stormtracker Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 When are we going to make a storm worriers thread? It looks like the radar is drying up in western Kentucky/Tennesee. Your posts would comprise 90% of said thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Jesus...here we go....negative nelly is in the house Lol- I'm done posting in the disco thread. Everything important has been covered by people who know what they are talking about. Nothing has really changed in the last 24 hours. Nowcast time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Nam looks great. Best run yet Once again, I thought the nam was terrible just reading this thread from my phone and not loading it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Lol- I'm done posting in the disco thread. Everything important has been covered by people who know what they are talking about. Nothing has really changed in the last 24 hours. Nowcast time Nice job holding steady...we all know the dilemma with a mid march storm...time to hold on tight and let it happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Everybody is an expert You certainly are! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Once again, I thought the nam was terrible just reading this thread from my phone and not loading it up The NAM looks fine...I guess thats what happens when people really try to pull at straws... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 You certainly are! Shut the **** up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Once again, I thought the nam was terrible just reading this thread from my phone and not loading it up Because of the Northern MD bias lol. They seem to post more when the models are running and esp if they are getting jipped. Its actually a great run unless you are up near the PA line or north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Shut the **** up Sorry, zwyts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Nice job holding steady...we all know the dilemma with a mid march storm...time to hold on tight and let it happen I'm hoping dc proper scores 3+ and there are enough 5" obs around to verify the warning. I think I'm good for 4 unless temps screw me. The burg is in a good spot for 5 imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 HRRR is just getting into range of the onset of the storm. It looks weak, disconnecting the head from the gulf moisture feed just before it reaches us and thus disrupting the QPF for us. I can only assume the next few hours of HRRR would continue to show very little accumulation for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 HRRR is just getting into range of the onset of the storm. It looks weak, disconnecting the head from the gulf moisture feed just before it reaches us and thus disrupting the QPF for us. I can only assume the next few hours of HRRR would continue to show very little accumulation for us. Please never post again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 HRRR is just getting into range of the onset of the storm. It looks weak, disconnecting the head from the gulf moisture feed just before it reaches us and thus disrupting the QPF for us. I can only assume the next few hours of HRRR would continue to show very little accumulation for us. The HRRR simulated radar looks great to me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 HRRR is just getting into range of the onset of the storm. It looks weak, disconnecting the head from the gulf moisture feed just before it reaches us and thus disrupting the QPF for us. I can only assume the next few hours of HRRR would continue to show very little accumulation for us. Nice post... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 HRRR is just getting into range of the onset of the storm. It looks weak, disconnecting the head from the gulf moisture feed just before it reaches us and thus disrupting the QPF for us. I can only assume the next few hours of HRRR would continue to show very little accumulation for us. Seriously?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Once again, I thought the nam was terrible just reading this thread from my phone and not loading it up Looks almost identical to me. People placing significance on 0.02" of precip are.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Correct, a slight north bump and added 6-8" over favored areas. Thanks. So my tired, half-buzzed (from wine) eyes late last night were not deceiving me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Looks almost identical to me. People placing significance on 0.02" of precip are.... ...looking for an additional 0.2" of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 The HRRR simulated radar looks great to me.. Here's what I am seeing. Compare it to NAM/GFS/etc. and how disrupted that snow shield is compared to them: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Seriously?!? I anxiously await his next vision of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 ...looking for an additional 0.2" of snow? I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Here's what I am seeing. Compare it to NAM/GFS/etc. and how disrupted that snow shield is compared to them: 3hap_sfc_f14.png lol you must not know what you are posting. So just stop. That's 1hr precip and .05" is moving into DC. If snow that would be 1/2" per hr at 10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Here's what I am seeing. Compare it to NAM/GFS/etc. and how disrupted that snow shield is compared to them: 3hap_sfc_f14.png That's a 1-hour accumulated amount, not surprising it won't look quite as "filled in" or "smooth" as the GFS/NAM does for QPF over a longer period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Here's what I am seeing. Compare it to NAM/GFS/etc. and how disrupted that snow shield is compared to them: 3hap_sfc_f14.png you must be a magician if you have access to a 1-hr GFS precip map -- can you post it here, we'd all like to see it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Here's what I am seeing. Compare it to NAM/GFS/etc. and how disrupted that snow shield is compared to them: 3hap_sfc_f14.png It's a ONE HOUR PRECIPITATION MAP. It says it RIGHT ON THE TOP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 I suppose Couldn't resist that, someone had to say it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 Here's what I am seeing. Compare it to NAM/GFS/etc. and how disrupted that snow shield is compared to them: 3hap_sfc_f14.png You do realize that shows a 200 mile wide swath of 0.5-0.1" of precip in ONE hour. How heavy were you expecting it to be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 16, 2014 Author Share Posted March 16, 2014 Holy crap. Now casting should be even more tightly cracked down on than model disco. Just some awful worrywarts. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 It's a ONE HOUR PRECIPITATION MAP. It says it RIGHT ON THE TOP. Damnit!! You beat me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 16, 2014 Share Posted March 16, 2014 It's a ONE HOUR PRECIPITATION MAP. It says it RIGHT ON THE TOP. ...Two minds with but a single thought, didn't mean to post over yours with the same thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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