Ji Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Hello brother. I looked at reports in Western MD and they have busted so far and we are still sitting with rain. Precip will shut off around 8 am and 3-4 hours of snow is not enough for the current totals. T-1/2 in DCA 2 in IAD 3 in BWI Who remembers the storm last year where we were progged 4-8 inches then kept going lower and lower until it was 1"? Epic trolling. Are you in Orlando? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Hello brother. I looked at reports in Western MD and they have busted so far and we are still sitting with rain. Precip will shut off around 8 am and 3-4 hours of snow is not enough for the current totals. T-1/2 in DCA 2 in IAD 3 in BWI Who remembers the storm last year where we were progged 4-8 inches then kept going lower and lower until it was 1"? Agreed...I think you will be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 3z RAP snow sounding at 9z/4a. Prob a bit earlier than that... twisterdata says snow sounding by 3am: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?sounding.x=724&sounding.y=303&sndclick=y&prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2014&model_mm=03&model_dd=03&model_init_hh=03&fhour=05¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=y&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Epic trolling. Are you in Orlando? Don't worry about missing this one man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Hello brother. I looked at reports in Western MD and they have busted so far and we are still sitting with rain. Precip will shut off around 8 am and 3-4 hours of snow is not enough for the current totals. T-1/2 in DCA 2 in IAD 3 in BWI I think this is nonsense.1) Western MD is on the northern fringe of precip, and is not running below latest model prognostications at this time. Temp is 16F at Wisp right now. 2) QPF increases the farther south you go, as you get closer to the better lift. There will probably be more snowfall farther south in DC than @ BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Nice run of the GFS which supports the northward jog on the NAM. Noticed the 850 -10 line dropping south quicker. Good timing of cooling/lift for dendrite growth DC Metro. I'm excited and I'm off work and enjoying on off time. No deployment this go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Prob a bit earlier than that... twisterdata says snow sounding by 3am: at 8z, 825 at +.1, 800 at +.4, and 775 at +.1 - with rates, may overcome...its very close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2014 Author Share Posted March 3, 2014 Don't worry about missing this one man. bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 at 8z, 825 at +.1, 800 at +.4, and 775 at +.1 - with rates, may overcome...its very close. Should be able to if rates are strong enough... but even if not... just after 3am would be snow... like 330 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Fellow colleagues in OK and Kansas said they experienced every type of precip today including CG's with sleet. A system this vigorous running into arctic air may produce some real interesting phenomena that none of the models have sampled. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Zwyts and Bob Chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
evaporativecooler Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Western MD hasn't gotten into the northerly canadian airmass yet, so obviously they won't be wringing out as much QPF as you'd expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 On the Fire Weather High Res Nest composite reflectivity radar... looks almost exactly like the hi-res NAM radar from 13z to 17z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I would say 8-12 inches for DC region, 7-10 for BWI, and 10-15 for parts of n/c VA. Around 6-8 for RIC and 2-4 for ORF, good rates there but not much time for accumulation. Thunder snow likely late tonight southern portions of DC region. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 GGEM is pretty "dry", but it is colder....so it might imply some snow before 9z....probably 0.45" falls after 9z....so it is on the lower end of guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I could see DC get jackpotted at this pt as I think the n end usually does well but hard to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The canadiens want to beat us in more than hockey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 GGEM is pretty "dry", but it is colder....so it might imply some snow before 9z....probably 0.45" falls after 9z....so it is on the lower end of guidance Very similar (not surprisingly) to tonight's RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 03z RAP jackpots FFX east to PG county including DC with ~12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 You have to look at the 24hr at 30 on the 18z. They are basically identical. Yup... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Def think Topper is too low in DC region... Toppers' 11pm map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Zwyts and Bob Chill firewx_00z_pcp24h_f24.gif thanks...just saw that...awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Channel 4 broadbrushes 6-10" for most except panhandle of MD -- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bhxp4Q0IUAEAJDw.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Yoda, ~1.25" for DC on the 0z NMM and 1" on the 0z ARW. NMM looks a bit over done as purples are just south of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 making a beeline for us at 12z....yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 making a beeline for us at 12z....yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Def think Topper is too low in DC region... Toppers' 11pm map Keep in mind dca is always 2-3 inches less than anyone else everytime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 making a beeline for us at 12z....yum We're going to get smoked late morning. Smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 So when local TV Mets put out their snow maps for the public... Is it for actual snowfall or what is on the ground when the storm is finished? Most normal people do not care how much falls, but what is actually on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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