yotaman Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 They also increased the slight risk area to include me lol gotta say I was surprised maybe the front is going to wash out more than they thought.. the DP here is only 55 . Our dew point is at 66 here just to the southeast of New Bern but the humidity is only at 52%. We do need the rain but hopefully no hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 23, 2014 Author Share Posted May 23, 2014 Starting to see cape climb should be enough given the cold pool and shear aloft.....someone going to see big hail today if these storms do fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Might try to beg my parents to let me chase a storm from safe distance to take structure pics if one does pop up near my area. Not going to far, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 23, 2014 Author Share Posted May 23, 2014 STW fail????? MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0669 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0127 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...CAROLINAS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 178... VALID 231827Z - 232000Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 178 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...STORM INITIATION HAS FAILED THUS FAR WITHIN WW 178...BUT IS STILL ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR ON AN ISOLATED BASIS BY 21Z. ISOLATED STORMS FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS WILL POSE A RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL. AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL BE COORDINATED SHORTLY. DISCUSSION...LIMITED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER PROFILES HAVE LIKELY INHIBITED STORM DEVELOPMENT THUS FAR ACROSS MUCH OF THE CAROLINAS. THE EXCEPTION HAS BEEN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY FORMED FROM MACON COUNTY NC TO PICKENS COUNTY SC. WITH A THERMODYNAMIC/KINEMATIC SETUP SIMILAR TO WW 178...AN UPSTREAM SEVERE TSTM WATCH ISSUANCE IS ANTICIPATED SOON. WITH CONTINUED ROBUST SURFACE HEATING...IT STILL REMAINS PROBABLE THAT ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL EVENTUALLY OCCUR FARTHER E/SE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Heck of a hailer in Spartanburg County: SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 347 PM EDT FRI MAY 23 2014 SCC083-232030- /O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-140523T2030Z/ SPARTANBURG SC- 347 PM EDT FRI MAY 23 2014 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN SPARTANBURG COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM EDT... AT 343 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING UP TO TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ROEBUCK...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPARTANBURG...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR... CEDAR SPRINGS. PACOLET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Updated Day 1 Outlook reduced in NC extended through Upstate SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Nice hail core headed right for Spartanburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Could see a tor warning near Conway, SC as the storm intersects that boundary. Has slight rotation on it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Newest run of SPC SSEO is pretty interetsing for southeast NC to say the least...could get interesting into the evening hours near Wilmington...the two parameters I've included in this image is significant for rotating storms (updraft helicity) and hail (updraft speed) these are pretty high and this product has been nailing the severe threats recently elsewhere in the US (for example VA tor warnings yesterday that the SPC missed.) btw these are 3hour probabilities valid 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 23, 2014 Author Share Posted May 23, 2014 Could see a tor warning near Conway, SC as the storm intersects that boundary. Has slight rotation on it now. There was a decent spinup as it crossed the sea breeze those are actually pretty common and there is a mini tornado alley along Hwy17 in far eastern NC mostly southern/eastern Pitt Co, Craven CO, Beaufort Co and Lenoir and Jones Co often see weak EF0-1 tornados from sea breeze interaction with pulse type summer thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Big storms over the upstate of SC,reports of golf to tennis ball size hail there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Lots of rotation near the Pineville/Fort Mill area, moving towards Weddington. On the north side of the storm, would that be an anticlone if it came down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Big storms over the upstate of SC,reports of golf to tennis ball size hail there. Saw an OBS for thundersnow and was thinking...hmm that's not right...turns out, hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 23, 2014 Share Posted May 23, 2014 Storm heading for Myrtle Beach with new rotation on latest scan. Bet there is a nice wall cloud. That area could be headed for some flash flooding if those storms keep training. Eta: Hail stone from Myrtle Beach.. Lots of out of towners caught off guard I bet. Rotation now on the following cell too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I85Greenville Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 Amazing shots from above the severe storms in SC yesterday that rocked my socks: From NWS: Here are some amazing photos taken above Friday's severe thunderstorms over South Carolina. These storms produced golf ball to baseball size hail and wind gusts of 50-65 mph. The pictures were taken aboard the NASA ER-2 research aircraft by pilot Stu Broce. The ER-2 cruises at 65-70,000 feet and on this mission, it overflew these 50-55,000 foot tall severe storms. The ER2 was collecting data as part of IPHEx - the Integrated Precipitation and Hydrology Experiment that is taking place across North and South Carolina from May 1st to June 15th. More information about IPHEx can be found at:http://pmm.nasa.gov/IPHEx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted May 26, 2014 Share Posted May 26, 2014 GSP continues to be about the only one in the SE who regularly warns these pop up-pulsing spring/summer t-showers. Maybe they are or aren't severe but they don't hesitate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC246 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2014NCZ022-023-271930-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-246 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2014...