ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 6Z RGEM another big hit for us. Let's hope this holds tomorrow so we can all party on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Updated LWX snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 MT Holly just put up WSW for Cecil Co MD and the MD eastern shore. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ356 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016-022115-/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0008.140302T2300Z-140303T2300Z//O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0007.140303T0200Z-140303T2100Z/NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE356 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PMEST MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WARNING FOR MOSTLY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THISEVENING TO 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER INEFFECT.* LOCATIONS...FAR NORTHEAST MARYLAND THROUGH NORTHERN DELAWARE INTO SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY.* HAZARD TYPES...MAINLY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE AT THE START THIS EVENING.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.* TIMING...ANY RAIN THIS EVENING WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING OR SLEET FOR A SHORT TIME BEFORE BECOMING ALL SNOW AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING MONDAY AFTERNOON.* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.* IMPACTS...THE SNOW... SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. MONDAY MORNING`S COMMUTE WILL BE PARTICULARLY DIFFICULT.* FOLLOWING THE STORM...NEAR RECORD COLD IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO BETWEEN ZERO AND 10 ABOVE.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSOPOSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.&&$$ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ356 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014DEZ002-MDZ012-015-NJZ021-022-025-022115-/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0008.140303T0300Z-140304T0100Z//O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0007.140303T0200Z-140303T2100Z/KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-COASTAL ATLANTIC-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY356 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PMEST MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WARNING FOR MOSTLY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THISEVENING TO 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER INEFFECT.* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF MARYLANDS EASTERN SHORE AND CENTRAL DELAWARE INTO SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.* HAZARD TYPES...MAINLY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET POSSIBLE.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 7 TO 11 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.* TIMING...RAIN THIS EVENING WILL MIX WITH CHANGE TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS EVENING THEN ALL SNOW BY 3 AM MONDAY. THE SNOW WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES MONDAY AND THEN END LATE IN THE DAY.* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MONDAY.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 40S LATE TODAY PLUNGING TO NEAR 20 BY DAYBREAK MONDAY.* IMPACTS...THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. MONDAY MORNING`S COMMUTE WILL BE PARTICULARLY DIFFICULT.* FOLLOWING THE STORM...NEAR RECORD COLD IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO BETWEEN 5 AND 10 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSOPOSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.&&$$ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ356 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014MDZ019-020-NJZ023-024-022115-/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0008.140303T0700Z-140304T0100Z//O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0007.140303T0200Z-140303T2100Z/TALBOT-CAROLINE-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EASTON...DENTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY356 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PMEST MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WARNING FOR MOSTLY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THISEVENING TO 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER INEFFECT.* LOCATIONS...TALBOT AND CAROLINE COUNTIES IN MARYLAND AND PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY.* HAZARD TYPES...MAINLY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE AT THE BEGINNING LATE THIS EVENING.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF TO 12 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND A TRACE.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 11 INCHES.* TIMING...RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON CHANGES TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN FOR A TIME LATE THIS EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY 3 AM MONDAY. THE SNOW WILL BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES MONDAY AND THEN END LATE IN THE DAY.* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MONDAY.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 40S LATE TODAY PLUNGING TO NEAR 20 BY DAYBREAK MONDAY!