snownut Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 The NAM is now forecasting a 50kt wind at about 2000ft above ground on Sunday. I think this could mean that my place could see some gusts to 50mph Sunday! West Coast threads are mostly quiet. So much easier to browse the threads than here in the east. Good luck on your wind, what is your elevation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 26, 2014 Author Share Posted April 26, 2014 5000 ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 we have a sort of 700mb "wet jet" with a narrow area of rain with a 60kt wind max at 700mb. It has been dry here, due to downsloping, and there have been non-thunderstorm gusts of 55mph or better in NE Colorado and Wyoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 64mph wind gusts at Goodland, KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 28, 2014 Author Share Posted April 28, 2014 several snow reports out of ND, SD, and Nebraska (flat area downwind from the Black Hills) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Akron, Colorado - nearly hurricane force wind gusts KAKO 291653Z AUTO 33040G63KT 6SM HZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Sunday, Monday, and today, there have been winds of 30mph+ gusting to 40mph+ in Fort Collins. It has been worse for areas east of I-25 and most likely Wyoming also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 wind gust above hurricane force (67 knots = 77mph) at Akron, Colorado. Looks like they are having a dust storm KAKO 291853Z AUTO 34049G67KT 1 1/2SM HZ FEW003 SCT037 OVC070 08/M04 A3004 RMK AO2 PK WND 34067/1851 VIS 1V2 SLP169 T00831039 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 30, 2014 Author Share Posted April 30, 2014 Maximum wind gusts at Fort Collins-Loveland Airport Saturday: brief gusts to 34mph. Most of the day had much lower winds Sunday 51mph Monday 44mph Tuesday 51mph Wednesday 45mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 1, 2014 Author Share Posted May 1, 2014 Camp Pendelton, CA, is 95F with a dew point of 4F. It's a northeast wind drawing dry air out of the desert to southern CA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConiferMtnMan Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Man this is a quiet thread. Thanks for keeping it alive Chinook. Been a cool windy week, looking forward to the warmer weather this weekend. Loveland Ski area continued to get pounded this week. Good to see a decent winter in the high country this year after a couple of dry winters. Foothills SW of Denver where I've got some property are very dry though. Hoping the El Niño helps this spring/summer so we don't get fires in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 yesterday was 85 with a dew point of 16 at Fort Collins, which was the hottest day so far. Today, we have thick cirrus clouds, and this has kept us in the 70's, cooler than Greeley and Denver. The 12z GFS shows heavy precipitation, from Cheyenne to western North Dakota, Wednesday to Thursday. I hope some rainfall hits here. Someday we'll get dew points above 30. Some dew-point analysis of the super dry western areas today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 Here's to hoping the CFS is right for the beginnings of an El Nino and some wetter-than normal Summer/Fall (for the drought areas) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 6, 2014 Author Share Posted May 6, 2014 The 12z GFS shows heavy precipitation, from Cheyenne to western North Dakota, Wednesday to Thursday. I hope some rainfall hits here. Several SREF ensemble members max out at about 2.0" for this area, for a 24 hour total. I think there is a range of possibilities from 0.4" to 1.2" of rain for our area. Yesterday, the GFS had predicted barely above 0.4" below the CO/WY border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConiferMtnMan Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 As someone new to the area, I don't feel totally ashamed to ask an IMBY question... Any chance to see wet snow accumulation near 8500 feet in the foothills west of Denver? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 The freezing levels should be high today. Even Copper Mountain (12000 ft) has a temp of 41 right now. I think 7500-8500 feet will have a possibility of rain/snow mix tomorrow, as 700mb drops to -5C Last night we had about 0.01" of rain and lightning and thunder. It is the first lightning I have seen since October. First mesoscale convective weather discussion for us this year --------- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0508 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1259 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...NERN CO...WRN NEB CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS INCREASINGLY PROBABLE ACROSS THE REGION BY 20-21Z. THE ISSUANCE OF A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH IS LIKELY. DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ALREADY UNDERWAY ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE...WEST AND NORTH OF DENVER...INTO THE MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING. ---- ------- the 15z HRRR shows a large storm cell near Weld County/Morgan County in a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 what crazy fun you can have with the SREF plumes. this plume says it could snow 20" in Cheyenne, at 6100ft. Craziness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 tornado warning just south of Cheyenne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 another view of tornado warned storm at Carr, CO, at 1959z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 non-warned supercell type shape near Deer Trail CO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Cells firing off quickly here, Chinook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 looks almost like two splitting cells about to go through downtown Denver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 I just un-storm chased. Don't want any more $1000 repair bills for 2 minutes of hail. It worked apparently there was a 1.25" hail report at Timberline Rd. (near FC Police). Also a hail cell went from Dacono to Platteville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 more pea-size hail here (2nd or 3rd time now) with a cell that doesn't even have a huge DBZ or VIL value intense cells in Colorado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 Tornado warning for the storm in platteville on the radar image i posted a few minutes ago. The possible hook echo is 12 miles south of Greeley. edit: tornado warning for both large storms in Colorado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Tornado reported in Washington County, CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConiferMtnMan Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Saw several snowy cars on my way in to work this morning on Parker road, probably driving up from Franktown. Looked like about an inch on some of them. Mountains that aren't covered by the clouds were nice and white this morning as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Been out of town for a week or so in Vancouver, flew back yesterday afternoon around 2:45 and the plane had to go all the way east to Sidney NE to find an alley to get back to DEN. Got a nice tour of the supercells though too high to get anything really photogenic. Last night had about half an inch of rain and 3/4" hail just as we went to bed (figures). Seems like the first good storm of the year coincides within 2-3 days of the beginning of the miller moth migration... my dog did not forget where they typically hide, picked up right where she left off last summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 8, 2014 Author Share Posted May 8, 2014 this tornado was several miles from Greeley 2125 1 NE PLATTEVILLE WELD CO 4023 10481 TORNADO TRACK FROM PLATTEVILLE TO 5S GILCREST (BOU) --- I saw flashes of light in the sky from 7:15-8:45 last night- a lot of bolts, for just an average rainstorm. Fort Collins got 0.3" to 1.08" of rain from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 8, 2014 Author Share Posted May 8, 2014 chance for snow- the GFS shows a lot of snow above 6000ft this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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