hosj III Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 GEFS has a signal for something. Though I guess we already know something is happening then. Looks like out to sea is a bigger issue than apps runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 In case anyone is wondering, 0z GFS hits the east coast (including us) for the Mar 13/14 thingy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 In case anyone is wondering, 0z GFS hits the east coast (including us) for the Mar 13/14 thingy. Thingy shall be the Nama.... Stormtracker's storm thingy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Is Euro not buying both the 12-14th event and this weeks late event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 In case anyone is wondering, 0z GFS hits the east coast (including us) for the Mar 13/14 thingy. As long as it's still 10 days out we're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 In case anyone is wondering, 0z GFS hits the east coast (including us) for the Mar 13/14 thingy. Heavy wet snowstorm 9.5 days away Its a weak signal on the 00z GEFS, but it would appear a few members must agree with the OP on having a storm in the time period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 lol at the 00z EURO for the March 13-14 storm... there is a CAD signal as well fwiw 192 -- 1001 L on the border where MS/TN/AR meet 216 -- 995 L 50 to 100 miles directly east in the Atlantic off of the VA/NC border 240 -- 976 L in the Gulf of Maine or ~200 miles ENE of BOS I don't see surface temps or precip maps... but 850s at 216 are fine for all but S MD (sorry Wes) MRB/HGR -8... IAD -6... BWI to DCA to CHO -3/-4... EZF -1 Pretty sure most of us would enjoy a massive snowstorm to end the winter season if the EURO played out exactly as this run shows unless the surface is too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Both 00ZEuro and 00Zgfs look very similar. Sure things will change between now and the 14th, but to have both models in agreement this early may lead to big things ahead. Atleast they both have the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 00z EPS has a signal for something, but its weak. Decent ridge in the west and trough in the east though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 the 00z euro looks good. 00z euro control even better but the ensemble mean isnt as great. Several solutions show nice snow...but many do not. Long way to go edit: lot of wet solutions but not all are white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 For most practical purposes, I am guessing March 13/14 is our last real shot at something big. And, frankly, past that, really would like some sustained warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 For most practical purposes, I am guessing March 13/14 is our last real shot at something big. And, frankly, past that, really would like some sustained warmth. I agree. I'm actually looking forward to the snow melting lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 It snowed in April last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 It snowed in April last year I know. But that's sure not my favorite thing. By then I most certainly am stalking warm weather. Any snow that late is a huge nuisance (in my opinion). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 I know. But that's sure not my favorite thing. By then I most certainly am stalking warm weather. Any snow that late is a huge nuisance (in my opinion). winter pattern shows no sign of breaking down!! You just never know!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 From JB this morning: Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 3h March 1993 analog continues to show up in modeling for next week at 500 mb. If another "thaw" ends with big storm, its not global warming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 From JB this morning: Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 3h March 1993 analog continues to show up in modeling for next week at 500 mb. If another "thaw" ends with big storm, its not global warming lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 lol People really need to start calling this guy out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 People really need to start calling this guy out. Yeah, I'm not sure how he can type that out with a straight face. At any rate...the 0z GFS giveth and the 12z taketh away. No storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 OH no! We lost the thingy!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Fingers crossed it works out regardless....would like one more snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 OH no! We lost the thingy!!! It'll be on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Gfs sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 Gfs sucks GGEM has an apps cutter..redevelopment too late for us. Thankfully, it'll change like 10x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Let it end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Ggem about 150 miles north of last nights euro. Good agreement this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 Let it end. Traitor!! Shun the nonbeliever!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2014 Author Share Posted March 5, 2014 Euro has the storm, looks like the GGEM though...runs right over top of us. It's a pretty big storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 The PNA ridge is impressive and obviously the cold air source is too. There are also some similarities to past mid-march events where tropical forcing was stagnant near Dateline as KW/weak MJO came through IO-Indo. Just because there are similarities to 1993 in these aspects, doesn't mean you'll mimic the superstorm. We can just wind up with a normal Miller A or less. Plenty of CPC analogs showing up that were zzzz... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 One major issue for a 93' comparison is the Bering Sea. This year has a giant polar vortex which does a few things: 1. Limits the extent of Arctic Air intrusion for triple phasing 2. Sends frequent s/w into PNA ridge 3. Could reduce PNA IF it trends east. In the 78' and 93' setup, there was a giant high here which, in combination with the PNA, allowed for a smooth wave amplification (without interference) and Arctic Air from the N.P. to drop down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.