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March 2-3 Obs Thread


Herb@MAWS

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  On 3/3/2014 at 6:26 AM, Ian said:

lol hrrr thinks i'll have 3" at 2a :(

 

That's what will make the difference of a 6-7" event from one with more 8-10" amounts: how much are we going to accumulate by 12Z.  It seems like all models but the NAM show a slightly drier trend from 12Z and beyond over the past few runs...at least for DC and northward.  I could live with another .33-.40" liquid after 12Z if we had, say, already 4" of snow on the ground :)

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  On 3/3/2014 at 6:31 AM, WxMan1 said:

That's what will make the difference of a 6-7" event from one with more 8-10" amounts: how much are we going to accumulate by 12Z.  It seems like all models but the NAM show a slightly drier trend from 12Z and beyond...at least for DC and northward.  I could live with another .33-.40" liquid after 12Z if we had, say, already 4" of snow on the ground :)

 

I just kinda had a sinking feeling.. not because of the HRRR snowmap but because we're going to need to thump hard probably and not sure I love CONUS radar at the moment. Perhaps I've just been awake too much again.  March snow is scary.. well, all snow around here is scary.  Gonna grab some zzzzs.  I wish us all luck.

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  On 3/3/2014 at 6:38 AM, mitchnick said:

one other thing, I still have this gut feeling that delays in changeovers than what models predicted mean warmer solutions, which would suggest to me that maybe the heavier stuff will not necessarily be south of DCA

Spin it baby

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