Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 It's a pretty big step from 2 hours ago. When the RAP moves big it usually is pretty good. At least that's my experience. It kinda over does things past 10hrs but if each subsequent run keeps doing it then it's a very good sign. Hi res models can be tricky out in time but looks pretty good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Yeah, I tweeted to him that it didnt make sense and he edited it right after I still think his map is about 50 miles too far south Move his map 50 miles north and it would look like Justin Berk's (and I'd be an ecstatic weenie too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 It kinda over does things past 10hrs but if each subsequent run keeps doing it then it's a very good sign. Hi res models can be tricky out in time but looks pretty good to me if we bust low it will probably be due to an early end more than anything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 21z RAP kind of nails DC Plus its like 14 degrees at 10 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 if we bust low it will probably be due to an early end more than anything else Been on my mind for 2 days. All we can do is hang on. Still think 6+ is a lock until radar tells me it isn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 that map is stupid. WTF have a 4-8 and 6-8 zone? And then there's a gap between the 8 and 10 min total zones? Get that clown off the air. Who around here still watches the local news to get their forecast? Shameful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Geez... Topper has changed his map like 3 times in the past 15 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TerpWeather Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Geez... Topper has changed his map like 3 times in the past 15 mins he's imitating what LWX will do 19 times tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 And he changed it again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Gotta love seeing this on the NWS cast: "The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 he's imitating what LWX will do 19 times tonight lol also this: https://twitter.com/ShawnaMommy/status/440258160117678080 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 DCA is almost a snow sounding on the 22z RAP at 1am and at 2am.... hmmm... 1am is prob more sleety... 2am is close to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I think it's safe to say that this board is responsible for these changes. Ya done good. Why the sudden slashing from 14 to 12? Aside from the fact that 14 was absurd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 And he changed it again lol I think he's a NAM man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rakat Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 So far, this has been a bust. Allow me to explain why. A bust for my area, at least.We were forecast to get 10 inches of snow and .5 to 1.0 inches of ice. Freezing rain was supposed to have started this afternoon. Instead, all we gotten is rain. The radar shows some precip coming in later. However, alot of it is staying south. Temp is dropping. So, it looks like any changeover to FR will be brief. It might just switch all to snow instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 So far, this has been a bust. Allow me to explain why. A bust for my area, at least. We were forecast to get 10 inches of snow and .5 to 1.0 inches of ice. Freezing rain was supposed to have started this afternoon. Instead, all we gotten is rain. The radar shows some precip coming in later. However, alot of it is staying south. Temp is dropping. So, it looks like any changeover to FR will be brief. It might just switch all to snow instead. I don't know anyone or any model that was indicating freezing rain this afternoon. We weren't originally supposed to drop below freezing until tomorrow morning, around dawn; now we are by something like 10pm, about 9 hours before models 2 days ago were showing. Definitely not a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I don't know anyone or any model that was indicating freezing rain this afternoon. We weren't originally supposed to drop below freezing until tomorrow morning, around dawn; now we are by something like 10pm, about 9 hours before models 2 days ago were showing. Definitely not a bust. He is on the other side of the Apps. Closer to Ohio than here. His weather has no bearing on our own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 RAP qpf has been nothing to feel exited about, imo EDIT: There seems to be notable differences between instantweathermaps and ESLR for accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 DCA is almost a snow sounding on the 22z RAP at 1am and at 2am.... hmmm... 1am is prob more sleety... 2am is close to snow Yeah, 1a is sleety. 2a is really close...good rates would definitely be snow I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 RAP qpf has been nothing to feel exited about, imo I wouldn't say that. RAP QPF is around 1 to 1.4" for most of our area south of I-70. Of that only around 0.2 to 0.3" falls before the changeover to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 HRRR is ripping snow @ 7am with 2-3" on the ground and plenty more to come. Precip field well into s pa. No idea how good the hrrr is but that's what is shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 HRRR is ripping snow @ 7am with 2-3" on the ground and plenty more to come. Precip field well into s pa. No idea how good the hrrr is but that's what is shows. Can you link me to what you have Bob...I have twister Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I wouldn't say that. RAP QPF is around 1 to 1.4" for most of our area south of I-70. Of that only around 0.2 to 0.3" falls before the changeover to snow. 22z RAP 1" line gets to DC, at least on WxBell maps. 0.5" to Baltimore. What site are you using? Maybe WxBell are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Can you link me to what you have Bob...I have twister I use wxbell. Not sure about twister. Here's a snip @ 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Good point... if we bust low it will probably be due to an early end more than anything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Changeover between 1am-2am too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 I use wxbell. Not sure about twister. Here's a snip @ 7am hrrr.JPG Well damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Changeover between 1am-2am too. If we could do 1am, we're golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 HRRR is ripping snow @ 7am with 2-3" on the ground and plenty more to come. Precip field well into s pa. No idea how good the hrrr is but that's what is shows. 21z HRRR does show that well... looks like 3" DCA proper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 15 degrees and this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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