+SNfreak21 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Who cares. NYC is a few inches from 2nd place all time. That's the only thing that matters right now. Well, I am a huge weenie but after all this talk of a favorable pattern for a record breaking season.. it never produced (unless this trends SE or a freak April 1982 type storm occurs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Well, I am a huge weenie but after all this talk of a favorable pattern for a record breaking season.. it never produced (unless this trends SE or a freak April 1982 type storm occurs) It's March 8th. Let the month finish out before making such definitive statements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 You can't lock up anything right now, we got burned with the last storm because we thought it was a lock to hit us. March patterns and storms are very complex and dynamic so I'm not discounting anything right now. Would not be shocked to see an anomalous snow event at any point this month though it's a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 If the Navgem were a good model, everyone would be thrilled with tonight's 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 The fastest free site is Instantweathermaps.com. It's as fast as the pay sites with the NAM and GFS. Thanks, I'll add that to my arsenal. I think I checked it out a couple times in the past but never got around to checking it against other services. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Based on the MJO deep into phase 8 and the PNA peaking positive during this storm, I can't fully discount snow from this. I do see the potential for a powerful and dynamic rain to snow type storm. I don't see it going too far to the N&W honestly and can't discount a further south solution either. The MJO plays a key role for sure, it wouldn't favor a track to the N&W at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 any word on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 any word on the euro?rain for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 any word on the euro? Yup 983 MB right across SE PA and off the NJ coast.. Max 6 hr temps are showing the 50s along the coast and SE PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 NYC goes from 52 degrees to 26 degrees in 6 hours on the euro. With precip still falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Lets say this was rain for all, but we get a nice strong storm to work with say sub 980mb. Would there be any wind threat here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Euro seems to show impressive backend snows.... I know they shouldn't be relied upon but temps literally crash as the low explodes.. Don't like the track heading right through SEPA though....Would be interesting to see the text Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 NYC goes from 52 degrees to 26 degrees in 6 hours on the euro. With precip still falling. At this point .61" of precip has fallen and the surface temp is 26 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 At this point .61" of precip has fallen and the surface temp is 26 degrees. Next frame is 21 degrees at surface and -12c 850s with an additional .11" of precip fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Euro seems to show impressive backend snows.... I know they shouldn't be relied upon but temps literally crash as the low explodes.. Don't like the track heading right through SEPA though.... Would be interesting to see the text Euro shows an impressive flash freeze ice event. With an inch or 2 of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 rain for everyone. Sub freezing surface temps while precip still falling at LGA per text. 850s above freezing... Edit to add- from the text- I'd guess an inch or two of snow at the end, and any puddles left would freeze pretty quickly. 16 mb pressure rise in 12 hours would suggest windy as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Euro seems to show impressive backend snows.... I know they shouldn't be relied upon but temps literally crash as the low explodes.. Don't like the track heading right through SEPA though.... Would be interesting to see the text I think we'll have a "See Text" summer this year for severe, as our backdoor summer of 2014 plays out, and the hot air just misses us to the south by 60 miles at various times. 62/60 over LI, BOS, while 92/73 over Philly and DC. 1992 for what its worth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Gotta love that it shows such a strong storm even if it's mostly rain, but maybe a flash freeze? Seems like the euro has only been showing a stronger storm each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Wow how impressive would this be if it comes to fruition.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Wow how impressive would this be if it comes to fruition.. It won't so it's meaningless. Judging by 240 hour snow maps from the Euro, I should be sledding down from my second floor window right now even today. We know enough here to disregard such long range Euro snow maps as junk (the media, not so much). This next storm is probably yours, so enjoy it if it verifies (You're in Buffalo, right?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 GGEM is still showin an all rain event 100+ miles north and west of NYC metro... Which concerns me since the GGEM has been spot on all year in its 1-5 day range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 GGEM is still showin an all rain event 100+ miles north and west of NYC metro... Which concerns me since the GGEM has been spot on all year in its 1-5 day range If GFS and EURO have it I would'nt worry about the ggem, besides it does show some snow depending on elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 GGEM is still showin an all rain event 100+ miles north and west of NYC metro... Which concerns me since the GGEM has been spot on all year in its 1-5 day range 6 GFS was a decent hit for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 The GFS is also going with the overnight flash freeze scenario with daytime highs after the passage of the storm Thursday possibly staying below freezing again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 We'd be dry slotted on the Euro verbatim for a lot of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 We'd be dry slotted on the Euro verbatim for a lot of it. Yeah, and the Euro still gives you 15-17 inches. Imagine if you were not dry slotted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Ever so slight southeast shift with the precip shield and low pressure area on the new SREF run. The latest run would have NW sections going over to snow by 4pm on Wednesday and NYC by around 7 pm. It keeps the rain/snow line just south of Rt. 84 and through about Sussex, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 Big flash freeze for the area for next weeks storm on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 9, 2014 Author Share Posted March 9, 2014 Big flash freeze for the area for next weeks storm on the euro. are you talking about the week of the 16th or this weeks storm ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 are you talking about the week of the 16th or this weeks storm ? This week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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