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF GUILFORD ANDNORTHWESTERN ALAMANCE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...AT 245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ASTRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER GREENSBORO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BEPOSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...MCLEANSVILLE...ELON COLLEGE...SUMMERFIELD...GIBSONVILLE...PLEASANT GARDEN...JAMESTOWN AND ALAMANCE.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUNDTRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOROBJECTS.LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT INPONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USEEXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC323 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2014NCZ023-024-272015-ORANGE-ALAMANCE-323 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2014...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF ORANGE AND ALAMANCECOUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...AT 323 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ASTRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BURLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BEPOSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...CHAPEL HILL...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...HILLSBOROUGH...CARRBORO...MEBANE...ELON COLLEGE...GIBSONVILLE...HAW RIVER AND SWEPSONVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Alamance, Durham, Orange [NC] till 4:15 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC420 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2014NCZ025-040-041-272100-WAKE-CHATHAM-DURHAM-420 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2014...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WAKE...NORTHEASTERN CHATHAM AND SOUTHERN DURHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT...AT 420 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ASTRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DURHAM...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BEPOSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...RALEIGH...DURHAM...CARY...WAKE FOREST...GARNER...RDU INTERNATIONAL...APEX...MORRISVILLE...WILLIAM B UMSTEAD STATE PARK AND BETHESDA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 438 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2014 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL WAKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 530 PM EDT * AT 438 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RDU INTERNATIONAL...OR NEAR CARY...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RALEIGH...CARY...GARNER...RDU INTERNATIONAL...APEX...MORRISVILLE... KNIGHTDALE...WILLIAM B UMSTEAD STATE PARK...LAKE WHEELER...LAKE BENSON...CARPENTER AND RESEARCH TRIANGLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 The winds were impressive but the rains never really came. 0.06" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Temp dropped from 88 to 68 in Raleigh with that storm! Impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 GSP continues to be about the only one in the SE who regularly warns these pop up-pulsing spring/summer t-showers. Maybe they are or aren't severe but they don't hesitate. Funny you mention that...we had a storm in McDowell that really pulsed up about 3:15 pm and it dropped continuous dime sized hail for about 20 minutes...storm was never warned and once it began to drop southeast, it collapsed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 We don't have too may members that live in these parts but nonetheless still something to watch since we cover MS. Currently there is a tornado warning for St. Helena and Tangipahoa Parrish's. There is a small couplet on radar as of now but it has been more defined. This should be heading up into MS within the next hour or 2. Amite City, LA and Roseland, LA look to be next in line with it reaching those areas within the next 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Had a tornado this am in Garyville, LA. Was a confirmed EF1. Twitter pic from an oil refinery.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 Is this a severe weather thread for SE or everywhere? I am confused? Looks like nothing around here severe weather wise, for the next ten days. Starting to look like the other board over here! Severe weather season in the SE is OVER. Or at least tornado season is. It's extremely rare to have tornadoes in the summer months in the south, unless it's the product of a tropical system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS...SOME PROBABLY SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL...ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT THROUGH CENTRAL NC ON THURSDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 Looks like it could get bad in the midwest tomorrow. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/43789-june-3rd-6th-severe-thread/page-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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