IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 This is much more exciting than the crap that the GFS showed. What a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Check this out, it is phasing with the energy down south, a bomb is likely on its way here... 120wow.gif Can you show the next few frames of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 This is much more exciting than the crap that the GFS showed. What a bomb. Ok . Ill admit U most DEFENITELY have my interest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Hour 156 is heavy snow from NYC north. Just like I said, the low will pass to our south, though not by much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 locally, in the last 35 years there's been 18 snowfalls of 2"+ from March12 onward. How many snow falls of 2"+ from Feb 20th to March 11th have occurred in the past 35 years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Wish the ridge was further east, would take my chances with a more offshore track than inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Slop for NYC and a lot of snow for SNE at 162 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 We do have some mid-level warming issues on the Euro and hour 162 is a big ice storm from JFK and points west. So far this is all rain or mostly rain south of NYC. Sorry Monmouth folks. (Just kidding) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Hour 168 sub 984mb low right over Atlantic City, epic run for the Poconos and points north. Just epic. SuperStorm 93 type accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Hour 156 is heavy snow from NYC north. Just like I said, the low will pass to our south, though not by much. How low is pressure by time it reaches NYC environs? QPF in excess of 1.00? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Albany and Binghamton CWA's looks to be ground zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Great run for inland areas and sne. Not a good run for the coast. Still plenty of runs to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Hour 174 it wraps up with the low over Cape Cod. We want the PV to the north to be just a bit stronger. That will force the low to track over the Delmarva and help keep temps down. What a storm signal. QPF is in excess of 1" unless you're east of KJFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Man, if the EURO was a bit farther East with the overall 500mb track, ugh, a man can dream! I like that it kept a blockbuster storm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I want a weaker storm than a phased bomb, 3-6/4-8" of snow is way better than 1-2" of rain. I'll take gfs over euro please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 There's a front that slides across SE Canada @ 138 hours, it leaves a building HP behind it. IF that was a bit faster it would have forced the low farther East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Great run for inland areas and sne. Not a good run for the coast. Still plenty of runs to go. Snow map distribution looks 2-4" for the immediate NYC metro but amounts go up dramatically as you head north and west. I'd much rather take my chances with these dynamics. I would rather have nothing and sunshine than another 4-8" quick hitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 sleet fest for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 sleet fest for all March 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I want a weaker storm than a phased bomb, 3-6/4-8" of snow is way better than 1-2" of rain. I'll take gfs over euro please. Your expectations are justifiably low for an inland runner in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I want a weaker storm than a phased bomb, 3-6/4-8" of snow is way better than 1-2" of rain. I'll take gfs over euro please. Meh, me personally, I want to see a bomb, even if I got mostly rain here in philly I'd love to track a HECS for S NY or something....I could always travel, plus I've seen like 10 3-5" storms it seems this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I like this solution I think it makes sense , ( looks like the 0z control run ) If you wrap a system up this deep that early without blocking , you are very likely to warm the coastal plain and even further than that . Its not a matter of being 5 or 6 days out and its not climo , its just meteorology in my mind . You are devoid of a mechanism to keep cold air at all levels in place . IMO . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Thats gotta be close to record cold behind the storm no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I would rather sacrifice a few inches of snow in order to see an epic bomb like this that only comes around once every few years. People need to appreciate weather as a whole rather than focus on their own personal backyards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Meh, me personally, I want to see a bomb, even if I got mostly rain here in philly I'd love to track a HECS for S NY or something....I could always travel, plus I've seen like 10 3-5" storms it seems this year. Me too. 4" of snow will be gone in a day. I'd rather 50 and a wind driven rainstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Thats gotta be close to record cold behind the storm no? It looks cold but not record breaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I like this solution I think it makes sense , ( looks like the 0z control run ) If you wrap a system up this deep that early without blocking , you are very likely to warm the coastal plain and even further than that . Its not a matter of being 5 or 6 days out and its not climo , its just meteorology in my mind . You are devoid of a mechanism to keep cold air at all levels in place . IMO . While I agree with you, I personally feel we do have the mechanism, check out the confluence over SE Canada @ 144 hrs, if that was a bit faster the HP would be in a better spot. Even with such a wrapped up system it was a close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Me too. 4" of snow will be gone in a day. I'd rather 50 and a wind driven rainstorm Exactly, this is the American Weather Forums, not the American Snow Forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Exactly, this is the American Weather Forums, not the American Snow Forum. Another March 2010 will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Me too. 4" of snow will be gone in a day. I'd rather 50 and a wind driven rainstorm Agree to some extent, but Philly and NYC can move into top 2 and top 5 territory with a few inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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