* IMPACTS...THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. MONDAY MORNING`S COMMUTE WILL BE PARTICULARLY DIFFICULT.* FOLLOWING THE STORM...NEAR RECORD COLD IS POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR 10 DEGREES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSOPOSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Updated LWX snowfall map. Beautiful looking map. DC bullseye! Also, one of those stray 10-14 " squares in Western Howard County is right over my house. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Even Ocean City MD cashes in. From Wakefield: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA354 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014MDZ021>025-021700-/O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0004.140303T0900Z-140304T0300Z//O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0004.140303T0900Z-140304T0500Z/DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY354 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHTEST MONDAY NIGHT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAYTO MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGERIN EFFECT.* AREAS AFFECTED: THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.* HAZARDS: PRIMARILY SNOW AND SLEET.* ACCUMULATIONS: 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ALONG WITH A LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION.* TEMPERATURES: STARTING IN THE LOWER 30S EARLY MONDAY MORNING... FALLING TO 20 TO 25 DEGREES BY AFTERNOON.* WINDS: NORTH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH INLAND...AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH NEAR THE BAY AND OCEAN.* TIMING: EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.* IMPACTS: ANY RAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO A BRIEF WINTRY MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN DURING THE MORNING. THE WINTRY MIX WILL BECOME PRIMARILY SNOW ACROSS THE AREA BY MIDDAY...THEN CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL RESULTING FROM ICY THEN SNOW COVERED ROADS IS EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING MONDAY... WHICH WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSOPOSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 The LWX discussion. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC359 AM EST SUN MAR 2 2014.SYNOPSIS... -- Changed Discussion -- A COLD FRONT STRETCHING ACROSS WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL PUSH INTO THE MID ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE OVER TEXAS WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT AND BRING WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND MONDAY. COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE MAY AFFECT THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK. -- End Changed Discussion -- &&.NEAR TERM /TODAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- AS OF 08Z...UPPER RIDGE IS OVER DEEP SOUTH...BROAD UPPER TROUGH ALONG NRN CONUS... APPROACHING TROUGH IS BACK OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. SFC HIGH IS OFF CAROLINA COAST WITH LIGHT SWLY FLOW OR DECOUPLED ACROSS THE CWA. TODAY...OPEN WAVE TROUGH OVER DESERT SW SHOOTS DUE EAST (DOESN`T REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC UNTIL MONDAY EVENING). AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH IS AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT FROM THE NRN CONUS TROUGH WHICH DIPS SOUTH FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NRN MID-ATLANTIC AND IS OUR FIRST WEATHER MAKER. SWLY FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY RISE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS (PARTICULARLY IF THERE IS SOME SUNSHINE THIS MORNING). THE SUBTROPICAL AIR ARRIVES BEFORE THE ARCTIC AIR...ALLOWING MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S CHARLOTTESVILLE TO FREDERICKSBURG... AROUND 50F FOR DC. THE FRONT OR AT LEAST PREFRONTAL RAIN LOOKS TO REACH NRN MD BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOOKS TO KEEP MAX TEMPS AROUND 40F ALONG THE MASON-DIXON AND FOR NERN MD. A SLOWER COLD/RAIN ARRIVAL WOULD ALLOW FOR HIGHER TEMPS...BUT THERE IS ALREADY A NORTH WIND AT PITTSBURGH...SO THE FRONT WILL PERHAPS BE SOONER THAN LATER. PREFRONTAL RAIN CROSSES THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. FROSTBURG MD SHOULD BE FIRST TO GET FREEZING RAIN. STARTED THE WSW FOR NWRN ZONES AT 4PM FOR THIS ONSET. CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF RAIN TO FREEZING RAIN TO SLEET TO SNOW (AND HEAVY SNOW AT THAT) AS MORE DENSE COLD AIR SCRATCHES ALONG THE SURFACE AND THEN THICKENS. TIMING OF THE FOUR SEGMENTS TO THE WSW BASED ON EXPECTED CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN. -- End Changed Discussion -- &&.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND MONDAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- AS THE SFC FRONT CLEARS OUR SRN BORDER TONIGHT...GULF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING WAVE (NOW OVER THE MID-SOUTH STATES) ENTERS FROM THE WEST AND IT HONESTLY LOOKS TO BE ALL SNOW. HEAVY SNOW AT THAT. THIS SHOULD CREATE A HEAVY SWATH OF SNOW WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE CWA. BASED ON 00Z GUIDANCE THIS SWATH WOULD BE FROM PETERSBURG WV TO ANNAPOLIS AND BE AROUND ONE FOOT. THERE HAS BEEN A SOUTH TREND...SO THIS HEAVIEST SWATH MAY END UP FARTHER SOUTH. HOWEVER...THERE WAS SUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE OF MEETING THE CRITERIA OF 5 INCHES (6 INCHES FOR OUR WRN FIVE COUNTIES) TO ISSUE THE WARNING. AGAIN...A LARGE AREA SHOULD EXCEED THIS MINIMUM CRITERIA GREATLY. OUR SNOW PROBABILITIES SUGGEST UP TO 15 INCHES WHICH IS QUITE RARE FOR MARCH...BUT LOOKING MORE LIKELY! TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A QUICK CUTOFF IN PRECIP. TRIED NOT TO GET CUTE WITH ENDING TIMES...GENEROUS ACCORDING TO 00Z GUIDANCE. COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...SO TEMPERATURES OF GENERALLY UPPER TEENS NORTH TO LOW 20S SOUTH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. -- End Changed Discussion -- &&.