Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

[bobbutts]

Am I cooked in the Concord area?

Looks like an extremely close call.  0z models looked bad, but a bit colder since.

[dryslot]

Euro is a toaster

[dendrite]

Am I cooked in the Concord area?

Looks like an extremely close call. 0z models looked bad, but a bit colder since.

euro says we're cooked until the changeover back to snow.

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah the Euro is a furnace....it might even be a hair warmer than 00z.

[CoastalWx]

Euro would taint to Coos county practically.

[forkyfork]

hard to not side with the euro at this point

[CT Rain]

Euro great for N VT though. 

[CT Rain]

Jeez... 700 mb low tracks over KART! 

[Damage In Tolland]

Does it have backside snow?

[CT Rain]

700mb low KART-KBTV. 850 low KBGM-KEEN?

[CT Rain]

Does it have backside snow?

 

No. 

[ORH_wxman]

There's powderfreak's QPF for Sunday River to Sugarloaf he was searching for on the GFS.

[mattlacroix4]

Well, this certainly doesn't help anything...I really think the Euro is a little suspect right now. It held steady for days and days, then just jumped north. I actually think the GFS looks pretty feasible.

[ORH_wxman]

No. 

 

 

It looked like a couple inches to me. Though the best was pike northward. Maybe an inch for Kevin.

[N. OF PIKE]

Lol @ euro

Dis as tah

Maybe wildcat to bretton woods is place to be in NH.

I dont see "a lot" of upslope in vt, def not classic upslope signal. Winds more northerly . N greens get 4-8" fluff if a moose farts.

The good Nor Easters wrap a low near FVE and watch it sit and spin...this looks SE of there....unless euro being more NW has NW winds over the spine thursday, haven't looked

[CoastalWx]

What a dumping for the mtns of Maine. Holy crap.

[dryslot]

Guess we will be taking a ride up to West Bethal, Coos Canyon to Rangeley corridor area on saturday

[Damage In Tolland]

So what do you do? Think the Euro is right and use that..or think that every other model US and foreign is right and blend those?

[CT Rain]

It looked like a couple inches to me. Though the best was pike northward. Maybe an inch for Kevin.

 

Looked like maybe 0.1" liquid after 06z but at 6z Tolland is still like 38/35. 

[CoastalWx]

Man they get a combo of some lower level forcing like the GFS had and 850 inflow smacking the mtns. Dumpage.

[CoastalWx]

So what do you do? Think the Euro is right and use that..or think that every other model US and foreign is right and blend those?

 

What's the difference for TOL? 1" vs 1.5"? Sort of meaningless.

[ORH_wxman]

What a dumping for the mtns of Maine. Holy crap.

 

 

Yeah..destroyed.

[CT Rain]

That really is an epic track for NW Maine. 

[Damage In Tolland]

What's the difference for TOL? 1" vs 1.5"? Sort of meaningless.

What? I'm talking about for where it matters in NH and north. Nam GFS gave ct 1-4.. Euro nothing. At this point it's not even looking good except for far N VT and Maine

[CT Rain]

What? I'm talking about for where it matters in NH and north. Nam GFS gave ct 1-4.. Euro nothing. At this point it's not even looking good except for far N VT and Maine

 

The Euro maybe gives you like 0.5" of snow. If that kind of event is important to you then have at it!

 

Not sure why you're getting so cranky about a 1" event when we're missing out on 2 feet to the north... we've been spoiled most of the winter and the folks up north deserve some of the goods. 

[mattlacroix4]

Is everyone really completely jumping on the Euro? I think the GFS has actually been pretty good this winter. There have several times where the Euro has really dropped the ball.

[moneypitmike]

Bummer of a run for us southerners--perhaps we can eek out a little.  I can't see how quickly (or perhaps slowly) the cooler air comes in.  Does it still provide a flash freeze situation just later?

 

Fun times for the mountains.  Fun, fun times.

 

Meanwhile, what a beaut today is.  Went to Hampshire College to meet my wife for lunch--beautiful spring-like day.  Car read 54* in Greenfield, 48.8/28 here at the Pit.  Drippity drip drip drip.

[ORH_wxman]

Is everyone really completely jumping on the Euro? I think the GFS has actually been pretty good this winter. There have several times where the Euro has really dropped the ball.

 

 

Euro could be slightly overdone, but this close in, you'd probably weight it more than the others. Maybe a 75/25 blend. Obviously that matters to a lot of folks on the line.

[Damage In Tolland]

The Euro maybe gives you like 0.5" of snow. If that kind of event is important to you then have at it!

Not sure why you're getting so cranky about a 1" event when we're missing out on 2 feet to the north... we've been spoiled most of the winter and the folks up north deserve some of the goods.

Deserve snow? Come on dude. Nobody deserves any particular type of weather. I guess we deserve a big hurricane then. You're on vacation. Instead of tracking a storm from home why not go up and ski and get out in it.

[ORH_wxman]

Bummer of a run for us southerners--perhaps we can eek out a little.  I can't see how quickly (or perhaps slowly) the cooler air comes in.  Does it still provide a flash freeze situation just later?

 

Fun times for the mountains.  Fun, fun times.

 

Meanwhile, what a beaut today is.  Went to Hampshire College to meet my wife for lunch--beautiful spring-like day.  Car read 54* in Greenfield, 48.8/28 here at the Pit.  Drippity drip drip drip.

 

 

It is still a flash freeze, but its just less potential qpf as snow/sleet....you prob get like 2 or 3 inches this run. Hope the Euro is just a tad too amped if you want more snow.