Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Bets on the NAM caving and wagons south at 0z? All in, 100% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 23z RAP still in full :weenie: mode 3mb deeper than 18z NAM still.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Bets on the NAM caving and wagons south at 0z? 80% it goes south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Bets on the NAM caving and wagons south at 0z? 30% it goes south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Bets on the NAM caving and wagons south at 0z? 0z will track over ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Considering the higher resolution models are still pretty far north/strong, guessing NAM will have a similar track as 18z (maybe, maybe a tad south) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 60% GFS goes north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 i'd guess way south similar to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 At 0z, there is a 1000.8 MB L located near Wright, WY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Bets on the NAM caving and wagons south at 0z? I'd be shocked if it didn't come in a hair south at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 At 0z, there is a 1000.8 MB L located near Wright, WY 999.8mb across the Black Hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 HRRR is pretty far north as well compared to GFS/UKIE etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 All this quibblin over this storm...take a look at St. Paddy's Day Gulf Bomb....and speakin of St Paddy's Day..anyone remember the storm of 1973?? Now if only this develops a bit further west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Honestly haven't seen this much region-wide interest in a storm since the Polar Vortex 2014 storm, and before that GHD 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 i'd guess way south similar to the GFS bold call but I think you went too far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 999.8mb across the Black Hills Yeah, I was looking at the 0z spc meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Honestly haven't seen this much region-wide interest in a storm since the Polar Vortex 2014 storm, and before that GHD 2011. March storms can deliver in these set ups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 On to convective feedback for the weenie phrase of choice as this mofo should be fully sampled as of 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 bold call but I think you went too far. probably asking too much for one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 On to convective feedback for the weenie phrase of choice as this mofo should be fully sampled as of 0z. Not quite. There's still the northern stream wave in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 On to convective feedback for the weenie phrase of choice as this mofo should be fully sampled as of 0z. What about snow cover, and how will it play a role? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 What about snow cover, and how will it play a role? what snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Bets on the NAM caving and wagons south at 0z? I will say, it will blink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Not quite. There's still the northern stream wave in Canada. Somewhat less dense RAOB network in Canada is not as important as absolute lack of RAOB data from the Pacific. Otherwise, this thing won't be "fully sampled" until Wednesday morning. Plus, satellite compensates for a lot of the lack of upper air data, in both cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 what snow cover I still have big piles in the lot here. Surely that's good for a 50 mile south track adjustment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 What about snow cover, and how will it play a role? low will track over MKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I'm a little disappointed that Roger Smith hasn't offered his always enjoyably analysis on this yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 What about snow cover, and how will it play a role? May help drop temps down some into the system as the cold air moves in tomorrow (for those of us with snowcover). Other than that probably not much at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I don't think the NAM will blink much. Maybe a hair south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Yeah, NAM will come south. I think to a compromise position with the GFS/EURO. Not complete capitulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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