REDMK6GLI Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 End of this week both global and US models are circling this time period for a potential storm on the EC. Still 5-6 days away and models will inevitably waffle but its worth discussing. Currently looks like there will be little to no northern stream interaction which may cause mixing/rain along I-95 however too early to talk P-types. Lets see if march can deliver us something before winter checks out till the end of this year folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 End of this week both global and US models are circling this time period for a potential storm on the EC. Still 5-6 days away and models will inevitably waffle but its worth discussing. Currently looks like there will be little to no northern stream interaction which may cause mixing/rain along I-95 however too early to talk P-types. Lets see if march can deliver us something before winter checks out till the end of this year folks Ready for more self-inflicted punishment so soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You will have a +PNA and a favorable MJO to work with. This would actually be a beast if it were to phase as it's a very potent southern stream system. There's also just enough cold air around to work with, but only if it phases and rapidly intensifies going up the coast, big if right now. It's worth monitoring though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 End of this week both global and US models are circling this time period for a potential storm on the EC. Still 5-6 days away and models will inevitably waffle but its worth discussing. Currently looks like there will be little to no northern stream interaction which may cause mixing/rain along I-95 however too early to talk P-types. Lets see if march can deliver us something before winter checks out till the end of this year folks Ryan , since its Sunday , I'm going to say a prayer for you and I wish you a speedy recovery. I've heard hitting you're head against the pavement over and over takes time to heal. So I'm here for you bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You will have a +PNA and a favorable MJO to work with. This would actually be a beast if it were to phase as it's a very potent southern stream system. There's also just enough cold air around to work with, but only if it phases and rapidly intensifies going up the coast, big if right now. It's worth monitoring though. If it only needed a partial phase Id actually be excited but a full phase required for a host at snbow , my hopes are up 1.789432 % Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Ryan , since its Sunday , I'm going to say a prayer for you and I wish you a speedy recovery. I've heard hitting you're head against the pavement over and over takes time to heal. So I'm here for you bro. Haha dont know if your referring to me starting a thread prematurely again or the fail of a storm tommorow? Either way thanks for the blessing and i dont think starting this thread was too weenie-ish atleast i do not think so. Either way your input in these threads is greatly appreciated and hope to not have the regulars bash me again for starting another thread for a storm 5-6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You will have a +PNA and a favorable MJO to work with. This would actually be a beast if it were to phase as it's a very potent southern stream system. There's also just enough cold air around to work with, but only if it phases and rapidly intensifies going up the coast, big if right now. It's worth monitoring though. How'd the MJO work out for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Haha dont know if your referring to me starting a thread prematurely again or the fail of a storm tommorow? Either way thanks for the blessing and i dont think starting this thread was too weenie-ish atleast i do not think so. Either way your input in these threads is greatly appreciated and hope to not have the regulars bash me again for starting another thread for a storm 5-6 days out Lol. I was. Just kidding . I don't like the threat. Think as the trough pulls back later this week there may be a center that sneaks NE. There's no interaction w the NB so the 2 are cut off from each other. Think this would warm as you get closer. Then the trough will slide in behind It. Just not a fan of it. IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 How'd the MJO work out for tomorrow? I don't know, maybe ask SNJ, Philly, and D.C. It's looking to work out pretty good for them. There was a point in time where today and tomorrow's storm might have cut and been an inland runner, but guess what it's not and a big part of that is the MJO. Just because it's not snowing in your backyard doesn't mean the MJO didn't work out. The -PNA is probably what didn't help for places further north, but don't blame the MJO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Any info from the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Any info from the euro? Yup-no threat it is well south and east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowblind Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 It was a good winter wish we could have beat 95/96 tho.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 There's a lot of activity around on the gfs for Day 3 and 4 in the southern/southeast U.S. Maybe we can get something to spring up with the PNA heading positive and the MJO still in Phase 8. It's probably a pipe dream but given the hundreds of miles worth of shifts in the past few days anything's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 It was a good winter wish we could have beat 95/96 tho.. except that winter isn't over and the euro has 3 snow events in the next 10 days not counting today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 EURO LR is really good on the ensembles....GFS also....Winter is far from over, just need good timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Can we lock the euro op please? Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Ryan , since its Sunday , I'm going to say a prayer for you and I wish you a speedy recovery. I've heard hitting you're head against the pavement over and over takes time to heal. So I'm here for you bro. Ya have to give him credit for persistence lol. Winter is coming to a close. If you look around you'll see this being the case. Yes it's cold right now but this weekends storm is an indicator so to speak. The "writing on the wall". It's been a hell of a ride but the rides just about done folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Fill me in - what did the Euro show for the late week threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Can we lock the euro op please? Thank you. All of a sudden Chatham is going become the snow capital of the world ? I need Eastward Ho to dry out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Fill me in - what did the Euro show for the late week threat? LI and New England special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 LI and New England special I guess getting the track right will come down to the interaction with the northern stream. The northern vort slowed down and dug enough let the southern creep further NW. But the northern stream on 12z was too fast and suppressed the southern low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I guess getting the track right will come down to the interaction with the northern stream. The northern vort slowed down and dug enough let the southern creep further NW. But the northern stream on 12z was too fast and suppressed the southern low. North32America_msl_96.gif Is that a possible 6-12 inch snow for LI and SE New England a real possibility ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Is that a possible 6-12 inch snow for LI and SE New England a real possibility ??? I wouldn't try for any details so soon since a slightly faster northern stream could suppress the low more than the 0z is showing. We saw how short term changes in the forecast for today made big differences since this is still 96 hrs away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Maybe there will be another south trend! In that case let's start the precip up in Maine so by the time the weekend rolls around we'll be in the bulls eye. /sarcasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Is that a possible 6-12 inch snow for LI and SE New England a real possibility ??? Check back in 4 days lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hinyho Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Looks like Kermit the Frog in the top left of the above vapor image (post 21). He is staring right at the US. Wonder what he is up to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Looks like Kermit the Frog in the top left of the above vapor image (post 21). He is staring right at the US. Wonder what he is up to?Lol, very observant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Euro op is an eastern New England special and then we try to painfully reenact the events of today in the day 8-10 range. The Euro control run had like 30"+ for southern Massachusetts through day ten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 3, 2014 Author Share Posted March 3, 2014 Euro op is an eastern New England special and then we try to painfully reenact the events of today in the day 8-10 range. The Euro control run had like 30"+ for southern Massachusetts through day ten. ughhh to be continued.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 ughhh to be continued.... I'm just done, all I want right now is a big cutter so that I can get rid of this rotting snow pack and start getting my lawn ready for Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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