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Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Is 1.25" enough for eyewall or is that still suppressed?

 

Haha I was just going to post something in the NNE thread about that... the mid-level tracks on that run are literally perfect so it sort of sucks because you know the chances of something so perfect are so low, lol.

 

The banding signal on that run is pretty obscene in this season's mini-screw zone from like the Adirondacks through N.VT and N.NH.  975mb just east of BOS is pretty climo perfect.

 

Anyway, too much discussion on a deterministic... again, as I said yesterday, the final result doesn't even bother me as much as just being in the chase for a few days. 

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

You're closer to 1.50", but who cares at this point. Just weenie eye candy at this range. Kinda like how wiz looks at Miley.

 

lol... exactly. 

 

To be honest, I'm pretty shocked the ECM went back to some of those solutions from like yesterday's 00z and Thursday's runs with that NY State into CNE/NNE bomb. 

 

Has another light snow event in VT/NH/ME right after that system too, like Fri/Sat next week.  That was a solid ECM run on the whole for us. 

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Lets get to work on that 60-inch deficit at the mountain right now...that would be a step in the right direction, haha.

who cares, you have feet and feet of totally unmelted snow that in some good "snow years' would be in the river. You are like only 6 inches under normal depth, this storm and Monday would skyrocket that.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

who cares, you have feet and feet of totally unmelted snow that in some good "snow years' would be in the river. You are like only 6 inches under normal depth, this storm wand Monday would skyrocket that.

Haha yeah doesn't matter at all at this stage of the game in March.

Basically what this season has shown is what we already knew...upslope snowfall is great for creating powder days (much lower amount of powder days this season) but doesn't really do all that much for the base. We are essentially missing the upslope this season which is why the prime upslope region has the largest deficit in raw inches, but the snowpack is near normal.

I just haven't been able to post as many pictures of people drowning in fluffy snow this season, lol.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

Wake me up in 36 hours. Nicest day of 2014 and weather weenies are huddled around their electronic devices looking at unreliable day 4-5 progs while they could be washing their cars

No thanks. I have 3-4ft snow banks and the roads are wet, salty, and sanded. I'll wait until April.
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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
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Haven't been home all day but is say the Euro is prob too amped lol. That does not fit into the seasonal pattern. I can almost guarantee the ens don't look anything like that

You basically mean it doesn't fit with the seasonal pattern of us getting fringed while SNE cleans up, lol.
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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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Euro solution is defintiely on the table...I posted how the ensembles last night were more amped than the OP run...you could see on the spaghetti plots.

 

Now will it be as amped as the OP run? Maybe not, but its certianly a plausible solution.

 

 

FWIW, that euro solution does crash things and end as a period of heavy snow in a lot of SNE....for the verbatim suckers.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

No we can't toss that solution but with high up there and progressive pattern it just doesn't make a lot of sense. Maybe it's right

Well it was still pretty progressive, just juicy and north. It still tracked WSW to ENE, not like it took a hard hook north once off the Delmarva. The whole pattern was just situated a little further north and the low took a near identical trajectory to past runs. Depends on how far south the boundary sinks, that's why the GGEM has had some north runs, it just doesn't slide the frontal boundary as far south as say the GFS.

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