Mailman Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Snow in Seven Springs and Garrett County this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 I didn't get anything in Farmington, PA....just some sprinkles early sunday AM....I was surprised!...anyone know when the winter forecasts will be coming out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted October 20, 2014 Share Posted October 20, 2014 I didn't get anything in Farmington, PA....just some sprinkles early sunday AM....I was surprised!...anyone know when the winter forecasts will be coming out? Accuweather has this: (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/us-2014-2015-winter-forecast/35422753) Given the prospects for -AO and possible weak nino we should have the ingredients for some decent events, now whether they come together or not is anyone's guess. Wonder what the locals will put, they should be coming out soon I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 My first weenie post of the season...For next Sat into Sunday From Allan H"That time of year, for day 9+ winter storms on the 6z GFS GFS-27km day 9-16 snow accumulation. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted October 25, 2014 Share Posted October 25, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted October 26, 2014 Author Share Posted October 26, 2014 You know its bad whenever the local news reports that the models could change and we could see some rain changing to snow. Well I am back. I hate being a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted October 26, 2014 Share Posted October 26, 2014 SPC AC 260726 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0226 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014 VALID 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO KY... ...SUMMARY... STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WITH A PRIMARY HAZARD OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO KENTUCKY. ...SYNOPSIS... A PROGRESSIVE YET AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST SHOULD REACH THE ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER AREA BY 12Z/WED. ATTENDANT SURFACE CYCLONE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE QUICKLY N/NE TOWARDS JAMES BAY. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH E/SE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO TN VALLEY...WITH TRAILING PORTION SINKING S IN TX. ...LOWER GREAT LAKES TO KY... DESPITE POLEWARD LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT...MEAN MIXING RATIOS SHOULD REMAIN MODEST AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH PERVASIVE MOIST-ADIABATIC MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN MEAGER. NEVERTHELESS...WRF-BASED GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM INTO THE 70S DOWNSTREAM OF MORNING FRONTAL CONVECTION. THIS STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OCCURRING AMIDST STRONG TO INTENSE MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WOULD LIKELY YIELD STORMS INTENSIFYING DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH A RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS. STILL...WITH THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTING AWAY FROM THE CONUS...ORIENTATION OF DEEP-LAYER FLOW WILL LARGELY PARALLEL THE FRONT AND LOW-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH /ESPECIALLY WITH SWRN EXTENT/. THESE FACTORS ALONG WITH THE ANTICIPATED SCANT BUOYANCY WILL PRECLUDE HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES THIS OUTLOOK. ..GRAMS.. 10/26/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 http://www.weatherbell.com/public-winter-14-15-forecast Looking Good. Ready to follow some snow storms. Bring it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...MODEL CONSENSUS IS STILL ON TRACK FOR A QUICK MOVING CLIPPERSYSTEM DROPPING FROM CENTRAL CANADA THROUGH THE WESTERN GREATLAKES AND ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL PA LATE FRIDAY. THIS WILLDELIVER A POTENT SHOT OF COLD AIR FOR FRIDAY NIGHT ANDSATURDAY...AND PERHAPS THE FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL FOR PORTIONSOF CENTRAL AND WESTERN PA. CERTAINLY SOME STRENGTH AND TIMINGISSUES NEED TO BE RESOLVED WITH THE SUCCESSIVE SHORTWAVES. HOWEVERTHE LATEST EC AND THE GFS SUGGESTS THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP WILLBE LATE FRIDAY THRU EARLY SATURDAY. THE NEXT QUESTION IS WILL THEPRECIPITATION BE RAIN OR SNOW. IT CURRENTLY LOOKS TO BE A MIX OFBOTH. THE COLDER AIR ON THE BACKSIDE WILL LIKELY CHANGE THE SHRATO A PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WESTAND NORTH...FOLLOWED BY BLUSTERY AND MUCH COLDER CONDITIONSSATURDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT FLURRIES AND SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVRTHE NW MTNS. LATEST 850 MB TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED A BIT TO -4CTO -8C. SO DEPENDING IF THE WARMING TREND CONTINUES THAT SHOULDDETERMINE HOW MUCH...IF ANY...SNOW FALLS DURING THIS PERIOD. THEEC AND GFS DIVERGE LATE THIS COMING WEEKEND...WITH THE GFS TAKINGTHE UPPER LEVEL LOW FURTHER INTO THE ATLANTIC BEFORE MOVING ITNORTH...WHERE THE EC DRAGS THE LOW ALONG THE COAST. GIVEN THECLEAR SKIES...HOWEVER SUNDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE COLD. EITHERWAY...DRY AIR WILL FILTER IN EARLY NEXT WEEK...BRINGING A WARMINGTREND WITH FAIR WEATHER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Well, the 12z gfs sure is interesting. Just not sure on surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Well, the 12z gfs sure is interesting. Just not sure on surface temps. Looks like 3-5 for WPa. Wont allow