weatherCCB Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Snow starting again in Rockville. Light now. But it had stopped completely. Hoping for one last hurrah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Howard Bernstein of Channel 9 finally had to admit that 8+ was not happening and just redrew his snow map lower, 4-6 in the immediate DC area and 6-8 south/west of Jebman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Im not talking about intensity...If you got into a snow hole or dry slot, the air has dried out...its tough to resaturate a column of atmosphere when you have arctic air pouring in well it is filling in, so good for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Snow just turned back on in north rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Any totals so far for DC?...I haven't been able to check in, in a couple hours As of 8:55 am: LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTSSNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA ...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA... 1 NE AMERICAN UNIVER 2.0 845 AM 3/03 BROADCAST MEDIA 1 NW ANACOSTIA 1.5 700 AM 3/03 PUBLIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Pretty sure I am going to total less than either March 2013 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I was way skeptical about 12"+. There wasn't enough time for it unless it snowed 2"/hr for 6 hours. That can happen but it requires a noreaster type system or nutty ull nearby. I though 6-8 dca was very reasonable though. These situations are probably tougher than normal for many reasons. 6-8 was a good call based on where we stood for sure. I think many will end up ekeing into the low end of forecasts anyway. Much of the issue is communication I suppose. People still run to the high end of forecasts and if they don't get that it's a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I was way skeptical about 12"+. There wasn't enough time for it unless it snowed 2"/hr for 6 hours. That can happen but it requires a noreaster type system or nutty ull nearby. I though 6-8 dca was very reasonable though. I never really bought into the thunder idea as the sounding didn't show elevated instability. Not sure why anyone forecast over 12 even with the euro forecast given the uncertainty of the changeover. I did think we'd see a better band....I guess they always end up north no matter what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Very nice band forming over northern MD and pushing SE. I got 3.75" from the first batch, maybe I could top 4"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I might end up jackpotting. I never stopped snowing, and the next band looks full of energy. 3 more trying to set up behind it. 4.5" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Radar isn't a hallucination. Picking right back up in Rockville under the green band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 As of 8:55 am: thanks for trying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Im not talking about intensity...If you got into a snow hole or dry slot, the air has dried out...its tough to resaturate a column of atmosphere when you have arctic air pouring in Dewpoints are still adequate..the dryslot is essentially a wedge of sinking air. Nothing precludes the return of precip in areas temporarily shut off. I have a friend in Poolesville. It had stopped snowing there for 15 min..now snowing moderately again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Sounds like Bob Ryan will be right as usual Eh.. he plays it smart by always assuming DC will do poorly but that doesn't always work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 These situations are probably tougher than normal for many reasons. 6-8 was a good call based on where we stood for sure. I think many will end up ekeing into the low end of forecasts anyway. Much of the issue is communication I suppose. People still run to the high end of forecasts and if they don't get that it's a bust. The average snow weenie will assume the high end of the highest official forecast in the previous 24 hours and the tack on another 2-3" on the assumption that the forecast will bust low or they get banded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 This new band in Rockville is pretty good. We're back to light snow with some bigger flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I will say for all the doom and gloom I've had good rates and nice flake size for the last hour or so. Complaining too much is stupid. This is beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I'm just under 4". I said yesterday I would be surprised if I got less than 6". Personal bust unless the last hurrah does something unexpected. With that being said, this storm had little precedence to go off of. There wasn't much "remember the last time we had a storm like this..." to help shape the forecast beyond models. We all suspected the dry artic air pressing in could pose problems but nobody could say with any certainty how it would play out. Looking upstream yesterday afternoon and last night had prolific rain/sleet/thunder etc. Heck, Memphis has 2"+ of rain. That's usually a good sign for us to get heavy precip. In the end, the culprit is the very dry arctic air doing its dirty work. It was underestimated and undermodeled. Next time it's in play with some sort of similar setup some year in the future we can look back to this and use it as data to help shape the forecast. Excellent points. The problem, or "dilemma" for this time of year, at least without a coastal system safely off the coast, is that without this push of arctic air, we probably have p-type issues, ala the Snowquester system last March 6th. It was a narrow window of opportunity of squeezing out as much moisture out of the atmosphere before the column drying out. Meanwhile, at some point within that time window, we hoped for nice lift/moisture within the max dendritic growth layer (-12 to -18C), allowing for some bigger flakes and better SLRs. With WSW-ENE strong frontogenetic type events such as these, you know you're going to get banding, sometimes with convection, though with that said there's usually compensating lower snowfall rates in between stronger bands. That's what many of us in the metro area have been seeing this morning. Bottom line is we enjoy the 3-6" that most of us will get, especially the anomalous cold for early March. A coastal runner would no doubt have had more "boom" potential, especially west of I-95, and especially with an ambient arctic airmass in place, but depending on that anteceding airmass (and the low track relative to the coast), those of us along and east of the fall line would likely be dealing with mixed precip issues. There's just a very narrow window for widespread 8+ inches across the entire metro region this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Radar isn't a hallucination. Picking right back up in Rockville under the green band. flakes starting to fly here again too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Some bigger flakes mixing in on the south side of the Hill. But my rate has been pretty steady since I woke up around 8. No real lull ever. At some point I'll check out the top of the trash can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 3, 2014 Author Share Posted March 3, 2014 Snowing in Columbia again. Temp has leveled off at 15.5 for past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 radar filling in around baltimore but traffic cameras are not showing snow reaching the ground, at least not around the southwest side of the beltway into hoco. Light snow back in downtown Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Seems to have stopped here in McLean. First real stoppage. Curious how this ends up. If you had asked me at 7 if we would hit the 5" amount to not be a "bust" per the CWG metric, I would have said no chance. Now it looks pretty close. If this stoppage doesn't last too long, I think I'll hit that low end of the forecast. Looks like about 4 inches now but I haven't done a measurement yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Worst storm I ever missed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Not snowing here yet... Is that a "mega band"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Probably about 3 here. Under a green band but it is not snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Not snowing here yet... Is that a "mega band"? Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Wow. That band up in northern md jumped up fast. 3" here. Hoping to break 4". Larger flakes starting to mix in as I type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 This event is 100 to 1 over 3/6/13. Even though I got a little more with that one, today's combination of snow and cold make this one much more enjoyable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Light snow just started up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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