downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 Severe thunderstorm watch probabilities going to verify for this watch easily..... Combined Severe Hail/Wind Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events Mod (60% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 MDT Risk was extended into Southern TN, Northern AL, and NW GA. It includes the cities of Chattanooga, Huntsville, and Atlanta. I'm under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 Farmville/Bell Arthur area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 Moderate risk wow, this is shaping up to be potentially ugly for cobb county. Bring it is all I can say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 The mod risk is for the run out of that derecho which has been pretty intense across Arkansas if it holds up it should be good for some decent wind as it moves in. Looking at parameters it might turn a bit more to the south as it gets closer to Georgia though Atlanta on the border of some fairly stable air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 The mod risk is for the run out of that derecho which has been pretty intense across Arkansas if it holds up it should be good for some decent wind as it moves in. Looking at parameters it might turn a bit more to the south as it gets closer to Georgia though Atlanta on the border of some fairly stable air. I agree on the wind threat as a primary hazard. I do see some discrete cells forming now that look pretty wicked on their own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 I agree on the wind threat as a primary hazard. I do see some discrete cells forming now that look pretty wicked on their own. If I had to guess the derecho will miss Atlanta to the SW but those cells firing in NE Alabama need to be watched they got the best chance of getting N GA but that threat should abate some once the sun goes down that derecho will kick ass till it hits the GOM lol..... then again there is a lot of stuff firing out in front of that derecho, could be a new one is going to form or its just going to break down and get really messy really quickly..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 cell heading towards me in Jville has strong rotation, hope I see some action, its heading right for me; the seabreeze was stalled near the vicinity earlier, maybe that will help some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 If I had to guess the derecho will miss Atlanta to the SW but those cells firing in NE Alabama need to be watched they got the best chance of getting N GA but that threat should abate some once the sun goes down that derecho will kick ass till it hits the GOM lol..... Well we agree to disagree on the derecho. It looks to be headed directly for the Atlanta metro or at least the western metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 cell heading towards me in Jville has strong rotation, hope I see some action, its heading right for me; the seabreeze was stalled near the vicinity earlier, maybe that will help some. Yeah that Richland cell is a beast, a new line forming NW of me even has a small intense warned cell in it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 Well we agree to disagree on the derecho. It looks to be headed directly for the Atlanta metro or at least the western metro. Yeah it looks that way now cause it is, but I was looking mainly at these outputs that seem to show the best support for the derecho is SW of ATL....so it may head east then head more SE as it gets closer to GA...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 Wouldn't be surprised to see some wind damage reports out of North Onslow county especially near Richlands that storm was kicking ass for a few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 Storm in Sampson Co. looks to have a nice tail cloud and lowering on it. Broad rotation as of now. Nice sized hail on the storm coming towards Jacksonville. People there might want to find a parking deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 Wouldn't be surprised to see some wind damage reports out of North Onslow county especially near Richlands that storm was kicking ass for a few frames. I just saw some crazy cloud motions, it was definitely rotating, it got fast for a few minutes and the lightning started going cloud to ground just by the lowering and then it started pouring, I took some video not sure if you can see the rotating but im 10 mins from richlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 The air mass outside my door here is extremely unstable feeling. I think I'm about to get plunked pretty good with this complex. We will see..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 Pretty tight rotation along Emerald Isle and it is pretty low since the radar is close......might see a tor warning on it soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 For North Georgia it appears that an old outflow boundary from the original complex earlier today has spawned off a new line of storms that are turning severe. It appears this is the new area of focus and will also impact the direction of the derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 Time sensitive but pretty awesome cam lots of CG http://www.wnct.com/category/257380/liveeye-9-atlantic-beach-stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA626 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2014THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... BARTOW COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA EAST CENTRAL CHATTOOGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA FLOYD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA SOUTHERN GORDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA* UNTIL 715 PM EDT* AT 622 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZED HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF PLAINVILLE TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHANNON TO 14 MILES WEST OF ROME...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ADAIRSVILLE...CALHOUN...KINGSTON...CASSVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...WHITE AND EUHARLEE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 I don't think we have anything that meets even the most minimum definitions of a derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 I don't think we have anything that meets even the most minimum definitions of a derecho. The storms in GA do IMO, this event is part of a long lived MCS that had been generating bowing lines of severe storms all day, granted they haven't been continuous but the storm reports clearly show the direction and strength this MCS has had over a extended period of time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 I don't think we have anything that meets even the most minimum definitions of a derecho. I'm not sure what the definition of a derecho is but whatever is moving through GA right now is an organized thunderstorm complex that means business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 I don't think we have anything that meets even the most minimum definitions of a derecho.Yeah, just a Mesoscale Convective Complex. TWC hasn't even said derecho yet. The storm system 2 days ago was a derecho. Those storms in NGA formed ahead of the MCV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/derechofacts.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 Yeah downeast not to sure what the debate is about unless we haven't had a few +75mph wind gusts. I am on my phone so I am not going to check but I bet there have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 5, 2014 Share Posted June 5, 2014 This is a derecho. Well actually it was a serial derecho. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/140603_rpts.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2014 Author Share Posted June 5, 2014 This is a derecho. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/140603_rpts.gif Yeah the list at the end of site I posted has some awesome reads on it I remember this one cause it hit late at night http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/aug092000page.htm Then there was this one http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/may82009page.htm#Memphis https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9yDqnw-rEY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 Yeah the list at the end of site I posted has some awesome reads on it I remember this one cause it hit late at night http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/aug092000page.htm Then there was this one http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/may82009page.htm#Memphis That May 2009 Derecho was epic. Looked like an inland hurricane at one point. I think the June 2012 derecho surpasses the May 2009 though.Looks like the MCV is falling apart. The entire stratiform rain shield associated with it disappeared. Wondering what kind of winds Marietta got. Jim Cantore said it may flare up again over Southern GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 The winds were pretty disappointing. This may have technically fit the definition of a derecho, maybe not. Regardless for my area it was pretty tame. Just some gusty winds, lightning and some good ole rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted June 6, 2014 Share Posted June 6, 2014 The winds were pretty disappointing. This may have technically fit the definition of a derecho, maybe not. Regardless for my area it was pretty tame. Just some gusty winds, lightning and some good ole rain. same here - but not even all that much lightning or rain it looked great coming in on radar and out the window but results were pretty blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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