A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 2.8 not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 shame southern trough axis for wed isn't a little further north, could have been a decent had 1-2 punch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 2.8 season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Hadn't really noticed how much the second wave is now progged to crap out NE of Lk MI. Seasonal trends ftl...save for Detroit getting whiffed although I'm sure there'll be a final hour jump to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 2.8 I did well here as well, hopefully keep the mojo going when I'm off the board for nearly six weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 12z NAM loses steam as it gets into NE IL. Would be enough snow to get me over the 2008-09 season. Poor Cyclone... in the screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 12z NAM loses steam as it gets into NE IL. Would be enough snow to get me over the 2008-09 season. Poor Cyclone... in the screw zone. 12zNAM_030414.jpg Being in the screw zone of the NAM means as much as being the jackpot of the DGEX, granted, we're in the short term, but I've seen the NAM screw up the placement of many an event even 24-36 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 the 12z NAM is very close to having an overlap zone between the two pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 12z GFS pretty impressive across northern IA with 6-7" Healthy looking fronto band then sinks into our area and stalls but is weaker over northern IL. Still 3-4" north of 88. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 12z GFS pretty impressive across northern IA with 6-7" Healthy looking fronto band then sinks into our area and stalls but is weaker over northern IL. Still 3-4" north of 88. 2-5 makes sense. First call 2.4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 ORD mean on the plumes back up to 3.1" with good clusters on either side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 First call 2.4. snaked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 1-2" predicted by MKX in Kenosha, 1-3" for NE Lake County. Another 2" of fluff sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 I'ma shoot high at 3.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 weenie NMM still showing a dual wave scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 weenie NMM still showing a dual wave scenario Cycloneville: Home of the nasty gradients. I'll go 2.8" first call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 These hi res runs will handle the fronto bands better but are probably too wet. This dual scenario could surprise someone if they were to overlap. Cyclone to GBG look solid for possibly getting in on both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Hadn't really noticed how much the second wave is now progged to crap out NE of Lk MI. Seasonal trends ftl...save for Detroit getting whiffed although I'm sure there'll be a final hour jump to the north.we haven't lost this winter but tomorrow looks like a no go. Cant understand why it completely disintegrates before hitting us. Dry air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 GGEM has a system in its long range that's damn near identical to GHD 2011. It's just a bit further SE and much warmer. Verbatim, Chicago naturally gets destroyed, Detroit gets a major (expletive) storm while IN/OH get a major ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 GGEM has a system in its long range that's damn near identical to GHD 2011. It's just a bit further SE and much warmer. Verbatim, Chicago naturally gets destroyed, Detroit gets a major (expletive) storm while IN/OH get a major ice storm. 12z Euro has a major storm as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 GGEM has a system in its long range that's damn near identical to GHD 2011. It's just a bit further SE and much warmer. Verbatim, Chicago naturally gets destroyed, Detroit gets a major (expletive) storm while IN/OH get a major ice storm. How far out is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 I did well here as well, hopefully keep the mojo going when I'm off the board for nearly six weeks. Jail time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 How far out is this? firmly into fantasy range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 firmly into fantasy range Only concern; were almost guaranteed a big dog to end this thing(winter 2013/14) and Chistorm is on record as saying "no" to #1. Concerning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Storm on the EURO still has milder 850mb's. Probably a fringe of snow or wintry mix on the NW side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Storm on the EURO still has milder 850mb's. Probably a fringe of snow or wintry mix on the NW side. it's a garbage storm (verbatim) on a model that has been struggling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 it's a garbage storm (verbatim) on a model that has been struggling Yeah I know. I was just pointing out that it's a warm one, not a snowy one. NAM showing a very narrow, sharp cut off band of snow. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014030418&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048 Southern piece almost completely gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Euro has not been itself this winter. But the fact that both it and gem show a storm is a decent sign at this stage. Track and thermals meaningless right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 I prefer to look at the models with little hope in verifying at 48hr+. From there it is as if Da Plane Da Plane is about to land . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 I prefer to look at the models with little hope in verifying at 48hr+. From there it is as if Da Plane Da Plane is about to land .and don't forget....stuff pops up at the relatively last minute when nothing waa shown in lala land! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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