yoda Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Yet ANOTHER potential snowstorm only three days from now. My back needs some time to rest That was the 12z run Jeb... 00z took it all away and gave us nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 That was the 12z run Jeb... 00z took it all away and gave us nothing Well I can rest up then. That damn plow piled up so much snow on my driveway which is what ultimately kicked my 8ss. It's only the 00z, throw it out. This thing has a lot of parts and it will trend all over, but it'll be back. Stock up on Red Bull and massive amounts of caffeine 'cos we are all gonna be up for days tracking it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Would need the CAD wedge to hold in just perfectly on this one and the precip timing needs to come at night to overcome marginal air and sun angle. Hoping for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Interestingly enough, I learned from a few briefings that counties are completely out of salt and do not plan to buy more. Another hit would mean trouble for the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Would need the CAD wedge to hold in just perfectly on this one and the precip timing needs to come at night to overcome marginal air and sun angle. Hoping for the best. I am ready for the cherry blossom festival, looks like a marginal typical mid March event so climo argues against anything noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 I am ready for the cherry blossom festival, looks like a marginal typical mid March event so climo argues against anything noteworthy. Climo also argued against it snowing in my backyard yesterday morning with a temp. of 9 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Interestingly enough, I learned from a few briefings that counties are completely out of salt and do not plan to buy more. Another hit would mean trouble for the metro howard county md is using sand this morning!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 howard county md is using sand this morning!! AA Co. was using it last night. Some of the major arteries....50/301 etc. were pretty icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 AA Co. was using it last night. Some of the major arteries....50/301 etc. were pretty icy. roads still partly covered up here this morning.. I,m in 4 wheel drive . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Climo also argued against it snowing in my backyard yesterday morning with a temp. of 9 degrees. every year is different , I,ve seen snow in mid april.!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 The ever-so-reliable late panels of the nam still raise an eyebrow. The gfs early panels are wetter inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 While the 12z NAM implies that the bulk of the precip would be late Friday after the cold air has eroded, the meteogram shows that the model wants to spit out a little freezing drizzle early Friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 lol Just saw the later gfs panels. Probably no one losing sleep to this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 WPC was hinting at the possibility of Freezing Rain - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 lol Just saw the later gfs panels. Probably no one losing sleep to this one. This particular one never had much going for it. Split flow and no stream interaction is a dagger. It needed to move fast. No chance now. Storm after storm after storm phail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 WPC was hinting at the possibility of Freezing Rain - oh good. love freezing rain talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Interestingly enough, I learned from a few briefings that counties are completely out of salt and do not plan to buy more. Another hit would mean trouble for the metro Heard the same thing. If the currently modeled apps runner for next week trends east like most others have this year at this range, it could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Heard the same thing. If the currently modeled apps runner for next week trends east like most others have this year at this range, it could be interesting. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 JMA brings the storm up to us but is probably rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 SREF was also on the moist side at 15z. A little frozen on the front end then rain west and north of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 JMA brings the storm up to us but is probably rain Could be light frozen on the front end if the CAD wedge holds in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 12z parallel NAM had a big slug of precip overspreading the region early Friday with the potential for a little ice in the metro and a lot more northwest. Tonight's 00z NAM also has a lot of precip for us, but it's slower so that the precip is Friday night into Saturday with the entire area above freezing (although not with a lot of margin for error). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Decent rain Fri night on the 00z NAM as high risk mentioned in the post above... depends where you live though... west of BR less than half an inch, close to an inch of rain near I-95 corridor... close to 1.5" QPF as you get into S MD and out towards the Bay areas... temps look to be in upper 30s/lower 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Decent rain Fri night on the 00z NAM as high risk mentioned in the post above... depends where you live though... west of BR less than half an inch, close to an inch of rain near I-95 corridor... close to 1.5" QPF as you get into S MD and out towards the Bay areas... temps look to be in upper 30s/lower 40s +9C at 950mb. Sharp inversion at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 +9C at 950mb. Sharp inversion at the sfc. Indeed... DCA is +2.5C at hr 84... very sharp inversion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Well that was very helpful 00z GFS... GFS shows nada for LWX CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 Well that was very helpful 00z GFS... GFS shows nada for LWX CWA who wants rain?....if it's not snow it may as well miss us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 5, 2014 Share Posted March 5, 2014 quite a NAM/GFS disagreement for sure. should also note that the 00z NAM continues to show a solution with a period of very light freezing drizzle in the DC-Baltimore metro area for Friday morning's commute with temperatures in the mid 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 NAM still insists on giving us cold rain Friday night along I-95 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Thread title change should be considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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