MJO812 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 wish we could get this storm track in may/june Hot temps with the ridge rearing its head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Downeast Maine on this run is pretty much all sleet/rain. Nothing but slop south of Glens Falls this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The models are trending even stronger with this storm, I wonder if we could see a line of gusty t-storms if this continues as temps drop from mid 50s to 20s over a few hours. Winds look very gusty after the storm and also the storm seems to have slowed down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The models are trending even stronger with this storm, I wonder if we could see a line of gusty t-storms if this continues as temps drop from mid 50s to 20s over a few hours. Winds look very gusty after the storm and also the storm seems to have slowed down a bit. I agree with this. Was alluding to this earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 This storm track in July would have brought through an apocalyptic squall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 This storm track in July would have brought through an apocalyptic squall line that would have fallen apart at the delaware River. Finish your thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 That would be some line.. Lapse rates would be ridiculous Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 They are going to get smoked up north, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 its really disheartening when we get our best lapse rates during the winter and when we need them in the summer time for the thunderstorms its like pulling hens teeth..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 They are going to get smoked up north, wow. Yeah. Wish i could head upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 its really disheartening when we get our best lapse rates during the winter and when we need them in the summer time for the thunderstorms its like pulling hens teeth.....Summer lapse rates are generally weaker as the Bermuda High has near complete control of our weather from about late June on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Summer lapse rates are generally weaker as the Bermuda high has near complete control of our weather from about late June on. yea its just always a let down when every storm loses almost all its punch from NYC on east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 yea its just always a let down when every storm loses almost all its punch from NYC on eastHey maybe we'll have a good hailstorm or two. You never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 18z NAM/GFS both are beasts for C/N NE. 1-2 feet on both models... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 The models are trending even stronger with this storm, I wonder if we could see a line of gusty t-storms if this continues as temps drop from mid 50s to 20s over a few hours. Winds look very gusty after the storm and also the storm seems to have slowed down a bit. Think Flood Watches or Wind Advisories/ Watches to be issued? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 yea its just always a let down when every storm loses almost all its punch from NYC on east I'm sorry...just have to register my disagreement again with these blanket assertions... I think I quoted you a while back and gave this response... I don't keep a rain gauge over here...and you probably make a fair statement about the fact that genuine severe weather not being that common in the area (i.e. large hail, damaging winds, & tornadoes)...but I can definitely say that there is a considerable amount of moderate thunderstorm & thundershower activity in the Port Jefferson area during the summertime...so much so that the only genuine drought around here in the last 20 years was during the Summer of 2005...broken by the astonishing rains of October 2005...locally over 20 inches worth. Moreover, my sprinkler system went out in 2007 and I haven't been able to get it running since...but it hasn't mattered one bit because there has been so much summertime thunderstorm activity around here the last 6 years no irrigation has been needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Think Flood Watches or Wind Advisories/ Watches to be issued?Wind advisories and possible severe thunderstorm warnings if conditions warrant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 I'm sorry...just have to register my disagreement again with these blanket assertions... let me edit that. except for the north shore of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 Wind advisories and possible severe thunderstorm warnings if conditions warrant. a nasty squall line would be awesome! only chance we'd have before dud severe weather season gets here..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 let me edit that. except for the north shore of LI IDK...I lived in Plainview in the middle of it all..for 23 years...and I remember t-storms...and a lot of them...with more power outages than Carter's got liverpills...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 IDK...I lived in Plainview in the middle of it all..for 23 years...and I remember t-storms...and a lot of them...with more power outages than Carter's got liverpills...lol. where I am in SW Suffolk trust me severe storms with gusty winds, frequent lightning and small hail has been a rarity. in Nassau they have more juice but once they cross the Suffolk/Nassau border especially the south shore of LI storms just cant keep it together the past several years atleast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 18z NAM/GFS both are beasts for C/N NE. 1-2 feet on both models...march is a big snow month for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 This will make weenies say "Just when I thought I was out, they bring me back in". 18z NAVGEM is much further SE, snow down to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 This will make weenies say "Just when I thought I was out, they bring me back in". 18z NAVGEM is much further SE, snow down to the coast No it wont . Hope has been lost on this one. No way you can drag any sane person 2 hope for a snowy scenario. Models wont radically change within 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 18z GEFS mean is a 984mb low right over NYC. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 No it wont . Hope has been lost on this one. No way you can drag any sane person 2 hope for a snowy scenario. Models wont radically change within 48 hrs Wrong. Not wishcasting or saying that the NAVGEM is right, but it has happened this winter (1/21, 2/3) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 10, 2014 Share Posted March 10, 2014 No it wont . Hope has been lost on this one. No way you can drag any sane person 2 hope for a snowy scenario. Models wont radically change within 48 hrs Models can and will radically change in a 48 hr window (remember last week??) but this is probably not one of those cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 Surface winds should be gusty as the low departs. 4k NAM shows potential for solid advisory level winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 This will make weenies say "Just when I thought I was out, they bring me back in". 18z NAVGEM is much further SE, snow down to the coast No way. Not happening, so don't get your hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 11, 2014 Share Posted March 11, 2014 No it wont . Hope has been lost on this one. No way you can drag any sane person 2 hope for a snowy scenario. Models wont radically change within 48 hrs that and the nam should both be put out of their misery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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