me to link map. · 1h 1 hour ago The 12z GFS-T574 27km hi-res snow accumulations. Think this is too high in western NC piedmont http://models.americanwx.com pic.twitter.com/0SEbKSTnXI https://twitter.com/RaleighWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted October 30, 2014 Author Share Posted October 30, 2014 No way we see 3-5 inches. Im guessing a dusting. Just to remind everyone that winter is coming.hopefully we can track a good storm this year. Those nuisance storms sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 http://www.weatherbell.com/public-winter-14-15-forecast Looking Good. Ready to follow some snow storms. Bring it on. Aww.. only 167% of normal snowfall.. I think we would all take that forecast and run with it. I think Jeff Vs winter forecast is on tonight at 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted October 30, 2014 Author Share Posted October 30, 2014 I know channel 4s is on tonight at 5:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Welcome to winter!! KDKA forecast: 53" total 20.5" for Jan 16" for Feb WTAE FORECAST 47" total 13" in Jan 12" in Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted October 31, 2014 Author Share Posted October 31, 2014 I a Welcome to winter!! KDKA forecast: 53" total 20.5" for Jan 16" for Feb WTAE FORECAST 47" total 13" in Jan 12" in Feb Jeff Vs forecast is actually decent. Can't believe hes going big in jan and feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Yea I don't put much stock in any of these forecasts. Last year Jeff was way off on everything, he had December being warmer than average and only 38" of total snow. We had 63.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted October 31, 2014 Author Share Posted October 31, 2014 Yea I don't put much stock in any of these forecasts. Last year Jeff was way off on everything, he had December being warmer than average and only 38" of total snow. We had 63.. Yeah I know it is just interesting see what our mets think even though they are wrong a lot. I remember Jeff said I could be in a light jacket in Jan. We all know what happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Do any of you guys recommend a great radar/weather app for android? I debated buying one last year but couldn't decide which one....there are some out there for $9.99 and I'd pay that...but wanted some feedback first. Let me know your thoughts-thanks!!....getting ready for busts and near hits again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Do any of you guys recommend a great radar/weather app for android? I debated buying one last year but couldn't decide which one....there are some out there for $9.99 and I'd pay that...but wanted some feedback first. Let me know your thoughts-thanks!!....getting ready for busts and near hits again.... Radarscope is 9.99, I think it's well worth it. It has every reflectivity and velocity product you'd ever need plus the Dual Polarization products. And it even has Canadian radars. Correlation Coefficient and Hydrometeor Classification are both very useful for precipitation type during winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 I just recently bought a Subaru...bring on the snow! Very nice, did you get a Forester? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rolling Snowed Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Very nice, did you get a Forester? Got a blue Crosstek XV...i love it. I live on top of a hill in Canonsburg, an AWD has become a must. For as damn cold as it is, wish we'd at least see a few flakes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Radarscope is 9.99, I think it's well worth it. It has every reflectivity and velocity product you'd ever need plus the Dual Polarization products. And it even has Canadian radars. Correlation Coefficient and Hydrometeor Classification are both very useful for precipitation type during winter. Agree 100%. Well worth the $9.99 a year. Winds are howling outside my house and temp is down to 35. Can't believe it is November 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Getting snow flurries attm. Windy as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Agree 100%. Well worth the $9.99 a year. Winds are howling outside my house and temp is down to 35. Can't believe it is November 1st. Is it 9.99/year? I thought it was a 9.99 one time purchase on iPhone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 35 degrees here ; some snow flurries, the first flakes of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted November 2, 2014 Share Posted November 2, 2014 Is it 9.99/year? I thought it was a 9.99 one time purchase on iPhone. $9.99 is one time for the basic version and the annual $9.99 is for the pro version, the RadarScope Pro subscription is an optional add-on data set and provides access to real lightning data that animates along with the radar loop and up to 20 frames of radar data, including *extended loops* of "Super Res" Level 2 data. Super Res Level 2 data is still available to all RadarScope users without purchasing a subscription. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 http://www.midwestweather.org/2014/10/official-2014-2015-midwest-weather.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 3, 2014 Author Share Posted November 3, 2014 Ehh I just read DTs post and we maybe in for a rude awaking at the end of November. Looks like a -NAO -EPO and a possible -AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Thanks so much for the feedback!....looks like radarscope it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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