Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

[dendrite]

Nope, Time for its own, This one kind of sidetracked into it but its more the teleconnection thread.

This was the thread...it got pulled out of the March thread.

[Ginx snewx]

Somebody's feeling it.

[dryslot]

This was the thread...it got pulled out of the March thread.

 

Ah, Well you can delete the other one then, Although my karama is pretty good ........ , Probably should get a thread title change though

[Ginx snewx]

Ah, Well you can delete the other one then, Although my karama is pretty good ........

juju

[dryslot]

juju

 

You know it, Feel pretty good for this one, Have not been able to say that a lot this winter

[dryslot]

Somebody's feeling it.

 

I think your vacation was well slotted on your part

[dendrite]

Ah, Well you can delete the other one then, Although my karama is pretty good ........ , Probably should get a thread title change though

I don't care either way, but you may have to wrestle Tippy for it. Karma is for chameleons.

[dryslot]

Out to 90, And the 0z GFS is a hair faster and amped from the 18z run looks like some are going to have some mixing issues

[dendrite]

GFS is way amped...mixing up to the NH border.

[dryslot]

GFS is way amped...mixing up to the NH border.

 

Yes it is, You may want to merge my thread back in with this one so we are not posting in 2 different ones on the same threat

[dendrite]

Yes it is, You may want to merge my thread back in with this one so we are not posting in 2 different ones on the same threat

When this gets near 1k feel free to have the honor.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Op Gfs has been all over the place...euro has fluctuated but has made less drastic ticks.

[N. OF PIKE]

Nice bos area rain storm but not far from snow

[dryslot]

This run would keep PF's from doing swan dives of the picnic table at 2k and satisfy eyewall's qpf fetish

[ORH_wxman]

Nice bos area rain storm but not far from snow

 

 

It starts as snow and then flips back even at BOS.

 

 

Not that it matters really.

[CardinalWinds]

This run would keep PF's from doing swan dives of the picnic table at 2k and satisfy eyewall's qpf fetish

 

Yes, this run is acceptable...hehe.

[dryslot]

Yes, this run is acceptable...hehe.

 

Nice hit for you guys up there verbatim

[Ginx snewx]

Jerrys insane Uncle getting a clue

[LakeEffectKing]

_{Canadian goes east}

 

[Mikehobbyst]

Jerrys insane Uncle getting a clue

Maybe it is time to order the discharge papers for Uncle Euro and Aunt GGEM.  Maybe the centrifuge chair worked its wonders.  Sort of like toilet motions from a turd POV.

[joey2002]

GGEM and Crazy Uncle actually have better verification scores lately than the GFS, lol.

[ORH_wxman]

GGEM and Crazy Uncle actually have better verification scores lately than the GFS, lol.

 

 

It has been really bad the last month compared to usual....its verification scores on Z (height) anomalies have dropped like an anchor.

 

Doesn't mean it will be terrible this time though. Eventually models do come out of funks, but unfortunately we just never know when,

[weathafella]

Cmc is quite the blizzard.

[OSUmetstud]

The UKMET has been in second place behind the EC for years, it's just about always beat the gfs on the scores.  It's the GEM beating the GFS that's odd.  

[LakeEffectKing]

It has been really bad the last month compared to usual....its verification scores on Z (height) anomalies have dropped like an anchor.

 

Doesn't mean it will be terrible this time though. Eventually models do come out of funks, but unfortunately we just never know when,

Usually when the h500 pattern smooths out or slows down (jet lifts north)...fast flow, multiple/interacting s/w's will always lower the models' score...except for the blind squirrel rule.

[ORH_wxman]

The UKMET has been in second place behind the EC for years, it's just about always beat the gfs on the scores.  It's the GEM beating the GFS that's odd.  

 

 

Yes that is true...though for some reason the UKMET has never been able to handle east coast cyclogenesis very well despite its solid Z scores. That always puzzled me a bit.

[Ginx snewx]

Cmc is quite the blizzard.

collaboration site shows rain but with a low in that position and the high in its,its depiction is too warm

[8611Blizz]

I know this is far out in terms of time but is there consensus on how long this storm will be?  I know most of the solutions are amped so Qpf is good but is this happening due to the storm slowing or is just really juiced but fast moving? 

[dryslot]

collaboration site shows rain but with a low in that position and the high in its,its depiction is too warm

 

Yup, It crushes up here and some to the south

[ORH_wxman]

I know this is far out in terms of time but is there consensus on how long this storm will be?  I know most of the solutions are amped so Qpf is good but is this happening due to the storm slowing or is just really juiced but fast moving? 

 

 

It is not a particularly slow moving storm at all...its probably about a 12-18 hour deal. There's been some runs that hold back steady snow a bit on the end because the sfc outruns the upper level support a bit...but this storm deson't look like a staller or anything.

 

 

 

00z GEFS are just inside the BM it looks like.