on_wx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Snow Squall Warning in effect for Kitchener/Waterloo. Woke up to about 1.5" inches down, nothing falling at the moment, but looks like more LES is on its way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 Flow may become more favourable to sink that dominant Huron band into London later today/this evening before it weakens. Not a setup for the 2' event I'm craving, but could be a quick 4-6". If it transpires, pics to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 A bit of SN at times last evening, still a solid coating on most surfaces. Not sure I'll get in on that LE action but seeing a few occasional flakes fall from being right on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Flow may become more favourable to sink that dominant Huron band into London later today/this evening before it weakens. Not a setup for the 2' event I'm craving, but could be a quick 4-6". If it transpires, pics to follow. Looks like the squalls are inching closer to London. Hope you get something out of it. This mornings squalls caused nearly 100 traffic accidents across Waterloo Region as a dusting to 5cm threatened to turn this into a miniature Atlanta Snowmageddon in the Kitchener area. Long commutes made many late for work and school, and some buses had to be canceled. http://www.therecord.com/news-story/5029244-first-big-snow-makes-mess-of-waterloo-region-roads/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Flow may become more favourable to sink that dominant Huron band into London later today/this evening before it weakens. Not a setup for the 2' event I'm craving, but could be a quick 4-6". If it transpires, pics to follow. I think London region had a 5' event back in 2010? You should be craving that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I think London region had a 5' event back in 2010? You should be craving that London only* received about 2.4' from that LES outbreak. Lucan in north central Middlesex County cashed in at 5.9'. * as if 2.4 feet is nothing to write home about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 London only* received about 2.4' from that LES outbreak. Lucan in north central Middlesex County cashed in at 5.9'. * as if 2.4 feet is nothing to write home about There was another big dog in December 2006 I believe? Yeah, it doesn't happen every year in London 'cause the city is really on the periphery of the snowbelt (like KW, although you guys are even more peripheral). But I got next year too here so I'll bide my time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 Getting some occasional bursts but with the variation in intensity and the marginal temps it's not accumulating very efficiently. Hopefully once the sun sets a single band will set-up and do some minor damage this evening before delta-Ts decrease/shear increases and everything shuts down tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Wind direction not cooperating for any more then the occasional flurry in the GTA today(350 is most favourable). Yesterday was interesting with the due westerly flow bringing Huron Bands through. Had 1-2cm's yesterday with snow falling for most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 There was another big dog in December 2006 I believe? Yeah, it doesn't happen every year in London 'cause the city is really on the periphery of the snowbelt (like KW, although you guys are even more peripheral). But I got next year too here so I'll bide my time! December 7-8 2006 something like 60-70cm. The snowfall record for London is 100cm in 1977 according to a CBC article about the 2010 event (which was 75cm for London) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 @snowstormcanuck. Just realized you move to London. Best of luck hope you see something big! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 @snowstormcanuck. Just realized you move to London. Best of luck hope you see something big! Thanks. Looking forward to my first winter in a belt. Also, being next to SE MI synoptic bullseye won't hurt either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Thanks. Looking forward to my first winter in a belt. Also, being next to SE MI synoptic bullseye won't hurt either. My office/shop is roughly one hour away from you. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 My office/shop is roughly one hour away from you. Lol If there ends up being a MI winter wx lover get-together...I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 We'll see what next week's events bring locally. Not even enough snow to whiten the ground at home, but that's OK as I still have lots of yard work to get done this weekend. Wind direction next week will be key. L. Huron was rather sleepy for this event with not much happening even in the more traditional northern belts. If the winds stay W or SW for next week, as some guidance is suggesting, I might start to get a bit irritated. Most of last year the winds were from the same direction, so other than a big November event, we were usually fringed on squall activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Thanks. Looking forward to my first winter in a belt. Also, being next to SE MI synoptic bullseye won't hurt either. Are you attending law school in London? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 15, 2014 Author Share Posted November 15, 2014 Are you attending law school in London? Yeah. I transferred from U of A to UWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Euro and its ensemble suite in very good agreement on 2-4" in and around pearson this monday. Right now i'm leaning towards 1-2" unless models shift further NW. Should be first sig accumulations around here, bringing my november snowfall near to above normal already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 15, 2014 Author Share Posted November 15, 2014 Euro and its ensemble suite in very good agreement on 2-4" in and around pearson this monday. Right now i'm leaning towards 1-2" unless models shift further NW. Should be first sig accumulations around here, bringing my november snowfall near to above normal already. Sfc temps worry me but at least the timing of the event is decent (Late Sun-Monday morning). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Sfc temps worry me but at least the timing of the event is decent (Late Sun-Monday morning). Along the lake I could definitely see some issues with accumulation. With the euro pumping out 0.3-0.4" of QPF I think we should reach the 5cm mark north of downtown core. After that event the euro/GFSP are hinting at a D6-7 system and perhaps a bigger daddy around D9-10. Fun pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 I got 9.5 cm of snow from this first LES event. I'm just getting a lot of flurries most of the time but its only on the grass, trees, roofs, etc. Sidewalks and pavement are dry again for the most part. I wasn't that impressed with the bands, they were disorganized and chunky instead of a smooth band. It is early for this so its not a big deal. Here is some historic amounts from TWN for fun, but why would they pick Miden instead of Lucan for that event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 I got 9.5 cm of snow from this first LES event. I'm just getting a lot of flurries most of the time but its only on the grass, trees, roofs, etc. Sidewalks and pavement are dry again for the most part. I wasn't that impressed with the bands, they were disorganized and chunky instead of a smooth band. It is early for this so its not a big deal. Here is some historic amounts from TWN for fun, but why would they pick Miden instead of Lucan for that event? I believe they are all SW flow events like what is forecast. Lucan would have probably have been a NW or WNW flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 0z GFS looks nearly identical to the 12z GFS in terms of track and precip. Consensus is growing for our first potential snow event of the season in the GTA. Amounts are still up in the air. It'll come down to how cold surface temperatures are and how much low level cooling we can get. Without a decent snowpack in the region, heat doesn't escape as fast and the ground retains warmth longer. My preliminary calls are 5-7cm north of the 401 and 1-3cm south of the 401. Very temperature dependant, but also a sharp cutoff as well. Areas just south of Newmarket look to take the brunt of it, while areas further north will escape with a light dusting, however; LES will be up and running as soon as the storm passes as winds wrap around the LP. Looks like a fun week, haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 I believe they are all SW flow events like what is forecast. Lucan would have probably have been a NW or WNW flow 77 inches in 24 hours in Montague. That is absolutely insane, seems fishy to me... I remember the 38 inches in 24 hours in 1995 in Buffalo. I was 8 at the time and it was what got me to love Lake Effect snow and Meteorology in general. Here is an article about that 77 inches in 24 hours. http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/extremes/ncec/mantague-ny-snowfall-24hour.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 77 inches in 24 hours in Montague. That is absolutely insane! I remember the 38 inches in 24 hours in 1995 in Buffalo. I was 8 at the time and it was what got me to love Lake Effect snow and Meteorology in general. Wow!! Thats crazy, holy cow! I'd love to live in these Lake effect regions to experience a Winter with Lake Effect snow. But 77 inches? I'd move away as soon as i could see the road again, . If i'm not mistaken, your area could be in for some nice treats later this week as the Lake Effect snow fires up. How much did you receive in LES last season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Wow!! Thats crazy, holy cow! I'd love to live in these Lake effect regions to experience a Winter with Lake Effect snow. But 77 inches? I'd move away as soon as i could see the road again, . If i'm not mistaken, your area could be in for some nice treats later this week as the Lake Effect snow fires up. How much did you receive in LES last season? Yeah that document makes it seem like that 77 inches in 24 hours to be untrue, but not positive. Yeah, definitely looks like a fun time next week for Lake effect. Bands should be meandering all over for most of the week. I'm not sure what I received in lake effect last season, but most of the time 60% of our yearly snowfall is from lake effect. Had 162 inches total last year at my location, 130 at the Buffalo Airport. Here is my YouTube channel if you want to see my Lake effect chases from last year. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3LutXF6kA73itxjVZ9h7-w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 EC forecast today through Monday has a maximum of 4" of snow in KW/Hamilton areas, just under 3" in London, and 1.5" in Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 EC forecast today through Monday has a maximum of 4" of snow in KW/Hamilton areas, just under 3" in London, and 1.5" in Toronto. EC has 6-10cm in the forecast for here through the next 48 hours. Not a bad early snowfall. Main event should occur around from around 03Z-15Z Monday morning, so not worried about surface temps around here. Ground temperatures have dropped significantly in the last few days and there's light snow falling right now which should help accumulations later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Snow already starting to accumulate here. I'm expecting 2.5-3" for most of the GTA by tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 NAM total QPF for YKF is 0.32", GFS slightly drier at 0.29". SREF mean for YYZ is 0.37" while NAM shows 0.35" and GFS with a bullish 0.43". So looks like you guys closer to the lake will benefit from better moisture but maybe some moderation in temperature from the lake. We'll see who wins out in the end but it could be close. Either way let's all enjoy our first widespread, measurable snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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