Powerball Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 IDY? San Angelo, TX. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KIDY You know it's rough when this winter hasn't even let up for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Haha, right. I knew it was San Angelo...but I figured Alek mis-typed. That would be a helluva corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 San Angelo, TX. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KIDY You know it's rough when this winter hasn't even let up for them. And just when I was getting in a spring mood, the magnet appears to have temporarily recharged its self. I'll be happy if we get a few inches to bring us closer to the record though, the clock is ticking in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 12z GGEM looks to be north/stronger than the 00z run, but not as far north/strong as the NAM/GFS/EURO. Goes from 1001mb over Evansville, IN to 995mb over WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 I should do fairly well for a last hurrah here at Elkhart per referenced GFS snow map. Still frozen solid with ice and snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 12z GGEM track from southern ILL across ohio river to West.Va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Must be some decent ratios to get the 6" line on those GFS instantwxmaps up to Toronto. QPF is only around 1/3 of an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Must be some decent ratios to get the 6" line on those GFS instantwxmaps up to Toronto. QPF is only around 1/3 of an inch. The DGZ looks to only be about 100mb deep, maybe a bit more (around 600mb). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 The DGZ looks to only be about 100mb deep, maybe a bit more (around 600mb). Maybe I'm misreading the maps. I'll take a look at text extraction when it comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 12z Ukie at 72hrs just a hair south of nam/gfs/ggem good qpf though if anybody can turn that into snow anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Snippet from the WPC EPD. EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1141 AM EDT SUN MAR 09 2014 THE MODELS HAVE FINALLY CONVERGED ON THE TRACK OF THE COMPLEX WAVE CROSSING THE EAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD, WITH ITS MOST MARKED SENSIBLE WEATHER THREAT BEING A STRIPE OF HEAVY SNOW FROM NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA THROUGH THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 the preceding warm spell and baroclinic zone make it hard to by anything too suppressed but it's still all about timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 It'll be interesting to see how this unfolds. I tend to think today's 12z runs have maxed out the NW potential. But who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 It'll be interesting to see how this unfolds. I tend to think today's 12z runs have maxed out the NW potential. But who knows? i haven't been following close but seems like it could go either way. 12z GEFS support the OP nicely...a few even more generous further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 GEFS, as usual, are playing follow the leader with the OP. After trending hard to the SE at 6z, they've come back NW with one or two amped up solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 i haven't been following close but seems like it could go either way. 12z GEFS support the OP nicely...a few even more generous further north For me the trough axis is too far east. We're going to need the vort dropping out of Manitoba to dig due south to get the trough to tilt negaltive early enough so that the sfc low can wrap up and cut well north of the OH river. That's just too much effort to get the whole northern stream to buckle like that, especially with that kicker coming onto the west coast, which should tend to keep the flow progressive. That's my $0.02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 I think it would be hilarious if a more phased solution won out like the ggem from 2 days ago instead of the storm cancel the 0z models showed last night lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 the 12z euro is starting at 00hrs so far, will be fun to see what the former king says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 the 12z euro is starting at 00hrs so far, will be fun to see what the former king says. After the capitulation by the NCEP suite, what'll really be hilarious is if the EURO goes weak/south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 For me the trough axis is too far east. We're going to need the vort dropping out of Manitoba to dig due south to get the trough to tilt negaltive early enough so that the sfc low can wrap up and cut well north of the OH river. That's just too much effort to get the whole northern stream to buckle like that, especially with that kicker coming onto the west coast, which should tend to keep the flow progressive. That's my $0.02. makes sense to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 After the capitulation by the NCEP suite, what'll really be hilarious is if the EURO goes weak/south. wouldn't be the first time that scenario has played out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 I think it would be hilarious if a more phased solution won out like the ggem from 2 days ago instead of the storm cancel the 0z models showed last night lol. You mean that solution where it had the 987mb low over Detroit and it showed a good hit for you? No, that wouldn't be very funny at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 You mean that solution where it had the 987mb low over Detroit and it showed a good hit for you? No, that wouldn't be very funny at all. yeah that's exactly what i'm talking about haha maybe a 5% chance at that now lol a couple ensemble members agree still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 993 L near the KY/IN border on the EURO. Looks like it's near Louisville or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 After the capitulation by the NCEP suite, what'll really be hilarious is if the EURO goes weak/south. My guess is that's exactly what happened... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Looking at this map, it's clear to see how the POS spinning over the gulf ****s everything up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 My guess is that's exactly what happened... Yup, south of the river again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Euro MEH.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Yup, south of the river again. On the positive side, it's north of yesterday's 12z run. At least it appears we have two solutions camps now. GGEM/EURO/UKMET vs. NAM/GFS (American vs. Foreign). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 On the positive side, it's north of yesterday's 12z run. At least it appears we have two solutions camps now. GGEM/EURO/UKMET vs. NAM/GFS. America vs. World... We've seen this before. Edit: SREF looks to mostly be in the foreign camp though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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