Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

[dryslot]

And a slusher here?

 

You get some taint, But you going to get a good dump as well

[ctsnowstorm628]

NNE burial wow.

[ORH_wxman]

So would it go from 50 to below freezing quickly?

 

 

Its mor elike 38F to 28F within a couple hours or even into the lower 20s quickly...it eventually gets into the teens...the Euro track doesn't warm sector interior SNE so it never gets that warm.

[CoastalWx]

So would it go from 50 to below freezing quickly?

 

You aren't sniffing 50 during that storm. Temps fall later Wed aftn.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Prob an inch, maybe 2 there....maybe 2-4/3-5 for NW MA into N ORH hills and Monads...maybe even a bit more for Monads and far NW MA.

 

Is there snow on the front end for NW MA or are you talking those amounts from the tail end?

[Typhoon Tip]

isn't it already snowing N of the Pike at 48 hour on this run though --

 

[ctsnowstorm628]

Just crushed on the wrap around up here... nice deform band right into N.VT. 

 

976mb in the Gulf of Maine...that's a monster.

Best I've felt about a storm up here since 3/7/11. Widespread 12-18"

[weatherMA]

I think 2' amounts in VT are likely

[ORH_wxman]

isn't it already snowing N of the Pike at 48 hour on this run though --

 

 

 

 

Yeah briefly...but it quickly warms above 0C at 850 after that...but then it crashes back SE between 60-66 hours for a flash freeze brief S/S+ scenario.

[Typhoon Tip]

At 72 hours, this looks like powder blizzard ending --

 

[powderfreak]

Looks like 1.4-2" QPF from the eastern Adirondacks across most of VT/NH/ME.  Interior Maine takes it home with 2" QPF, while I guess we have to settle for 1.5" here in VT.

[CoastalWx]

Jspin will not stop writing about this storm if he already writes a diatribe about analyzing 0.2" of snow.

[Damage In Tolland]

What could have been ..so close to the big one for SNE/CNE.. Instead it's nude lunches on picnic tables in NNE. Enjoy it

[CoastalWx]

Looks like 1.4-2" QPF from the eastern Adirondacks across most of VT/NH/ME.  Interior Maine takes it home with 2" QPF, while I guess we have to settle for 1.5" here in VT.

 

Congrats, you finally get a good one.  BTV back above normal. All is well.

[ctsnowstorm628]

Looks like 1.4-2" QPF from the eastern Adirondacks across most of VT/NH/ME.  Interior Maine takes it home with 2" QPF, while I guess we have to settle for 1.5" here in VT.

Cold aloft too. Thinking 10-12:1 through Wed afternoon, then 15:1 after sunset. Easily 20" for someone in NNE.

[powderfreak]

NNE burial wow.

 

Looks very similar to what we saw at 12z yesterday and 00z last night, except its more robust on the deformation/wrap around up here.  Looks to develop a nice axis from N.ME through southern Quebec into VT...that's got high ratio and maybe even upslope enhancement as we finally get a stacked low in a pretty decent location with plenty of moisture left.

 

That was what we wanted to see. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I'm hoping Mt Snow / Stratton area can cash in but looks like some taint for S VT.

[ctsnowstorm628]

Looks very similar to what we saw at 12z yesterday and 00z last night, except its more robust on the deformation/wrap around up here.  Looks to develop a nice axis from N.ME through southern Quebec into VT...that's got high ratio and maybe even upslope enhancement as we finally get a stacked low in a pretty decent location with plenty of moisture left.

 

That was what we wanted to see. 

Yeah that's a perfect track for us. And I mean PERFECT. Deform may even be to our NNW for a time. We are in on a serious WAA thump as well.

 

I feel like I'm in SNE preparing for a storm haha.

[Brian5671]

What could have been ..so close to the big one for SNE/CNE.. Instead it's nude lunches on picnic tables in NNE. Enjoy it

A track a 100 miles south and we might have been in business-still will be fun to watch this thing explode and bury someone

[ORH_wxman]

I'm hoping Mt Snow / Stratton area can cash in but looks like some taint for S VT.

 

That would still be good for them though...a bit of taint, but far better than something like the hideous GFS solution. Euro prob gives them 8-10...with taint in between the front and back ends.

[Damage In Tolland]

Congrats, you finally get a good one.  BTV back above normal. All is well.

All the whining all winter from those folks. Skiing until June this year

[HIPPYVALLEY]

What could have been ..so close to the big one for SNE/CNE.. Instead it's nude lunches on picnic tables in NNE. Enjoy it

 

Wouldn't bother me as much if we hadn't just wasted two weeks of brutal temperature departures on dry air.

[CoastalWx]

Well nrn VT is basically the last man stading this winter and they've been patient. Although it has not been as bad as some made it out to be...this should finally bring them back from downing bottles of prozac.

[Damage In Tolland]

Wouldn't bother me as much if we hadn't just wasted two weeks of brutal temperature departures on dry air.

3.5 weeks.  Feb 17th was the last one..7 days and it's a full month ..and it looks like we've lost the St Patty storm

[J Paul Gordon]

Hoping this is a lock in. I have to work until about 9 PM on Wednesday night (in Southbridge, MA and have to travel to Worcester). I figure just some nasty rain, nothing frozen until later and not much of it at that. Am I reading the posts correctly?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

That would still be good for them though...a bit of taint, but far better than something like the hideous GFS solution. Euro prob gives them 8-10...with taint in between the front and back ends.

 

Nice.  Spring pack building in the S Greens.

[Typhoon Tip]

Again ...folks, this is not etched in stone.

 

This run's wearisomely cooler than the 00z, and there's really a very, very small amount of wiggle room for SNE in this thing; impossible to ascertain variance(s) would completely change the landscape of impacts, particularly N of the CT/RI borders with Mass. 

 

If for example, trickle in post fropa cold late tomorrow/night does turn out to have more momentum, that alters things in a situation that can't really tolerate alterations. 

 

Also, believe it or not ... the dynamics feeding into the L/W pulsation are not even injected into the flow yet. They are still entangle up in that Alaska vortex/sector... That doesn't get bumped into the flow until tomorrow, then it's that fast to engineer whatever ultimately takes place. Correctly sampling ..whatever dynamical momentum is forced down stream is going to be paramount for deterministic calls with this thing.  That has not happened yet.

[N. OF PIKE]

All the whining all winter from those folks. Skiing until June this year

More like making accurate observations wrt departures from normal, except eyes all did have a meltdown or two

[TalcottWx]

Euro doesn't really look like anything other-wordly though. We are a few ticks south away from a hell of a backend snow I guess with some great gusting and a huge temp drop. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Again ...folks, this is not etched in stone.

 

This run's wearisomely cooler than the 00z, and there's really a very, very small amount of wiggle room for SNE in this thing; impossible to ascertain variance(s) would completely change the landscape of impacts, particularly N of the CT/RI borders with Mass. 

 

If for example, trickle in post fropa cold late tomorrow/night does turn out to have more momentum, that alters things in a situation that can't really tolerate alterations. 

 

Also, believe it or not ... the dynamics feeding into the L/W pulsation are not even injected into the flow yet. They are still entangle up in that Alaska vortex/sector... That doesn't get bumped into the flow until tomorrow, than it's that fast to engineer whatever ultimately takes place.   

How is it colder if it's 20 miles north of 00z? What in the sam hell?