Geos Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 ^ LOT not too entertained by all of this. Grid has me down for an inch so far. Says it ends by 1am Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 you and bo just have to read, i've always and repeatedly said i'm down for a big dog.I'm not singling out anyone. I know where you stand. That said, certainly don't see a "big dog" in the cards for CHI, but anything is possible. I'm down for snow anytime! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Wishing for a Marmaduke and more than likely ending up with a Snoopy. DTX looking like a solid snow, perhaps the record is in jeopardy this week !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 My first call for LAF is 2-4". I don't have confidence in anything higher right now but the good news if you like snow is that I doubt we come in lower than that. Others have commented on the wind potential. To me it looks like there's some potential to satisfy one of the blizzard criteria with this (sustained or frequent gusts over 35 mph for 3 hours) and we'll see about visibility. Going to be nasty conditions in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I'm not singling out anyone. I know where you stand. That said, certainly don't see a "big dog" in the cards for CHI, but anything is possible. I'm down for snow anytime! Even though I want spring and warmth, I cannot pass up a good snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 <10% chance For Chicago I agree. FWA/DET/YYZ could be in line with one of the biggest storms of the year. I do like the trends in the models today, the bigger issue locally will be the winds with the snow as most of the storms this winter didn't come with a big amount of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 ILX made a subtle change in their late morning HWO. 6 A.M. ILZ027>031-036>038-040>055-111100- CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MACON- MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT- SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-WOODFORD- 606 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. DAY ONE TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS TUESDAY EVENING. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH AN ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SLUSHY WET SNOW LIKELY NORTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR. 10:30 A.M. ILZ027>031-036>038-040>055-111100- CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MACON- MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT- SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-WOODFORD- 1034 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. DAY ONE TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS TUESDAY EVENING. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH AN ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SLUSHY WET SNOW LIKELY NORTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR WITH LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES FROM BLOOMINGTON/NORMAL AND CHAMPAIGN/URBANA NORTHEAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Even though I want spring and warmth, I cannot pass up a good snowstorm. And here I was thinking you were done till next season! ... GGEM running late today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Preview of some new SREF products that will be live on the CoD site soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 My first call for LAF is 2-4". I don't have confidence in anything higher right now but the good news if you like snow is that I doubt we come in lower than that. Others have commented on the wind potential. To me it looks like there's some potential to satisfy one of the blizzard criteria with this (sustained or frequent gusts over 35 mph for 3 hours) and we'll see about visibility. Going to be nasty conditions in any case. It's looking like a flip to rip kind of scenario for you guys. Difficult forecast, but I still like your area. Jackpot may end up a bit north of you guys, but I'm thinking you'll do good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 My first call for LAF is 2-4". I don't have confidence in anything higher right now but the good news if you like snow is that I doubt we come in lower than that. Others have commented on the wind potential. To me it looks like there's some potential to satisfy one of the blizzard criteria with this (sustained or frequent gusts over 35 mph for 3 hours) and we'll see about visibility. Going to be nasty conditions in any case. 12Z GFS looks like a solid 5 to 8 for us. Looks similar to the 0Z euro. That said, I'm thinking 3 to 5" is a good call at this point with the best being just north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 ^ Those SREF means from COD are sweet. Thought this was good for a laugh. 4km NAM goes completely ape**** and dumps 14" right on DVN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 It's looking like a flip to rip kind of scenario for you guys. Difficult forecast, but I still like your area. Jackpot may end up a bit north of you guys, but I'm thinking you'll do good. I guess I'm shy given that it's a changeover scenario. We're living dangerously as is and can't afford any northward shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Nice spread of 2-12"+ here. Fun times sitting south of KTOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 12Z GFS looks like a solid 5 to 8 for us. Looks similar to the 0Z euro. That said, I'm thinking 3 to 5" is a good call at this point with the best being just north. Sounds good. I was debating over 3-5" but decided to go a little lower for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 For Chicago I agree. FWA/DET/YYZ could be in line with one of the biggest storms of the year. I do like the trends in the models today, the bigger issue locally will be the winds with the snow as most of the storms this winter didn't come with a big amount of wind. It did seem like every storm was FOLLOWED by ridiculous wind though. I have had my fill of wind, but I will take a snowstorm anyway it comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Even though I want spring and warmth, I cannot pass up a good snowstorm. I want snow to hang on in UP, but I can take it or leave it for here. I do want the record in DTW, mainly to shut up older folks.... I can always caveat any discussion with 2013-2014 from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 And here I was thinking you were done till next season! ... GGEM running late today? Yeah, I was but a chance at 150 inches on the season is to good to pass up. I haven't hit that in a long time. Yeah this page was, it recently just loaded. http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?run=12&map=na&mod=gemglb〈=en Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 It did seem like every storm was FOLLOWED by ridiculous wind though. I have had my fill of wind, but I will take a snowstorm anyway it comes. Yeah afterwards it did, but this might be one of the only storms to have near blizzard conditions potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Yeah afterwards it did, but this might be one of the only storms to have near blizzard conditions potentially. Are winds supposed to pick up during the storm, or after it passes? What M.P.H. are we looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I want snow to hang on in UP, but I can take it or leave it for here. I do want the record in DTW, mainly to shut up older folks.... I can always caveat any discussion with 2013-2014 from here on out. You know people who were around in 1880-1881? We already are ahead of any year in recent history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I want snow to hang on in UP, but I can take it or leave it for here. I do want the record in DTW, mainly to shut up older folks.... I can always caveat any discussion with 2013-2014 from here on out. Whether or not we hit the record, there isnt a person alive who has seen a snowier winter in the heart of metro Detroit. This is already the snowiest winter since 1882 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Are winds supposed to pick up during the storm, or after it passes? What M.P.H. are we looking at? During and locally 20-25 with higher gusts. Buffalo would probably have higher winds especially as you get closer to Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Front page weather worthy title.... "Snowiest winter ever recorded !!!! "" GFS clown maps are insane on this run for DTX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Skilling going the usual 3-7". RPM had gusts of 40-50mph from the lakeshore back to DVN overnight while snowing. "Most aggressive model" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Skilling going the usual 3-7". RPM had gusts of 40-50mph from the lakeshore back to DVN overnight while snowing. "Most aggressive model" skilling snow1.png The gust products from the NAM are showing something similar. It'll be interesting to see if anyone actually pulls the trigger on blizzard headlines. I guess you could argue that blowing might not be a problem initially but that should change as temps drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 12z GEFS continue to play follow the leader and are very similar to the OP across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 12z GEFS continue to play follow the leader and are very similar to the OP across the board. Building positive steps...knew if I declared dead- it would creep back. Probably not done either. Ides of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The gust products from the NAM are showing something similar. It'll be interesting to see if anyone actually pulls the trigger on blizzard headlines. I guess you could argue that blowing might not be a problem initially but that should change as temps drop. Yeah it will be interesting. The NAM also gets sfc temps down to near the mid 20's during peak snow too. I don't think cement snow is a guarantee either, especially with temps between 850-925mb between -6 and -8 deg C. Also, the GFS has a fairly deep DGZ here around 9z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Skilling going the usual 3-7". RPM had gusts of 40-50mph from the lakeshore back to DVN overnight while snowing. "Most aggressive model" skilling snow1.png That looks like a snapshot of 20 other times this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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