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- GIVEN ALL THE ATTN THE NEXT 36 HRS WL REQUIRE WL KEEP THE XNTD ABREVIATED. GIVEN THE *MUCH* COLDER THAN NRML AIR THAT WL BE MOVG INTO THE AREA FM THE UPR MIDWEST (AT 2 AM EST ND/MN TEMPS ARE IN THE -15 TO -25 RANGE!) AND THE XPCTD SNOWPACK MON NGT LOWS WL BE CLOSE TO 25 DEGS BLO NRML - PSBLY SUB ZERO IN THE HIGHLANDS... SINGLE DIGITS OVR MUCH OF THE AREA...A10 IN THE CITIES? HIGH PRES THEN OVR THE RGN TUE AND WED. HIGHS IN M20S/L30S TUE...30S WED AND THU. AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE PRVS 2 NGTS BOTH GFS/ECM PROJECT LOW PRES DVLPG OVR THE SERN STATES FRI. ATTM BOTH ARE ALSO IMPLY THE GREATER IMPACTS WL BE FELT TO THE S OF THE CWA...BUT IF HISTORY SHOWS ANYTHING IT IS THAT THIS STORM WL NEED TO BE WATCHED IN THE COMING DAYS. AVG HIGH TEMPS IN ERLY MAR SHOULD BE A50. THAT DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE THE CARDS RIGHT THRU NEXT WKND. -- End Changed Discussion -- &&.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- CEILINGS WILL BE AROUND 5K FT THROUGH MOST OF TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA. RAIN XPCTD TO DVLP THIS AFTERNOON. AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT A CHANGE TO FZRA THEN PL THEN SN OVRNGT. IN SNOW IFR TO VLIFR CONDITIONS ARE PSBL. XTRMLY POOR CONDITIONS XPCTD MON FOR ALL TERMINALS. SNOW WL BE THE PREDOMINANT P-TYPE. NNW WINDS WILL GUST 20 TO 30 KNOTS MON MRNG...GUSTING 15 TO 20 KNOTS MON AFTN...DIMINISHING TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. CONDS SHOULD BE IMPRVG MON EVE AS LOW PRES EXITS AND HIGH PRES BLDS IN FOR THE MIDWEEK. VFR CONDS XPCTD TUE THRU THU. -- End Changed Discussion -- &&.MARINE... -- Changed Discussion -- SCA WL GO INTO EFFECT FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE WATERS THIS AFTN...AND FOR ALL WATERS TNGT AND MON. SNOW XPCTD ACROSS ALL WATERS MON W/ POOR VSBYS. SCA MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE WATERS MON NGT/TUE MRNG...THEN DIMINISHING AS HIGH PRES MOVES OVR THE AREA MID ALTC FOR THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WK. -- End Changed Discussion -- &&.CLIMATE... -- Changed Discussion -- HOW RARE ARE LARGE MARCH SNOWS IN THE MID ATLANTIC? NOT ENTIRELY.. MAR 29/1942 MUST`VE BEEN SOMETHING ELSE... BELOW IS A LIST OF THE LARGEST SINGLE DAY MARCH SNOWS AT THE 3 MAJOR AIRPORTS. DCA (SINCE 1891) BWI (SINCE 1870) IAD (SINCE 1962) # GRTR THAN 5" SNOWFALLS 18 25 7 SINGLE DAY SNOWFALLS 3/29/1942 11.5" 3/29/1942 21.9" 3/13/1993 13.9" 3/4/1909 9.8" 3/18/1892 12.0" 3/9/1999 8.9" 3/9/1999 8.4" 3/13/1993 11.3" 3/9/1976 6.4" 3/7/1941 8.0" 3/6/1962 10.0" 3/1/1969 6.1" 3/15/1900 8.0" 3/3/1960 10.0" 3/30/1964 5.3" -- End Changed Discussion -- &&.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... -- Changed Discussion -- DC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR DCZ001. MD...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR MDZ013-014. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR MDZ004>007-009>011. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM EST MONDAY FOR MDZ016>018. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR MDZ003-501-502. VA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR VAZ025-026-038-039-051>054-502>504. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR VAZ027>031-040-042-501. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM EST MONDAY FOR VAZ036- 037-050-055>057. WV...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR WVZ505-506. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR WVZ050-052-053-055-502. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR WVZ051-501-503-504. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ531>534-537-539>541-543. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ530-535-536-538-542. -- End Changed Discussion -- &&$$PRODUCTS...BAJ/WOODY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 06Z RGEM total snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 GFS gives a large area of 10 to 15 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsnowman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 It looks like the 6z GFS run dipped south slightly of the 00z GFS run with the heaviest precip. That said, it looks like the moderate precip/bands look to start and hold in our area for a longer period of time. And with temps still good, the snow totals from the 00z suite of models (i.e., 8-12 inches area wide) are still looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I hope the temp drop is as advertised I think it will be neat to see the change in precip types and then the flake makeup....potentially a fun and unique storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Was surprised to see my warning