Weathergun Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 There's no northern stream interaction this Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Ahh well. I see this as a very long shot but if the northern stream phases in a good bit we could make something happen. The overall pattern though is very progressive and without that phase this will very quickly get booted out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 It looks like a cut off low is going to be close to the outcome here, just far enough southeast to not greatly impact our sensible weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Ahh well. I see this as a very long shot but if the northern stream phases in a good bit we could make something happen. The overall pattern though is very progressive and without that phase this will very quickly get booted out to sea. It wants to cut the low off before it reaches the southeast coast, but the progressive nature of the pattern coming into the west coast forces it to wait until it's well east. We'll see what happens. The 12z GGEM was mildly interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 This run produces over 3" of rain for the NC coast and 6"+ of rain just offshore. It's a cut off low that cuts off just a bit late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 If this storm happens we need to adopt the "2/6/10 rule" - if NYC gets screwed to the south by the polar vortex then another storm will come up the coast within 5 days i like that. and now that it's March... how about "there's no way the last snowstorm of the year is going to miss us 200 miles to the south" rule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 If this system cuts off 200 miles further northwest it's going to rival March 2010. The prospect of a torrential rainstorm is far more interesting at this stage of the game than another few inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The winter will end on a sour note but there's no doubt it's one of the greats. This threat looks toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 3, 2014 Author Share Posted March 3, 2014 If this system cuts off 200 miles further northwest it's going to rival March 2010. The prospect of a torrential rainstorm is far more interesting at this stage of the game than another few inches of snow. this threat should be monitored still but 18z/00z tomorrow. if by then no notable changes to get this up the coast are present then move on. your right if this gets up the coast it would rival march 2010, maybe we'd get a BM track make up for the march 01' screw job too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The Euro is now going to take the energy for the 9th and bury it in the southwest. Rain and ice and snow for Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I dont care if it stays 20 below normal as long as the snow stops. Records be dammed. It needs to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The winter will end on a sour note but there's no doubt it's one of the greats. This threat looks toast. Self-fulfilling prophecy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 this threat should be monitored still but 18z/00z tomorrow. if by then no notable changes to get this up the coast are present then move on. your right if this gets up the coast it would rival march 2010, maybe we'd get a BM track make up for the march 01' screw job too Benchmark tracks only hit the immediate coast, no thanks. Have had enough of cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The Euro is now going to take the energy for the 9th and bury it in the southwest. Rain and ice and snow for Texas. Temperatures are in the 50s and 60s in TX so that certainly would not be snow or ice but all rain! But this thread is not about TX.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Temperatures are in the 50s and 60s in TX so that certainly would not be snow or ice but all rain! But this thread is not about TX.. 850's are below freezing towards the panhandle and NW sections but who's counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Another cut off low, I'm telling you, the writing is on the wall. Looks like a cool and wet March, and miserable for most people that want Spring and warm temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Another cut off low, I'm telling you, the writing is on the wall. Looks like a cool and wet March, and miserable for most people that want Spring and warm temps. There`s Plenty of Guidance for a cold March and cool April , you`re not onto something here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 If this system cuts off 200 miles further northwest it's going to rival March 2010. The prospect of a torrential rainstorm is far more interesting at this stage of the game than another few inches of snow. A big time rain storm would not be pretty with the ground being so frozen....hope it's snow or nada... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 There`s Plenty of Guidance for a cold March and cool April , you`re not onto something here . Tell that to Pazzo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Tell that to Pazzo Chris hates the winter , He`s too caught up with chicks in mini skirts . Guess he has a point .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 A big time rain storm would not be pretty with the ground being so frozen....hope it's snow or nada... I would find it amusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Chris hates the winter , He`s too caught up with chicks in mini skirts . Guess he has a point .... Nothing better than the first day when it hits 70's and all the girls come out in flip flops, short shorts and tank tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Nothing better than the first day when it hits 70's and all the girls come out in flip flops, short shorts and tank tops. There's a time and place for everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Problem is that the Euro is not showing a cold and wet march... Sure its showing cold for the next few days but then temps warm into the 40s By 7 days out temperatures are into the 50s in SE PA and we are dry thru the period as well... Looks like any precipitation would not be till towards the end of the run and again though its pretty much seasonal to above seasonal temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Energy eventually gets ejected post day 8 and we get a cutter from hell which redevelops off the NC coast. Plays right into the Euro's tendency of holding back southern stream energy too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Problem is that the Euro is not showing a cold and wet march... Sure its showing cold for the next few days but then temps warm into the 40s By 7 days out temperatures are into the 50s in SE PA and we are dry thru the period as well... Looks like any precipitation would not be till towards the end of the run and again though its pretty much seasonal to above seasonal temps You're banking that off of one Euro run that keeps the storm traffic over the southeast. How about we shift that 7"+ QPF bullseye two hundred miles further north and see what you think then? Also hate to break it to you but you should allow the run to play out, because we have over running and then a miller B with snow day 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Theres my snowstorm 204 hours, BEAUTIFUL HP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Day 9 looks great, I know we've seen this before, but it wasn't a bad run by any stretch of the imagination. It won't be warm and dry for any extended length of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Theres my snowstorm 204 hours, BEAUTIFUL HP The 500mb setup is gorgeous. Maybe I finally get my long duration snow event after all. Too bad that this run held back the energy way too long and anything that it shows post day 6 is likely bogus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I would find it amusing. How so? How would you enjoy it? Activities you like during it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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