WintersGrasp Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 This will make weenies say "Just when I thought I was out, they bring me back in". 18z NAVGEM is much further SE, snow down to the coast However, the navgem has been much much further southeast on each of it's runs, not just this one Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I recall the NOGAPS being the only model getting March 5, 2001 right, IIRC...at least on one of the runs like 36 hours in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 NAM cuts the low to SWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Another 50 miles NW and we'll be truly warm sectored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 NAM goes from 42 degrees to 16 degrees in less then 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 OMG, 4k NAM looks ridiculous. Massive squall line literally falls apart as it crosses NJ. At this point let's root for the low to track towards Binghampton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I hope it does keep trending more amped, it might be a lot more interesting if it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 NAM showing 984 low passing within 25 miles of NW NJ and we will be luck to see a 0.25" of precip. That in itself will be amazing, should be some nice winds on the backside which combined with the 6 hour temp drop will probably be the most impressive thing about this storm in these parts. SE Michigan, Upstate NY and N/C NE is the place to be. Amazing how this low is progged to have a pretty impressive NW precip shield though lately when we see this type of low near the coast the NW extent of precip seem so much more compact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I hope it does keep trending more amped, it might be a lot more interesting if it does.It could be pretty epic if we can truly get warm sectored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 NAM showing 984 low passing within 25 miles of NW NJ and we will be luck to see a 0.25" of precip. That in itself will be amazing, should be some nice winds on the backside which combined with the 6 hour temp drop will probably be the most impressive thing about this storm in these parts. SE Michigan, Upstate NY and N/C NE is the place to be. Amazing how this low is progged to have a pretty impressive NW precip shield though lately when we see this type of low near the coast the NW extent of precip seem so much more compact. It's all about the pieces a loft. We really needed the 850mb and 700mb lows to pass well SE of the area instead of over top. The pressure rises on the backside could produce strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 I hope it does keep trending more amped, it might be a lot more interesting if it does. 54F drizzle is always a winner, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 We would see 60s to 20s, strong winds, gusty tstorms, it would be crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 54F drizzle is always a winner, lol.Read more, post less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Read more, post less. Hah, I love a bit of bedtime hypocrisy. I'm holding out hope for windswept flakes on the backside. For better or worse, Thursday afternoon looks to be blustery and frigid indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Hah, I love a bit of bedtime hypocrisy. I'm holding out hope for windswept flakes on the backside. For better or worse, Thursday afternoon looks to be blustery and frigid indeed. Please...... Not to mention we'd need the low to track to almost the VA Capes to get decent snow here. Not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxbowler83 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Looks like flash freeze for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Looks like flash freeze for the area The wind will blow dry most of anything wet. Standing water would freeze but I wouldn't expect the area to be a skating rink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Another score for GGEM. Stop ignoring the trend. This model is pulling thru hard. Start listening to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Another score for GGEM. Stop ignoring the trend. This model is pulling thru hard. Start listening to it. I said this 2 days ago and someone told me the GGEM has been awful this year... I was like, what are you talking about? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 46 pages... LOL CRAZY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Pick you`re favorite ski resort . you will not be disappointed after the 20 they all get . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 In the end , Good for those guys . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Well lets see.. one went to our south.. second went to our north.. maybe we are lucky for the 3rd one. (17-18th) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The Euro is now ots with the Monday storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The Euro is now ots with the Monday storm lol You're never going to learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 You're never going to learnUh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The Euro is now ots with the Monday storm lol Are you surprised? I wouldn't even look until Friday. You know how the models are this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Uh? This is why we don't need a separate thread for this "threat" and the fact that the Euro has changed dramatically from run to run at this range should be no surprise to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 You're never going to learn This is why we don't need a separate thread for this "threat" and the fact that the Euro has changed dramatically from run to run at this range should be no surprise to you. Exactly. Some people model hug a bit too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 The Euro is now ots with the Monday storm lol If we verified exactly as is the Euro at day 10, NYC would be up well over 100" of snow by now probably. Remember the "awesome setups" that were predicted in mid February and early this month supported by Euro snow maps with 20-30" on the ground? Anyone intelligent should just disregard these storm threats that appear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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