with 8-12", I'm not expecting more than 6" up here. Congrats DCers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Updated LWX snowfall map. The min/max maps are great too. The current range of 6-16" makes me feel a lot more comfortable than 1-16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Was surprised to see my warning with 8-12", I'm not expecting more than 6" up here. Congrats DCers! Pretty sure most of the area is cashing in. This looks like one everyone who wants snow (or doesn't want snow) can be happy with. I think that 8-12 for you is low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Pretty sure most of the area is cashing in. This looks like one everyone who wants snow (or doesn't want snow) can be happy with. I think that 8-12 for you is low. We shall see, but I'd be happy with 6", time for you southerns to cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Good morning to my favorite weather team. Wow! Overnight reading just gave me the chills. Amazing look to the models. Mentioned briefly yesterday--is this thing dynamic enough to give us a legit shot for thunder snow? Icing on the cake I know, but would love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Good morning to my favorite weather team. Wow! Overnight reading just gave me the chills. Amazing look to the models. Mentioned briefly yesterday--is this thing dynamic enough to give us a legit shot for thunder snow? Icing on the cake I know, but would love it.LWX thinks so for Alexandria. This is my point and click forecast: Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 24. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. Eta: looks like the mention of thunder is in many a point and click forecast in the central and southern portions of the LWX cwa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 LWX thinks so for Alexandria. This is my point and click forecast: Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 24. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. Also in the Zones MONDAY...SNOW WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Sweet. Just checked mine. Got the thunder wording too. Well that's not something you see in the forecast every day. This one looks to easily top the SQL storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsnowman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 And not that we need to be greedy at this point - but why not - the 6z GFS also showed the coastal on Thurs night/Friday in a much better position and dumping some precip in our area. I know temps are still a concern, but they were with this storm 3-4 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I hope the temp drop is as advertised I think it will be neat to see the change in precip types and then the flake makeup....potentially a fun and unique storm I would like to see the actual front come thru during daylight. I would enjoy watching low clouds shift direction, as during a good Fall cold front passage.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I would like to see the actual front come thru during daylight. I would enjoy watching low clouds shift direction, as during a good Fall cold front passage.. the last time LWX advertised a change from rain to snow didnt quite work out for the major cities in md. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I might tone down 10-14 a bit, but should be a good storm. Maybe a real narrow area gets close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I might tone down 10-14 a bit, but should be a good storm. Maybe a real narrow area gets close to that. It's kind of an "exuberant" forecast, I agree (the warning text itself states 8-12" but they're stuck using the 10-14" range on the map since the one below it is 8-10"). CWG is sticking with 5-9" for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I might tone down 10-14 a bit, but should be a good storm. Maybe a real narrow area gets close to that. yep. Prob a general 6-10 with lollies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 It's kind of an "exuberant" forecast, I agree (the warning text itself states 8-12" but they're stuck using the 10-14" range on the map since the one below it is 8-10"). CWG is sticking with 5-9" for now. CWG seems reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Latest long range rap simulated radar looks in line with 06z nam fwiw. 850s maybe a little north - or delayed but its LA LA land rap so I guess take it for what its worth . More useful later on. The RAP isnt that useful when it is in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 The RAP isnt that useful when it is in range. This is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 From LWX: text forecast says 4-8" for HGR, 6-10" for MRB. 8-12" for OKV. So I am potentially ~20 miles from 4" or from 12." Should be fun watching radar tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 What model is? The Euro has been remarkably consistent with this event. The area of heaviest snow has basically been the same since 12z Friday. Latest runs have somewhat higher amounts. Not surprising the forecasts are being generated with Euro being given a lot of weight. Just look at the forecasted snow totals and the location...matches the euro almost exactly, just toned down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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