psunate1977 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 First call map. Looks pretty accurate if you ask me. Awesome!! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 First call map. Looks pretty accurate if you ask me. NAM is suppression city, see you next year... If this image doesn't look like our winter to date,,,. Here is 18z, hr 84 NAM. Reduced: 51% of original size [ 1024 x 768 ] - Click to view full image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 13, 2014 Author Share Posted March 13, 2014 NAM is suppression city, see you next year... If this image doesn't look like our winter to date,,,. Here is 18z, hr 84 NAM. Reduced: 51% of original size [ 1024 x 768 ] - Click to view full image ehh I wouldn't put too much stock in the 18z NAM but atleast take note of the changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 13, 2014 Author Share Posted March 13, 2014 Also fwiw GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 ehh I wouldn't put too much stock in the 18z NAM but atleast take note of the changes. The last storm the NAM was way north, everyone says its the NAM its always way north don't buy its a crap model, where did that storm end up? The prior storm to that NAM shows split energy and southern energy way south, everyone says its the NAM its a horrible model, how did that one end up. I understand everyone wants a big storm but follow the patterns recently and all winter. The NAM has a north bias and has this one already suppressed to our south. Look at that HIGH in the lakes. Good luck with that working out. Your picture was spot on. This one will be the same, time to move onto next winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 13, 2014 Author Share Posted March 13, 2014 The last storm the NAM was way north, everyone says its the NAM its always way north don't buy its a crap model, where did that storm end up? The prior storm to that NAM shows split energy and southern energy way south, everyone says its the NAM its a horrible model, how did that one end up. I understand everyone wants a big storm but follow the patterns recently and all winter. The NAM has a north bias and has this one already suppressed to our south. Look at that HIGH in the lakes. Good luck with that working out. Your picture was spot on. This one will be the same, time to move onto next winter... I was trying to make the point that wait until the 00z models before calling the storm off. Although we know were the storm is going to end up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 Bernie Rayno just gave us the kiss of death for this storm. http://m.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/snowstorm-departs-another-threat-on-the-way/2430839568001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Bernie Rayno just gave us the kiss of death for this storm. http://m.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/snowstorm-departs-another-threat-on-the-way/2430839568001 Yeah, it seems like whenever he mentions us it falls apart after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I could be wrong, but looks like the NAM might be coming North.. Trough is neutral and PV is a bit further North, energy looks a bit better consolidated. I'm comparing 00z at 60 vs 18z at 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wstaude Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 From the NYC thread, NAM at 60: Goodness. That looks... interesting. I think I'm going to disappear for a couple days so I don't get too excited :[ Edit: And a weenie map!: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 NAM absolutely crushes PA, where have we seen that before? lol NAM closes off at 500 by 75 hours. To bad its the NAM, but hopefully its a sign of things to come on the models tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 NAM absolutely crushes PA, where have we seen that before? lol NAM closes off at 500 by 75 hours. To bad its the NAM, but hopefully its a sign of things to come on the models tonight. Need the Canadian to come a little North in about 45 minutes. This will be the lead model. Has been all Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 Hmmm deja vu all over again??? In the bullseye 4 days away usually is not a good thing this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 GFS is North and a hit. Come on Canadian! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 GFS not a bad solution either for SWPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 GFS is North and a hit. Come on Canadian! Game on. Hopefully this time this is the big shift, and there are minor adjustments from here. The gfs has good qpf with what looks to be good ratios. Verbatim, probably .7 qpf and 15:1 ratios possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I'm not getting sucked in quite yet. I've seen this fish before. We'll see if the GFS continues to show this and we'll see if the other models follow suit. It is nice to see the trend though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Hmmm deja vu all over again??? In the bullseye 4 days away usually is not a good thing this winter. Yeah, im not getting sucked into this again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Yeah, im not getting sucked into this again lol I said the same thing this afternoon after the suppression. And yes I am getting sucked back in. It is inevitable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I said the same thing this afternoon after the suppression. And yes I am getting sucked back in. It is inevitable. Well, let's just say I'm not getting excited about it yet. I'll still keep an eye on the models like we all will. I'll just be waiting for this one to crash and burn like all the rest have. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 I want to stay away but it just will not let me. Why do these models do this to me?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Canadian is back a little North and gives us a nice snowfall. About 75 more miles north and we are buried. Time for sleep and then go through it all again tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Damn. Still sucked in. Will we be let down one more time or is this going to be our storm? Right now we are anywhere between 4 inches and 14 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Damn. Still sucked in. Will we be let down one more time or is this going to be our storm? Right now we are anywhere between 4 inches and 14 inches. If we would get halfway in between that I would be happy. GFS and NAM still showing big snows. Need Canadian and Euro to come a little more north to get the big snows. As you can see, I broke out the detour sign. We need all the help we can get. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Well hope for 1 And evreyone say they don't want it. And then we will get crushed. The snow gods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Any guesses when watch goes up. NOAA mentions in haz outlook this system phasing now. ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Finally when I think I'm out. They pull me back in. God father 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Hazardous Weather Outlook HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 346 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014 OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-073- 074-WVZ001>003-150800- TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH- MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE- BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA- WASHINGTON-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO- 346 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. TWO STORM SYSTEMS ARE LIKELY TO PHASE NEAR OUR REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY AS COLD AIR RETURNS. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON A SCENARIO THAT FAVORS ACCUMULATION. DEPENDING UPON MODEL TRENDS...WATCHES OR ADVISORIES FOR SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. Sent from my XT897 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I just checked the text output from the 06z NAM, its at 19inches by 84 hours, and even had a period of sleet in between but its still snowing at 84. 6z GFS meanwhile had 13 inches on the text for KPIT. DST sucks for model watching, still another hour until the 12z NAM rolls out. At least right now the models are moving towards a solution that seems to give us some good snow vs the last storm we started seeing things fall apart around this time, so fingers crossed we don't see that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 If this KEEPS coming north were gonna have a rain storm....screwed either north or south!...haha dammit-lock that in now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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