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Pittsburgh/ Western PA Part III


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NAM is suppression city, see you next year... If this image doesn't look like our winter to date,,,.

Here is 18z, hr 84 NAM.

img-resized.png Reduced: 51% of original size [ 1024 x 768 ] - Click to view full image nam_namer_084_850_temp_mslp_precip.gifp_up.gifp_report.gif

ehh I wouldn't put too much stock in the 18z NAM but atleast take note of the changes.
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ehh I wouldn't put too much stock in the 18z NAM but atleast take note of the changes.

The last storm the NAM was way north, everyone says its the NAM its always way north don't buy its a crap model, where did that storm end up? The prior storm to that NAM shows split energy and southern energy way south, everyone says its the NAM its a horrible model, how did that one end up.

 

I understand everyone wants a big storm but follow the patterns recently and all winter. The NAM has a north bias and has this one already suppressed to our south. Look at that HIGH in the lakes.  Good luck with that working out.  Your picture was spot on.  This one will be the same, time to move onto next winter...

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The last storm the NAM was way north, everyone says its the NAM its always way north don't buy its a crap model, where did that storm end up? The prior storm to that NAM shows split energy and southern energy way south, everyone says its the NAM its a horrible model, how did that one end up.

I understand everyone wants a big storm but follow the patterns recently and all winter. The NAM has a north bias and has this one already suppressed to our south. Look at that HIGH in the lakes. Good luck with that working out. Your picture was spot on. This one will be the same, time to move onto next winter...

I was trying to make the point that wait until the 00z models before calling the storm off. Although we know were the storm is going to end up.
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Damn. Still sucked in.

Will we be let down one more time or is this going to be our storm?

Right now we are anywhere between 4 inches and 14 inches.

If we would get halfway in between that I would be happy. GFS and NAM still showing big snows. Need Canadian and Euro to come a little more north to get the big snows. As you can see, I broke out the detour sign. We need all the help we can get. Lol

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA

346 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-073-

074-WVZ001>003-150800-

TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH-

MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-

BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-

WASHINGTON-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-

346 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST

PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA

AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

TWO STORM SYSTEMS ARE LIKELY TO PHASE NEAR OUR REGION LATE SUNDAY

INTO EARLY MONDAY AS COLD AIR RETURNS. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS

BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE BEGINNING

TO CONVERGE ON A SCENARIO THAT FAVORS ACCUMULATION. DEPENDING UPON

MODEL TRENDS...WATCHES OR ADVISORIES FOR SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE

DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Sent from my XT897 using Tapatalk

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I just checked the text output from the 06z NAM, its at 19inches by 84 hours, and even had a period of sleet in between but its still snowing at 84. :rolleyes: 6z GFS meanwhile had 13 inches on the text for KPIT. DST sucks for model watching, still another hour until the 12z NAM rolls out. At least right now the models are moving towards a solution that seems to give us some good snow vs the last storm we started seeing things fall apart around this time, so fingers crossed we don't see that again.

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