Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

[dryslot]

Tough to get a read on the convection this time of year to, That can play some games as well with modeling

[ORH_wxman]

Flatter ridge again...my guess is this comes in warmer than 12z.

 

There's more energy in the trough...so this might actually be close to a cutter type solution.

[dryslot]

Flatter ridge again...my guess is this comes in warmer than 12z.

 

There's more energy in the trough...so this might actually be close to a cutter type solution.

 

Yeah looks like it has an earlier phase, Its definitly going to be warmer down in SNE, I may have issues up here

[weathafella]

Yup. It starts everyone from lower NNE southward as rain, SnowMan smugly expecting a rainer in sne may get one himself.

[dendrite]

Flatter ridge again...my guess is this comes in warmer than 12z.

 

There's more energy in the trough...so this might actually be close to a cutter type solution.

Yeah...we need to get that boundary a little more south in advance. Mix to snow up here....ugly down there.

[weathafella]

Raining hard LCI southward.

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah looks like it has an earlier phase, Its definitly going to be warmer down in SNE, I may have issues up here

 

 

Yes, looks that way...even raining in your neck by 00z Thu. The cold air drain is mostly bottled up to the northwest and we have to wait until the low reaches us to bring it in....hopefully this is sort of a one run blip on the magnitude of the lack of ridging combined with the energy in the base of the trough.

[weathafella]

Maine gets buried, They're. The big winners...all of Maine.

[Ginx snewx]

0z warmth 12z cold been like clockwork, thankfully its Sunday not Tuesday

[ORH_wxman]

It does crash and everyone goes to heavy snow for a time...longer further north....but this is definitely a trend we don't want for widespread major snowstorm.

[weathafella]

The cyclogenesis is starting too far north.

[dryslot]

Yes, looks that way...even raining in your neck by 00z Thu. The cold air drain is mostly bottled up to the northwest and we have to wait until the low reaches us to bring it in....hopefully this is sort of a one run blip on the magnitude of the lack of ridging combined with the energy in the base of the trough.

 

Looks like a last minute save after we start off as rain as the low gets going this run and temps crash back SE mtns and county get blitzed up this way this run

[weathafella]

It's a great run for ski areas and the crying gang from Vermont.

[dryslot]

It does crash and everyone goes to heavy snow for a time...longer further north....but this is definitely a trend we don't want for widespread major snowstorm.

 

No, We want it dynamic but not in this sense we are still trending in the wrong direction, But we may be setting the goal post, Euro seems to be the most amped up model which it has done a few times this winter

[Ginx snewx]

We toss until tommorrow unfortunately now 13 hours away

[dryslot]

It's a great run for ski areas and the crying gang from Vermont.

 

lol, Snow angels on the picnic table and eyewall taking the pics

[ORH_wxman]

The cyclogenesis is starting too far north.

 

 

It will eventually ride into ALB if we don't stop the trend of flattening PNA ridge and more energy is injected into the base of the trough at the same time.

 

 

But obviously still some time. OP Euro has certainly not been without reputation for doing solutions a bit too excited around 4 days out.

[weathafella]

Heckuva way to have a last night up for the euro of the season...lol.

[ORH_wxman]

As depicted though, that is a hell of a flash freeze...almost Mar 8, 2005 style over CNE/SNE. We're talking like 40F to 25F in a few hours with heavy snow to top it off.

[joey2002]

Heckuva way to have a last night up for the euro of the season...lol.

 

[codfishsnowman]

hows that inch of snow looking for sunday night?

[New Englander]

Hopefully this is not a trend...

[codfishsnowman]

seems like outside of an occasional colder run, this thing is trending warmer at an alarming rate and seeing the 0z gfs so warm is a red flag too...those other further east models just havent sniffed out the more amped sols yet. i think euro has the right idea here

[Mikehobbyst]

Good night Frosty, it was nice knowing you.  We'll meet again in winter 2014-2015.  and the "running for their mamas" cold outbreaks.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

0z warmth 12z cold been like clockwork, thankfully its Sunday not Tuesday

There's been some real obvious fluctuations 0z/12z in the euro. Been going on for weeks.

[weathafella]

OT but did anyone notice the monster blizzard at the end of the run for the entire east coast DC northward?

[Blizz]

OT but did anyone notice the monster blizzard at the end of the run for the entire east coast DC northward?

Snowmap is insane....

[blizzard24]

ECWMF IS SOUTH OF SNE AREA  TRACK ON MOST RUNS

[ctsnowstorm628]

0z euro ENS are NW. Low over NJ at 96 hours and east of BOS at 108 hours.

[CoastalWx]

Ensembles are a torch aloft. Its basically doing exactly what I mentioned about not wanting to see the other day. Front barely makes it into SNE and it blows up the low along it. Congrats PF on this run again.