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March Banter Thread


North Balti Zen

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You do realize that shows a 200 mile wide swath of 0.5-0.1" of precip in ONE hour. How heavy were you expecting it to be?

 

Sorry if everyone isn't agreeing with my interpretation of the model. It isn't the 0.5 to 0.1" QPF that I'm focusing on, it's the intruding areas of very low QPF (< 0.1") combined with the location of the moisture conveyor from the gulf. The head itself doesn't look too bad over us during that time period, but the setup for continued good QPF for the duration of the storm isn't great.

 

This is just the HRRR, nothing else I'm looking at is showing this issue. And I want snow :)

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Sorry if everyone isn't agreeing with my interpretation of the model. It isn't the 0.5 to 0.1" QPF that I'm focusing on, it's the intruding areas of very low QPF (< 0.1") combined with the location of the moisture conveyor from the gulf. The head itself doesn't look too bad over us during that time period, but the setup for continued good QPF for the duration of the storm isn't great.

You're not getting more than 2-4" of snow anyway, ok? What were you expecting? An SREF coup?

The HRRR would end up giving us at least 0.4" QPF..pretty much in line with other guidance with some wiggle room.

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Wes hasn't said anything about this threat on CWG. Is he taking the "winter" part of his role seriously?

He has had posts and extensive quotes and has been in on background, weenie

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First, not all of us nmd ppl are annoying weenies.

Second, the disc thread is a disaster even with posts being moved to banter

Third, some you dummies need to stop posting and let those who know more than you post instead

Fourth, epic lol to this while threat. I expect 2" at most, schools to be delayed, will be going to work and that's that.

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TWC needs to come out with a "ladies of the weather channel" bikini calender. Dang, I can hardly pay attention to what they are forecasting. Something like 5-8". I don't know.. Something like that.

 

Probably not the best idea to make a comment like that on a board with several female posters....

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To my eyes NAM looks drier.  It appears to be more in line with other guidance now.

 

Yikes, I just checked in and saw what a mess this comment made.  My apologies -- the NAM did in fact look drier at the time, but it turned out to mostly be 1) dryness in southern VA and 2) a shift in the timing from one big front-end thump to a more drawn-out storm.  QPF-wise, it ended up the same as the 06z run IMBY and in DC, although not so much for areas northwest and south.

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