Ralph Wiggum Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 I was wrong on that thinking lol. Huge hit for ski resorts and mountains. Wet most other places. Big storm this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 So with nothing better to do I analyzed the NYC sub forum posts on the storm next week. This include 17 pages totaling 572 posts and 80 posters including 8 red taggers. Included are the top 10 username # posts % yanksfan27 112 20 highzenberg 47 8 snow88 40 7 redmk6gli 30 5 snowski14 29 5 bluewave 28 5 pazz083 24 4 pbgfi 22 4 doorman 14 2 nybliz44 13 2 Total 62% red taggers 15 3% Yanksfan is such a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2014 Author Share Posted March 7, 2014 I was wrong on that thinking lol. Huge hit for ski resorts and mountains. Wet most other places. Big storm this run. Its less snowy for I-95, warmer and further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Yanksfan is such a joke. Oh really now?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 So with nothing better to do I analyzed the NYC sub forum posts on the storm next week. This include 17 pages totaling 572 posts and 80 posters including 8 red taggers. Included are the top 10username # posts %yanksfan27 112 20highzenberg 47 8snow88 40 7redmk6gli 30 5snowski14 29 5bluewave 28 5pazz083 24 4pbgfi 22 4doorman 14 2nybliz44 13 2Total 62%red taggers 15 3% Yanksfan is such a joke. Doorman is one of the NYC forums best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Doorman is one of the NYC forums best. Agreed. There are a number of people in the NYC forum that post relatively little but what they post is concise and very useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Although this forum has relatively few posters I think the content is very good for the most part. Would be nice if atownweather put his breakdown of the euro output in here. It's very nicely laid out. edit: atownwxwatcher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 Although this forum has relatively few posters I think the content is very good for the most part. Would be nice if atownweather put his breakdown of the euro output in here. It's very nicely laid out. edit: atownwxwatcher Hit up Doorman too so I don't have to sift through all of the rubbish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Today was the nail in the coffin for me....I did say I liked the potential for a storm for 12-14th, i nailed that aspect, but it turns out the wave is crossing the CONUS too fast, not allowing for the HP to build in time to save us down here. Unless there is a complete miracle at 00z, its been a great winter. We didn't get the "big one", but who is complaining...Personally last year I got to experience Nemo first hand, and this year I got our historic winter...Cya guys next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Today was the nail in the coffin for me....I did say I liked the potential for a storm for 12-14th, i nailed that aspect, but it turns out the wave is crossing the CONUS too fast, not allowing for the HP to build in time to save us down here. Unless there is a complete miracle at 00z, its been a great winter. We didn't get the "big one", but who is complaining...Personally last year I got to experience Nemo first hand, and this year I got our historic winter...Cya guys next year.we've had snow in may before so while getting more unlikely by the day, you should still check-in if at the very least for the next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 Today was the nail in the coffin for me....I did say I liked the potential for a storm for 12-14th, i nailed that aspect, but it turns out the wave is crossing the CONUS too fast, not allowing for the HP to build in time to save us down here. Unless there is a complete miracle at 00z, its been a great winter. We didn't get the "big one", but who is complaining...Personally last year I got to experience Nemo first hand, and this year I got our historic winter...Cya guys next year. Winter is all that excites you, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Today was the nail in the coffin for me....I did say I liked the potential for a storm for 12-14th, i nailed that aspect, but it turns out the wave is crossing the CONUS too fast, not allowing for the HP to build in time to save us down here. Unless there is a complete miracle at 00z, its been a great winter. We didn't get the "big one", but who is complaining...Personally last year I got to experience Nemo first hand, and this year I got our historic winter...Cya guys next year. Wow..... we didn't get the big one... but hey at least here in Media we had well two storms over 9" and one that got to 14" and two others that pushed to and just over 12" I will call that a BANTER YEAR after 8.6" last year.... yes there is more to weather than snow... should be a pretty wild severe weather season later in March through to May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Today was the nail in the coffin for me....I did say I liked the potential for a storm for 12-14th, i nailed that aspect, but it turns out the wave is crossing the CONUS too fast, not allowing for the HP to build in time to save us down here. Unless there is a complete miracle at 00z, its been a great winter. We didn't get the "big one", but who is complaining...Personally last year I got to experience Nemo first hand, and this year I got our historic winter...Cya guys next year. Maybe before if the weather cooperates . Thanks for all your contributions this winter with model analysis, getting into some pbp, and general enthusiasm for a good winter storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Wow..... we didn't get the big one... but hey at least here in Media we had well two storms over 9" and one that got to 14" and two others that pushed to and just over 12" I will call that a BANTER YEAR after 8.6" last year.... yes there is more to weather than snow... should be a pretty wild severe weather season later in March through to May. +1 for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 The Fanatic of Savage Meteorology VWF asked me to stop in!!!! run the ESRL loops this should make things interesting for you http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/prec_ussm_animation.html http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/spag_ussm_animation.html http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/mslp_f120_us.html main page http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/ens.html gfs 06z http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GFS/06/US/gfsUS_sfc_prec_114.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Nice storm on the 0Z euro in the 10 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 lol at giving up 5 days out after all the last minute shifts this winter. That said will need a stronger cold push in our area for this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Winter is all that excites you, eh? No, I enjoy all extreme weather, but I only track winter storms. 6z GFS sucked me in a bit....and there's some inkling of maybe some potential for the 17-18th...ahhhh make it stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Just need another 6" storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
svh19044 Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 No, I enjoy all extreme weather, but I only track winter storms. 6z GFS sucked me in a bit....and there's some inkling of maybe some potential for the 17-18th...ahhhh make it stop.If you like tracking winter storms why would you bail on this one 5 days out? Especially when 6 days out you were all in...I thought perhaps you were trying some reverse physcology on Mother Nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Nice storm on the 0Z euro in the 10 day range. gfs has the threat also...you should probably start a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 gfs has the threat also...you should probably start a thread. Not a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 If you like tracking winter storms why would you bail on this one 5 days out? Especially when 6 days out you were all in... I thought perhaps you were trying some reverse physcology on Mother Nature. I didn't really bail, but I am heavily leaning on a mostly rain event. My hopes earlier in the week was that the shortwave out west would be slower and cut underneath the building ridge out west. It is now seemingly coming across the CONUS faster, and at a higher latitude. This means the transient cold shot has less time to build itself in & the low forms too close to our area. With the PNA spike we're seeing it would have been really nice to get just a damn inkling of a block. I know everyone will severely doubt it, just as they did a few days ago when I told them to watch the 12-14th period, but the 17-18th is def. another threat. Remember, the word is "threat" t-h-r-e-a-t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 12Z GFS is all rain for I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Maybe before if the weather cooperates . Thanks for all your contributions this winter with model analysis, getting into some pbp, and general enthusiasm for a good winter storm! Definitely +1 also not to mention all of the time he invested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 12Z GFS is all rain for I-95. Not at 216 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 Not at 216 hours. 216 hours isn't March 12th, March 13th or March 14th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 GGEM is rain for I-95. Low track a bit further north than the GFS, goes right over PA/NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Latest Wxsim with 12z data has mainly rain for the NW Philly burbs after starting as a few hours of ZR with temps around 29 degrees. Today marks the 47th straight day with snow cover. Near 100% cover in the back but less than 50% on the front south facing slope. Back ranges between 4" to 8" - will call in 4" cover overall. Also the warmest day current temp is 49.0 since Feb 22nd (51.1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted March 8, 2014 Share Posted March 8, 2014 Is this mainly a rain or snow event, or are there chances for zr, ip also? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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