CoraopolisWx Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 At least from looking at the gfs, the setup with the energy diving south out of canada is not bad. One of the issues seems to be the PV is a bit too far NE, if it was positioned further SW, the energy coming out of canada would be further SW, thus along said energy more room to phase earlier. At least for us in SW PA. The H5 maps are about as far as I go, with regards to using models. There's alot more I'm sure than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Attached thumbnail(s) Reduced 33% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 Euro 12z is better than the 0z still don't think we see anything more than light snow though. I won't to be positive but our trend has been light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Euro 12z is better than the 0z still don't think we see anything more than light snow though. I won't to be positive but our trend has been light snow. Really no way to know at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 Really no way to know at this point. Oh I completely agree thats why Im gonna step away. I am actually glad the euro comes out an hour later now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 At least from looking at the gfs, the setup with the energy diving south out of canada is not bad. One of the issues seems to be the PV is a bit too far NE, if it was positioned further SW, the energy coming out of canada would be further SW, thus along said energy more room to phase earlier. At least for us in SW PA. The H5 maps are about as far as I go, with regards to using models. There's alot more I'm sure than that. Yeah, we need that to phase faster so this thing gets wound up sooner. The further NE position is also probably bad for track of the system as well. If the models are underdoing the influence of the PV even half as much as they did for the last storm we might be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Yeah, we need that to phase faster so this thing gets wound up sooner. The further NE position is also probably bad for track of the system as well. If the models are underdoing the influence of the PV even half as much as they did for the last storm we might be in business. I am hoping for the big phase too but I have a feeling we will have our typical rain turning to snow with the cold front and an inch or less. Just a gut feeling. Hope I am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 52.... To 36 in about four hours here. Snow flurries here now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 18Z looks better. A little further south and more precip. Gives us about 4.5 inches. Still something to watch. Also, looks like we may get some snow tonight mainly on the grassy areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Worst thing about changing the clocks ahead one hour? Models coming out an hour later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Just looked outside and we have a dusting of snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Just looked outside and we have a dusting of snow on the ground. Yeah, solid covering on the grass here also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Yeah, solid covering on the grass here also. Same in Bethel Park. Just grassy areas. Roads are wet right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Starting to look more and more likely we will be under the gun from this upcoming storm, just what form the precip takes is the question. I am concerned we get fringed though being on the SE side of it snow wise. It would figure after what would seem a majority of the winter seeing storms slide 50-100 miles to far SE to seeing one go 50-100 miles to far NW. The system tracks almost right over top of us right now. Still time to nail down the actual track and strength and all the rest of the usual caveats.. Fingers crossed. 00Z Euro Snow Map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 The 6z gfs looks like a pretty decent hit. This has been trending se...hopefully that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Wow. We could be 45 degrees or better 5 out of the next 7 days as of right now. Love this time of year. Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Wow. We could be 45 degrees or better 5 out of the next 7 days as of right now. Love this time of year. Sent from my iPhone Things are trending towards a decent storm this week. Could see a decent 4-6 inch hit from hit based on the gfs, but it is borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 9, 2014 Author Share Posted March 9, 2014 Well so the long range Euro shows another fantasy blizzard in the 216-240 hr. We are south east of the heavy snow but that can change drastically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderhead Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Looks to me like the 0z Euro wants to phase in 3 shortwaves on Wednesday. That's got to be difficult to accurately forecast this far out, especially with the "central" shortwave still over the Pacific Ocean. That s/w should arrive on the West Coast Monday morning. Will be watching to see if ensemble spread goes down then. Right now it's high around 0z Thu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Mags has a nice post on the Central Thread about the mid-week threat pretty much saying Northern sections will be the best bet to see accumulating snows as the rest of us will be battling rain to snow scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Need that south trend Attached thumbnail(s) Reduced 33% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Mags has a nice post on the Central Thread about the mid-week threat pretty much saying Northern sections will be the best bet to see accumulating snows as the rest of us will be battling rain to snow scenario. Hmmmm. We could sure use last weekend's south trend now! Bet we don't get it this time. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Well so the long range Euro shows another fantasy blizzard in the 216-240 hr. We are south east of the heavy snow but that can change drastically. Right now we are right in the middle of both storms, so chances are these soltuions will verify verbatim lol Really rooting for a bit of a South trend for the mid week storm. If we can squeeze 6+ out of that I'd be ok with the next one missing us if thats how it panned out. It's hard to imagine the cold air not winning out given the seasonal trend this year, but we are heading into mid March so sooner or later the cold is going to lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Trip 3. Merge. Would be sweet. Track is perfect then we will be snow if track isn't perfect, mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 9, 2014 Author Share Posted March 9, 2014 Next weeks storm :0. The fringe fest continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Next weeks storm :0. The fringe fest continues. Hopefully it keeps going NW lol It will end up really frustrating if there are 2 major storms and SWPA ends up lying in a 100mile swath that gets fringed by both. Starting to get the feeling this mid week storm is going to be more wet than white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 9, 2014 Author Share Posted March 9, 2014 Hopefully it keeps going NW lol It will end up really frustrating if there are 2 major storms and SWPA ends up lying in a 100mile swath that gets fringed by both. Starting to get the feeling this mid week storm is going to be more wet than white. I have feeling we are not gonna break our 5 inch max this year. Hope I am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Hopefully it keeps going NW lol It will end up really frustrating if there are 2 major storms and SWPA ends up lying in a 100mile swath that gets fringed by both. Starting to get the feeling this mid week storm is going to be more wet than white. This next storm needs to track south. Of course when we need it too, it locks in and keeps the same path. Still looks like a rain to snow scenerio. Sweet spots will be Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pa. 18z NAM still looks warm to start but much wetter and maybe some good backend snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 NAM Looks very wet to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 NAM Looks very wet to me. Yeah, mostly rain. Fortunately, the NAM at that range is very unreliable. Actually, the NAM at most ranges is unreliable but even worse a few days out. Of course, our luck it'll be right this time. The GFS is rolling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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