RJSnowLover Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 You Chicago folks know this guy? What's he smoking? https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=463517157082669&set=a.357109677723418.1073741828.328192337281819&type=1&theater Yeah...majority of the ABC 7 mets kinda go run-to-run. I've seen them throw up NAM runs 48+ hours out several times this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Yeah...majority of the ABC 7 mets kinda go run-to-run. I've seen them throw up NAM runs 48+ hours out several times this year. There call is 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Through 15hr, 12z NAM is stronger and north of the 0/6z runs across nrn NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 There call is 1-3 inches. They make decent calls; but it's silly how much they post maps of various specific runs instead of just posting consensus thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Low west of STL at 36 hours on the 12z NAM. CVG at 45 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 mod hit for ORD...NAM was laughably far NW on a recent event right up inside 12 hours so take it with a grain of salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 12 NAM show's the Detroit snow magnets are still working... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 SREF mean up to 6" for ORD, sub 2" cluster lost a lot of members, lots of bagginess above 6", best cluster 2-4" (which sounds like a decent early call) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 lol NAM. At least it's been relatively consistent here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 NAM gives WNY 16-22 inches. Such a horrible model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The NAM has been up and down but we're getting close to its more usefull range and the last time it was far NW it was an extreme outlier on the SREF guidance which isn't the case this time. I'd be skeptical but I don't see any reason to punt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The NAM has been up and down but we're getting close to its more usefull range and the last time it was far NW it was an extreme outlier on the SREF guidance which isn't the case this time. I'd be skeptical but I don't see any reason to punt it. There's no reason to punt any solution, but (excluding the 06z GFS) unless the other models join its camp, it's hard to take what it shows seriously as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 There's no reason to punt any solution, but (excluding the 06z GFS) unless the other models join its camp, it's hard to take what it shows seriously as well. Some of the SREFS are ridiculously far north...as in...we are too far south for decent snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 SREF mean up to 6" for ORD, sub 2" cluster lost a lot of members, lots of bagginess above 6", best cluster 2-4" (which sounds like a decent early call) Yeah hard to ignore the plume mean which you could argue has done the best all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Yeah, there is even 11 SREF members that bring 10+ to MKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 There's no reason to punt any solution, but (excluding the 06z GFS) unless the other models join its camp, it's hard to take what it shows seriously as well. i'd punt anything too far north (solutions that are just rain for Detroit for example)...the globals might be south but they won't be that far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 10, 2014 Author Share Posted March 10, 2014 Wet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 ^^^5" of cement for Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Wet... Super juiced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 NAM..... Yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Wet... looks like 6z? heavier band looks north on the 12z 4km Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 RGEM coming in about 4 MB stronger and north compared to 0z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Will the 12z GFS manage to string together 2 runs in one direction without constant baby step wobbles north and south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 SREF mean for YYZ back up to 10" and the the 12z NAM is the wettest it's been since yesterday's 18z run. Despite all the model vacillations, EURO ensembles have been pretty consistent with the idea of a further NW track. Maybe that's the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spwild47 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 mod hit for ORD...NAM was laughably far NW on a recent event right up inside 12 hours so take it with a grain of salt NAM also laughably SE with a recent event as well so take it with a half grain of salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 12z RGEM HR 24 Looks similar to the NAM thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Wet... This looking like one of these fun (sarcasm) less-than-10:1 ratio snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Will the 12z GFS manage to string together 2 runs in one direction without constant baby step wobbles north and south? I'd bet the GFS nudges north again following the lead of the 6z run. With most of the s/w onshore I'm thinking now is when the models are going to lock in to a solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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