in Updated Day 1 Outlook SPC AC 250432 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1132 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014 VALID 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA... ...WEAK TO MODERATE DESTABILIZATION /LESS THAN 1800 J PER KG MUCAPE/ WILL OCCUR AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S F AND SFC DEW POINTS CLIMB INTO THE LOW...TO LOCALLY MID 60S F. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS COOLING ALOFT OCCURS WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER IMPULSE. STRONG SHEAR COINCIDENT WITH THE EXIT REGION OF THE MIDLEVEL JET WILL OVERSPREAD THE SLIGHT RISK AREA AND AID IN ORGANIZATION OF THUNDERSTORM UPDRAFTS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE CYCLONICALLY CURVED...ALBEIT SMALL...LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. THIS WILL MAINLY SUPPORT INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS NE NC INTO EXTREME SE VA ..LEITMAN/DIAL.. 04/25/2014 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 0504Z (1:04AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Looks like it could get pretty active in NC today, especially eastern NC. My son's school is having a spring fling tonight. I hope the storms hold off. I wouldn't want to be caught outside when they come through for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 25, 2014 Author Share Posted April 25, 2014 I got the day off so it will be chase time if there are some severe discrete supercells over eastern NC this afternoon.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 That line in NE central TN is getting better organized which will be where the storms come from later today. Hope it holds together would be nice to see some storms this afternoon. The thing that concerns me is the coolness and clouds are presisting. Need the sun to come out in full force to destablize the atmosphere. Looking on radar there is a few isolated shower cells showing up over Caswell, Person and Pittsylvania counties atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 That line in NE central TN is getting better organized which will be where the storms come from later today. Hope it holds together would be nice to see some storms this afternoon. The thing that concerns me is the coolness and clouds are presisting. Need the sun to come out in full force to destablize the atmosphere. Looking on radar there is a few isolated shower cells showing up over Caswell, Person and Pittsylvania counties atm. Sunny here in north Raleigh right now. I know usually the sun being out beforehand can stir things up, but the last two times we had severe storms here it was coudy and rainy all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 4pm this afternoon: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 RAH posted this on facebook. Update on the severe weather potential this afternoon. A few showers were developing at 1130 AM just west of the Triad and the Yadkin River, and north of the Triangle. Be watchful of the weather this afternoon into the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Ahoskie looks like a good "home base" for storms this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 25, 2014 Author Share Posted April 25, 2014 75 over 63 here SPC meso page showing destabilization underway nicely should be game on for most of central and eastern NC after 2 or 3 this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 25, 2014 Author Share Posted April 25, 2014 Ahoskie looks like a good "home base" for storms this afternoon. Me and Shaggy are going to head north sometime this afternoon maybe Oak Cityish and then wait to see what goes down, hell might even try to drag Bozart with us.... however with the latest updated SPC meso info it might be a bit more widespread and we might not have to go far at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 25, 2014 Author Share Posted April 25, 2014 Storms firing along the SE coast moving north already might get started sooner than I thought...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 4pm this afternoon: Extremely bullish by 6pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 oh hai 10% shaded tornado probs on 1630 OTLK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 25, 2014 Author Share Posted April 25, 2014 oh hai 10% shaded tornado probs on 1630 OTLK Yeah oh oh lol, rather bullish TWO MODES OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION ARE EXPECTED TODAY - A FEW DISCRETE CELLS IN THE DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR BY EARLY-MID AFTERNOON...AND A BAND OF STORMS ALONG THE CONSOLIDATING COLD FRONT/LEE TROUGH BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON INVOF CENTRAL NC. IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL ALSO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. THE SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE AND MODERATE BUOYANCY...ALONG WITH EFFECTIVE SRH OF 200-300 M2/S2...WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES...INCLUDING AN ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 It'll be interesting to see what happens once those storms make it over the mountains, mesoanalysis on spc showing cape increasing and the low level lapse rates are pretty steep in the coastal plain. Full sunshine here in Jville after the earlier storms passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Yeah oh oh lol, rather bullish TWO MODES OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION ARE EXPECTED TODAY - A FEW DISCRETE CELLS IN THE DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR BY EARLY-MID AFTERNOON...AND A BAND OF STORMS ALONG THE CONSOLIDATING COLD FRONT/LEE TROUGH BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON INVOF CENTRAL NC. IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL ALSO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. THE SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE AND MODERATE BUOYANCY...ALONG WITH EFFECTIVE SRH OF 200-300 M2/S2...WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES...INCLUDING AN ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING Is this from the SPC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Is this from the SPC? Yes it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 That cell near Greenville, NC looks interesting. On a broad scale there is some rotation already with that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 We have full sunshine here in Asheville. The mountains could fuel instead of hinder storms if it continues. Pretty muggy outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 That cell near Greenville, NC looks interesting. On a broad scale there is some rotation already with that storm. Agreed, also the cell near Rose Hill, NC just off interstate 40 looks to have signs of rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 Sunshine Heavy rain for 90 seconds Sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 25, 2014 Share Posted April 25, 2014 TOR Watch coming soon -- http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0402.html MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0402 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1146 AM CDT FRI APR 25 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN NC...SRN VA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 251646Z - 251915Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING TORNADOES WILL INCREASE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS OR SO. DISCUSSION...SFC OBS INDICATE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S SFC DEWPOINTS SPREADING NWD OVER THE NC/VA PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN IN ADVANCE OF A POTENT MID/UPPER PV MAX CROSSING THE CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS. DIURNAL HEATING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MLCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG S OF A NWD-RETREATING WARM FRONT ANALYZED FROM SRN VA TO NERN NC. INCREASINGLY AGITATED BOUNDARY-LAYER CU AND INCIPIENT CONVECTION OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN SUGGEST THAT WARM-SECTOR INHIBITION IS LIMITED...AND STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS THE AREA AS DEEP ASCENT PRECEDING THE PV MAX AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. FURTHERMORE... STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL FLOW/DEEP SHEAR -- E.G. AROUND 50 KT 0-6-KM BULK SHEAR PER FCX VWP -- WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM MODES...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS/BOWING SEGMENTS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LONG/CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ENCOURAGED BY RELATIVELY BACKED SFC WINDS -- PARTICULARLY ALONG/E OF A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH OVER THE PIEDMONT -- WILL YIELD THE RISK FOR TORNADOES. ..COHEN/THOMPSON.. 04/25/2014 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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