andyhb Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Lol euro control has a 943 low over the ri/ma border at 240 That's ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Does anyone have a pic of that control run? I wanna save it for keeps to look at when I am depressed in the summer lol. But hell, I am ready for summer and spring after this cold winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 https://twitter.com/stormchaserjs/status/445341559488532480 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Blizzard of the millennium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 https://twitter.com/stormchaserjs/status/445341559488532480 Rain for Kevin wood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Rain for Kevin wood looks like a decent track.. not sure if WxBell has actual MSLP maybe bob knows eta: I guess that is MSLP but hard to read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 looks like a decent track.. not sure if WxBell has actual MSLP maybe bob knows It literally annihilates the entire EC from what I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 HR 240 of the Control. If only......... That would be the Superstorm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 looks like a decent track.. not sure if WxBell has actual MSLP maybe bob knows eta: I guess that is MSLP but hard to read. eps_mslpa_c_noram_39.png eps_mslpa_c_noram_41.png JFC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 It literally annihilates the entire EC from what I've seen. I don't completely understand why it happens with the look of the pattern though I'm guessing it's a triple phase based on the way 500 contours bend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2014 Author Share Posted March 17, 2014 https://twitter.com/stormchaserjs/status/445341559488532480 'copter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 looks like a decent track.. not sure if WxBell has actual MSLP maybe bob knows eta: I guess that is MSLP but hard to read. eps_mslpa_c_noram_39.png eps_mslpa_c_noram_41.png WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdevil02 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Bring it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Listen guys, the chances it happens like that, is very very very slim. Also the fact its 10 days away, I mean come on lol, its simply eye candy, and that's it. That storm as depicte sub 950 mb low, won't be like that this 00z run I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Listen guys, the chances it happens like that, is very very very slim. Also the fact its 10 days away, I mean come on lol, its simply eye candy, and that's it. That storm as depicte sub 950 mb low, won't be like that this 00z run I bet. Thanks for bringing us all down to Earth. We thought that was going to happen exactly like that... It's not even the operational Euro. We all know it's pretty much a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2014 Author Share Posted March 17, 2014 Listen guys, the chances it happens like that, is very very very slim. Also the fact its 10 days away, I mean come on lol, its simply eye candy, and that's it. That storm as depicte sub 950 mb low, won't be like that this 00z run I bet. Are you serious? Please don't tell us this!! We really thought this was a lock....on the control run of the Euro...10 days away. Thank God for you. My hopes and dreams are tempered thanks to this sage advice; however I am counting on the storm on the 320 hour GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Are you serious? Please don't tell us this!! We really thought this was a lock....on the control run of the Euro...10 days away. Thank God for you. My hopes and dreams are tempered thanks to this sage advice; however I am counting on the storm on the 320 hour GFS. No Problem mate! Man it feels so so so great to get this from an admin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 No Problem mate! Man it feels so so so great to get this from an admin Damn man, idk man the EURO control run has been verifying pretty well lately. I'm thinking 956mb is more realistic due to the pattern, I think you're off base here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Damn man, idk man the EURO control run has been verifying pretty well lately. I'm thinking 956mb is more realistic due to the pattern, I think you're off base here. I think this is the dude who programs the HRRR, he knows his stuff. I'm all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Fun... -10c 850s Day 7 on 00z EURO tonight.... more cold incoming Huge arctic blast enters US Day 9 with 1044 H... -24c 850s in E ND/W MN... no real warm up in sight... Day 10 airmass moderates some, but 1035 H in the Plains and -10c 850s return with no warm air in sight ETA: There is a 996 L off the NC coast on Day 9... but its 250 miles SE... so precip should be offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Listen guys, the chances it happens like that, is very very very slim. Also the fact its 10 days away, I mean come on lol, its simply eye candy, and that's it. That storm as depicte sub 950 mb low, won't be like that this 00z run I bet. Thanks for this! I was about to post on Facebook that the biggest East Coast storm in recorded history was going to annihilate the entire coastline and bury half the seaboard in snow - but your sage perspective has really opened my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I don't completely understand why it happens with the look of the pattern though I'm guessing it's a triple phase based on the way 500 contours bend. Snow maps or it didn't happen. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Heard the control run shows another bomb, lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 When's our next threat? I want 60" for the season. Figure I'm good for a couple inches in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Man this is just nuts! Here is Larry Cosgrove's write up--the important part anyway: The word I use to describe this portion of the forecast is "ugly". Those who need some rain and colder air (California and the Southwest) will instead be dealing with a strong thumb-projection blocking ridge that will chase away any hopes of an easy start to agriculture and resuscitation of lawns to greener times. Others who wish for the mild air to stick around will instead have to deal (incredibly) a siege of record cold air that soul well drive the surface freeze line as low as the Interstate 20 corridor between Abilene TX and Columbia SC. You will note that the 240 hour panel of the 12z Mar 16 ECMWF scheme has a 500MB closed low of 510dcm over Chicago IL! That is a cAk subvortex, rather unusual for late March and supportive of nocturnal readings below 10 deg F in a good chunk of the Midwest. Then the question becomes: will there be a storm accompanying this rather bitter reminder of our winter.I suspect that there will be, and what concerns me is that a shortwave dropping south and east from Montana may interact with a frontal structure over the Gulf of Mexico on march 24 - 26. The GFS and ECMWF series strongly agree with this scenario, but the European model makes the impulse into a late-season, cold-dominant Nor'easter, tracking from Cape Hatteras NC to Nantucket MA. While probably a "starting as rain" scenario for most of the Interstate 95 corridor, I cannot rule out an important (indeed, heavy....) snow event for Appalachia and portions of the Eastern Seaboard. If a full phasing between the two branches (Polar and Arctic) occurs, then the storm will shift from a "bothersome" designation to "serious". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 When's our next threat? I want 60" for the season. Figure I'm good for a couple inches in April. 12 euro members show a solid hit. 4-5 show mid teens accum. Only 2" on the means...for now...I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 12 euro members show a solid hit. 4-5 show mid teens accum. Only 2" on the means...for now...I'm in Bob, I know it is a fantasy storm, but I have travel next week. What is the general timeframe of this set-up? Monday - Wednesday timeframe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Bob, I know it is a fantasy storm, but I have travel next week. What is the general timeframe of this set-up? Monday - Wednesday timeframe? Tues/Wed. Could easily be a big rainstorm if it happens. It's just another period of interest at this point. Confidence of anything happening is pretty low. Sure seems to want to snow around here the last 5 weeks so maybe we're not done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Tues/Wed. Could easily be a big rainstorm if it happens. It's just another period of interest at this point. Confidence of anything happening is pretty low. Sure seems to want to snow around here the last 5 weeks so maybe we're not done yet. Oh yeah, not counting on a superstorm (snow version). But as this winter has unfolded, no longer immediately dismissive of windows of opportunity for systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Tues/Wed. Could easily be a big rainstorm if it happens. It's just another period of interest at this point. Confidence of anything happening is pretty low. Sure seems to want to snow around here the last 5 weeks so maybe we're not done yet. You people are sick. I can't believe you're already looking for more snow! So, how much for N. Bethesda??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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