yoda Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 FWIW, NBC4 going with 6-10 areawide for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Update http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/images/StormTotalSnowRange.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 This is one of the few times Wxbell's maps may actually be underdone due to the fact that they are a strictly 10:1 ratio map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 That dumb thing should be banned. It's not just the map though--my zone fcst just went from 8-12" to 4-8." As noted, 8-12" was pretty bullish and too high given current guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 my WAG for Baltimore metro is 5-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro total precip on high res panels is widespread 1.1 - 1.2 for the corridor. Big max west of lake anna near the bro. 2" there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 euro is out to 24 and looks fine more in a minute Very smart! Hold us weenies at bay... I am laughing, but realie completely why you did this.. and it isn't that funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Update http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/images/StormTotalSnowRange.png I don't think it's helpful at all for you guys to have such big shifts over short periods. It's kind of weird actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 my WAG for Baltimore metro is 5-8" Very good call, highly unlikely anyone sees more than 8" around here. I will probably see 6" and Mitch closer to 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 It's not just the map though--my zone fcst just went from 8-12" to 4-8." As noted, 8-12" was pretty bullish and too high given current guidance. Hope they go even lower. LWX busts a lot when they forecast low snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I agree but they are trying to adjust to the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I'll be in soon ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I would like to lay down a nice layer of sleet before my 4-6" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro total precip on high res panels is widespread 1.1 - 1.2 for the corridor. Big max west of lake anna near the bro. 2" there How much of that do you think is frozen?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 This is one of the few times Wxbell's maps may actually be underdone due to the fact that they are a strictly 10:1 ratio map. Just what I was wondering..... though maybe it's wishful thinking on my part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I agree but they are trying to adjust to the trends. There was very little support for the earlier map. I don't want to complain.. I love the NWS.. but when you swing 6" both directions in a matter of 12 hours it might be time to have a discussion about what can be done better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Really cut totals up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I agree but they are trying to adjust to the trends. I understand, but a good meteorologist doesn't waffle his forecast with every little change in the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I hope folks don't expect 15:1 ratios for the snow part of the storm. Maybe an avg of 12:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I'll be in soon ;-) Are you WOODY! ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 There is a lot of things going on that you don't see. It's complicated and not always meteorology related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Take the whining about double standards and bantering to the....banter thread. A little banter is fine, but let's try to stay focused. I moved the other stuff there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro total precip on high res panels is widespread 1.1 - 1.2 for the corridor. Big max west of lake anna near the bro. 2" there unlike last night, Euro is dropping a lot, as in .41", up to 6Z that is not snow (sleet later in period) and has cut back on precip after 6Z to to .68 (most of that is snow, but not all) last night's run had .94" falling after 6Z BUT, since it's colder a higher % of what falls after 6Z is snow so not much of a change....1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I agree but they are trying to adjust to the trends. Just a friendly suggestion...hit "quote" when replying to a specific post. It'll clarify who you're talking to/what you're referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 But I truly understand everyone's aggravation with it. Thanks for feedback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Good point. Just a suggestion...hit "quote" when replying to a specific post. It'll clarify who you're talking to/what you're referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 unlike last night, Euro is dropping a lot, as in .41", up to 6Z that is not snow (sleet later in period) and has cut back on precip after 6Z to to .68 (most of that is snow, but not all) last night's run had .94" falling after 6Z BUT, since it's colder a higher % of what falls after 6Z is snow so not much of a change....1-2" Could be noise or it could be consensus. All guidance is tightly packed now. Everybody should have an easy time with proper expectations at this point. I think I'm good for 8" with a 6" min bar. The real fun starts when we transition from sleet to snow via thunderstorm....haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Could be noise or it could be consensus. All guidance is tightly packed now. Everybody should have an easy time with proper expectations at this point. I think I'm good for 8" with a 6" min bar. The real fun starts when we transition from sleet to snow via thunderstorm....haha Would definitely remind me of 1/26/11, did just that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 There was very little support for the earlier map. I don't want to complain.. I love the NWS.. but when you swing 6" both directions in a matter of 12 hours it might be time to have a discussion about what can be done better. +1 And how about the inconsistency with the Winter Storm Warning for 8-12 inches over areas that, on the map, are looking at 6-8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 +1 And how about the inconsistency with the Winter Storm Warning for 8-12 inches over areas that, on the map, are looking at 6-8 inches. They've got it expressed very appropriately per policy: Winter Storm Warning A Winter Storm Warning is issued when a significant combination of hazardous winter weather is occurring or imminent. Significant and hazardous winter weather is defined as a combination of: 1) 5 inches or more of snow/sleet within a 12-hour period or 7 inches or more of snow/sleet within a 24-hour period AND/OR 2) Enough ice accumulation to cause damage to trees or powerlines. AND/OR 3) a life threatening or damaging combination of snow and/or ice accumulation with wind. The snow/sleet criteria for a Winter Storm Warning for the five westernmost counties (Allegany, Mineral, Grant, Pendleton, and Highland) is higher (6 inches or more within a 12-hour period; 8 inches or more within a 24-hour period). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.