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Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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Yes Coastal I am!. As you approach Exit 23 from the south you will see a mountain range with a cell tower.  The range height is 1900 feet.  I am on the west side of that range about 2 miles north of the cell tower facing SW and overlooking Newfound Lake.  That range is really the first fairly high range west of Lake Winni.

 

Ha, know it well. Nice.

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SJonesWX

SJonesWX

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I think the writing is on the wall. I have no faith in the NCEP suite right now. I need a quick TD, onside kick recovery, and then another quick TD in under 2 minutes and we know that never happens.

not since the pats beat the browns last season lol

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
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I'm impressed by the fact that BOX is calling for 4-6 here (though the forecast is only showing snows through the night).  I'm more impressed by the winds.

 

Wednesday Night: Freezing rain...rain and sleet in the evening...then snow after midnight. Patchy fog in the evening. Visibility one quarter mile or less at times. Snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Ice accumulation around a trace. Much colder with lows around 12. North winds 5 to 10 mph... Increasing to northwest 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

Thursday: Snow likely. Much colder with highs around 15. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph...increasing to 50 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 70 percent.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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GFS also has an unstable layer near 06z just as temps plummet. If that is right, I would not rule out a rumble of thunder as some flip to sleet. KORH at 6z Thursday has this. It does make sense as the s/w moves up in combo with that warm tongue that is about to get erased.

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klw

klw

Posted
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SREFs are a joke....they have over 50% prob of ORH getting 8" of snow...all from the back end stuff.

 

 

Wait you mean the average of my plumes of 27.54 inches won't verify??????  :lmao:  Range is 16.25 to 37.69.  If only.

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140311&RT=15&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=1V4&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=44.252825770637045&mLON=-72.12239898071289&mTYP=roadmap

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HoarfrostHubb

HoarfrostHubb

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Boy, how soon the cooler air comes in could have a decent impact on totals in northern Mass.  I'd weenie out if I can be changing over by 8 or 9 p.m.  Not likely, but hope is what being a weenie's all about.

Yeah, the GFS seems to suggest my area being cold enough around 11PM-midnight or so...BOX thinks wait until after 3AM or so, which is what the Euro is pushing.

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HoarfrostHubb

HoarfrostHubb

Posted
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GFS also has an unstable layer near 06z just as temps plummet. If that is right, I would not rule out a rumble of thunder as some flip to sleet. KORH at 6z Thursday has this. It does make sense as the s/w moves up in combo with that warm tongue that is about to get erased.

I wondered about that earlier. Would it be more likely in NNE?

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

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Yeah, the GFS seems to suggest my area being cold enough around 11PM-midnight or so...BOX thinks wait until after 3AM or so, which is what the Euro is pushing.

 

I'm having flashback to the New Year's-ish storm that was supposed to change to snow that ended up wire-to-wire rain here  (though we pulled off a foot in Bartlett).  That memory has me refusing to give into any weenie thoughts of an early transition.

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HIPPYVALLEY

HIPPYVALLEY

Posted
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Boy, how soon the cooler air comes in could have a decent impact on totals in northern Mass.  I'd weenie out if I can be changing over by 8 or 9 p.m.  Not likely, but hope is what being a weenie's all about.

 

Our area is volatile and definitely nowcast.  It could be 1-3" or 4-6" with a slight shift and that's a big difference on sensible impact to the public.

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