Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

[weathafella]

Mike Wankum is out to lunch. Look at his last tweet. Shame some mets become robots when they get good gigs.

I thought his tweet was fine..what am I missing?

[dendrite]

Yeah, GEFS looked real good for a mean

Some nice members for the queens.

[dryslot]

Some nice members for the queens.

image.jpg

 

Figured there would be a few weenie panels in their with it showing some spread to the NW

[SouthCoastMA]

The 18z GFS is the pinnacle run for anyone south of the pike and especially SE mass. Though would Have to lean towards the Euro given its inside 4.5 days. But nice eye candy at least

[SnowMan]

Gfs will move towards the euro with gefs being north of the op...

[CoastalWx]

The GEFS were a flash to S+ and then powder bomb. That was dam dynamic

[weathafella]

Gfs will move towards the euro with gefs being north of the op...

I'm not sure the mean is north. The mean is similar but more wide in isobars due to the spread of solutions.

[dryslot]

The GEFS were a flash to S+ and then powder bomb. That was dam dynamic

 

That's just what we want, I will sacrifice some taint for the big thump that it could possibly deliver all day long

[SnowMan]

Any chance for ZR? I would take that to end the winter. That would truly be epic...

[CoastalWx]

That's just what we want, I will sacrifice some taint for the big thump that it could possibly deliver all day long

Well that was for down this way, but yeah a paste

job would be nice.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Any chance for ZR? I would take that to end the winter. That would truly be epic...

Doesnt look over in the long range. And your in NH? Long ways to go til spring.

[CoastalWx]

Doesnt look over in the long range. And your in NH? Long ways to go til spring.

I was just there. It ain't coming anytime soon.

[dryslot]

I was just there. It ain't coming anytime soon.

No it is not coming soon not even here on the coastal plain, I think we continue to gain

[JC-CT]

LOL , yea too bad its the GFS, j/k, look forward to your 3 am Euro post when I wake up at 6ish, lol

Careful Steve. They started a new thread in the general weather discussion forum about how some red tagger in the NE forum said the off-runs should be dismissed. Dtk on the attack.

[CoastalWx]

No it is not coming soon not even here on the coastal plain, I think we continue to gain

The Maine coastal plain doesn't count north of PWM lol. It's not the same.

[SnowMan]

The Maine coastal plain doesn't count north of PWM lol. It's not the same.

Not saying it is over. Would be nice to get a major ZR storm at the end of the season.

[dryslot]

The Maine coastal plain doesn't count north of PWM lol. It's not the same.

True, I am nestled just to the SE of the foothills

[HoarfrostHubb]

Any quick summaries of today?

Sound like things still ok

[JC-CT]

Any quick summaries of today?

Sound like things still ok

In general you should be happy

[HoarfrostHubb]

In general you should be happy

Yeah. And lots of reading to do.

[dendrite]

Careful Steve. They started a new thread in the general weather discussion forum about how some red tagger in the NE forum said the off-runs should be dismissed. Dtk on the attack.

Who here dismissed them? They may have a fraction of less skill than 12z/00z for verification, but I'd assume that being 6hrs closer to verification is more important than that slightly lower score. IOW, the 114hr 18z is more skillful than the 120hr 12z.

[JC-CT]

Yeah. And lots of reading to do.

Euro north, gfs fairly steady sans last night's 0z run. Taint is a bigger fear than suppression. Models showing a dynamic storm. You sit pretty at your latitude.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

18z gfs would be the defining moment of the winter for southeast ma folks. Some room to play here.

Even a euro solution would provide a pretty significant back end thump.

Everyone is still in the game

[JC-CT]

Who here dismissed them? They may have a fraction of less skill than 12z/00z for verification, but I'd assume that being 6hrs closer to verification is more important than that slightly lower score.

That was exactly my reply.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Euro north, gfs fairly steady sans last night's 0z run. Taint is a bigger fear than suppression. Models showing a dynamic storm. You sit pretty at your latitude.

Thanks. Some good stuff.

[TalcottWx]

I thought his tweet was fine..what am I missing?

He suggested there was substantial info to argue a Rainer at this timeframe and I don't see it yet.

[dryslot]

Figured its time to break it off for this next event, We are starting to close into the 4 day or less period with tonight's 0z runs so lets discuss it here

[dryslot]

Figured it was time for a thread on this next event, So i started one before tonight's 0z runs....

 

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/43153-significant-coastal-storm-possible-312-313/

[Juliancolton]

Figured it was time for a thread on this next event, So i started one before tonight's 0z runs....

 

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/43153-significant-coastal-storm-possible-312-313/

I thought this pretty much is/was the de facto thread for the storm

[dryslot]

I thought this pretty much is/was the de facto thread for the storm

 

Nope, Time for its own, This one kind of sidetracked into it but its more the teleconnection thread.